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Use kyiv as bargaining chip to take over Eastern Russian dominated Ukraine. Russia will take everything East of Dneiper and give back Kyiv. Thats the logical deal.And what then ? Level minor cities?
Yes Sanctions work sometimes but not against proud countries and especially not Russia.
Now that being said Could Ukraine become another Afghanistan for Russia? To early to say that but if we go by topography I would say no. The best element they have is Urban fighting which Russia can negate by levelling cities.
Another thing to keep in mind is that this is relatively a new war and only 2 weeks old and we don't know yet how well Ukraine will react to the grind that will be telling of this conflict. The Longevity and patience of the Ukrainians which we don't know anything about yet but will have to find out about as this war continues
These foreign mercenaries going over from many European capitals going to create the European version of Al-Qaeda. Far right extreme, xenophobic groups with military experience, armoury and kills.
It is possible.
Saw an Indian strategist a couple of days ago saying that the abundance of the Stinger Missiles could likely end up in the wrong hands and down the road some European airports could become targets. Or weapons ending up with the ISIS/Al-Qaida types who must be sensing opportunity. In the fog of war, a lot happens.
Bro i am convinced that Russia, or atleast Putin and his most closest confidants in the russian leadership, has choosen this path after calculating the effects.
I recommend everyone to read the book «Antifragilty» written by author Nicholas Taleb.
Its a profound book and yet so intuitive concept.
Basically there are systems in nature that are fragile, robust and third category: Antifragile, which are things, beings, systems, that not only survives during stress but in fact it THRIVES during stress. So much that if you remove stressors then a Antifragile system will simply become weak and fragile and dissolve. Antifragile systems MUST HAVE chais and stress around it in order to thrive.
Think about it; the human body and mind is essentialy a antifragile system. It only gets stronger by experiencing challenges. When a man get luxurious and lazy life, he simply becomes soft and weak.
This is what i believe Russian leadership, especially Putin have understood. He simply is letting Russia feel pain and scorn, so that Russia learns to manage and weather it, making it stronger and more independent.
Just to mention, there is a another metaphysical system that is also Antifragile. Can you guess what it is bro?
Il vive a hint, it starts with I and ends with M….
So are you not entertained ?I thought it was confirmed that this British "volunteer" was an actor.
I saw some news reports of westerners going to Ukraine to sign up and fight. When they learn the contract is open ended and they are not allowed to go home.......they refuse to commit and leave Ukraine.So are you not entertained ?
No doubt they can and so can Russia. My point is that they are deducing things on the ground according to how they would do things. Russia has a very different approach to warfare. Russia is willing to lose soliders, and lots of them, just to achieve an objective. The West, does not have appetite for such an approach and so use air power to devastating effect.NATO can monitor developments in Ukraine in real time with its extensive surveillance apparatus. Others are not in the position to do this.
Reports such as these:
Nearly all of Russia's initial invasion forces now in Ukraine, Pentagon says
Nearly all of the 190,000 Russian troops that were amassed on Ukraine's border are now fighting inside the country, a senior Pentagon official said Monday.www.cnbc.com
- are informed by observations through surveillance apparatus.
Kharkov is to be ash then...