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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

Video of the use in the Kursk region of the Russian FPV drone "Prince Vandal Novgorodsky", controlled by a fiber optic cable. In the video, the FPV drone "Vandal" attacks the Ukrainian IFV "Marder" 1A3. Made in Germany. The IFV "Marder" was adopted by Germany in 1971. Ukraine received about 90 units of the IFV Marder 1A3. The IFV Marder 1A3 is a modification of 1989. Technical information is on the channel. The IFV Marder 1A3 is already in the Russian army. As a result of the strike of the FPV drone "Vandal", the IFV Marder 1A3 was damaged, the extent of the damage is unclear. The Ukrainian IFV Marder 1A3 was attacked by two drones, as it turned out later.

 
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A massive missile attack by Russia has targeted multiple cities across Ukraine, including Lutsk, Lviv, Vinnytsia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Khmelnytskyi, Kyiv, Rivne, Mykolaiv, Kharkiv, Kirovohrad, and the Dnipropetrovsk region. This coordinated assault has resulted in widespread damage to Ukraine's energy infrastructure and has left over one million householdswithout power.

Key Details:​

  • Extent of the Attack: The missile strikes occurred early on November 28, 2024, with explosions reported in various cities. Ukrainian officials indicated that the attacks were aimed primarily at critical energy facilities, which have been targeted repeatedly throughout the conflict.
  • Emergency Power Outages: In response to the attacks, Ukraine's energy operator implemented emergency power outages across the country. Significant disruptions have been noted in regions such as Lviv, Volyn, and Rivne. Energy Minister Herman Halushchenko described the situation as a "massive enemy attack," stressing the urgency of restoring power amid dropping temperatures.
  • Casualties and Damage: While initial reports indicate injuries in regions like Vinnytsia and Odesa, there have been no immediate fatalities reported from Kyiv. The Ukrainian Air Defense successfully intercepted a significant number of incoming missiles and drones; however, some managed to strike their targets.
  • Context of Increased Attacks: This missile barrage follows a record attack earlier in the week when Russia launched 188 drones at Ukraine. The recent escalation is seen as part of Russia's strategy to undermine Ukraine's energy capabilities as winter approaches.
  • Official Responses: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy condemned the attacks as part of Russia's ongoing "terror tactics" against civilians. Officials have called for increased international support to bolster Ukraine's defense capabilities against such assaults.

Conclusion​

The latest missile attacks on Ukraine underscore the ongoing intensity of the conflict and Russia's focus on crippling Ukraine's infrastructure. As emergency measures are enacted to address power shortages and restore services, the humanitarian impact continues to grow amid an already challenging winter season. The situation remains fluid, with further developments expected as both sides respond to this escalation.

 
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An episode of the battle near the village of Berestki in the Kurakhovsky direction. The video shows the assault by the Russian 114th motorized rifle brigade of a fortified area of the Ukrainian army. Judging by the video, the Ukrainian army is creating sufficiently extensive fortifications

 
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Footage of a strike by a Russian 300 mm Tornado-S MLRS rocket with a cluster warhead near the village of Zhuravka in Ukraine's Kharkiv region. The forest area reportedly housed a temporary deployment point for the Ukrainian Ptahi Madyara unit, which specializes in working with drones. The strike was allegedly carried out by a Russian 9M55K rocket with a cluster warhead containing 72 warheads containing 360 and 96 falcons, weighing from 0.75 to 4.5 grams.

 
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Footage has been published of the aftermath of a strike by a Russian hypersonic Kinzhal missile on a Ukrainian underground command post in the Chasov Yar area. The strike by the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missile was carried out on April 11, 2022, presumably by a MiG-31K aircraft.

 
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In 2024, Ukraine has seen a dramatic rise in desertion cases among its military personnel, with 60,000 troops prosecuted for unauthorized abandonment of positionsfrom January to October. This figure is nearly double the total number of similar cases from the previous two years combined, highlighting a significant challenge for the Ukrainian armed forces amidst ongoing conflict with Russia.

Overview of Desertion Rates​

According to reports, the 60,000 desertion cases opened this year reflect a critical situation within the Ukrainian military. The General Prosecutor's Office indicates that these prosecutions are part of a broader trend, as more than 100,000 soldiers have faced charges for desertion since the onset of the war in February 2022. Nearly half of these cases have emerged in the last year alone, coinciding with an aggressive mobilization drive that has faced criticism for its effectiveness.

Causes of Desertion​

Several factors contribute to this alarming rate of desertion:
  • Exhaustion and Lack of Rotation: Many soldiers report severe fatigue due to prolonged deployments without adequate rest or rotation. Some units have not had rotations in over three years, leading to mental and physical exhaustion among troops.
  • Psychological Impact: The psychological toll of continuous combat and trauma has left many soldiers demoralized. Reports indicate that soldiers experience guilt and anxiety about their ability to continue fighting, contributing to their decision to abandon their posts.
  • Poor Conditions and Resources: Soldiers have expressed frustration over inadequate supplies and support. Incidents where entire units have left their positions due to insufficient weaponry and equipment have been reported, further compromising Ukraine's defensive capabilities.
  • Exploitation of Training Opportunities Abroad: Some Ukrainian personnel have exploited opportunities to attend military training camps in allied countries as a means to desert. Reports suggest an average of 12 soldiers desert each month during training in Poland.

Implications for Military Operations​

The high rate of desertions poses significant risks for Ukraine's military operations. Analysts warn that this issue could undermine Ukraine's defensive strategies, particularly as Russian forces continue to advance in eastern Ukraine. The loss of manpower is critical at a time when Ukraine is facing increasing territorial threats.Military commanders have acknowledged that desertion is one of the main reasons for recent territorial losses, such as the town of Vuhledar. The inability to maintain effective troop levels could hinder Ukraine's ability to respond to ongoing Russian offensives effectively.

Government Response​

In response to the rising desertion rates, Ukrainian authorities have implemented measures aimed at addressing the issue. These include legal provisions that allow first-time deserters who voluntarily return to service to avoid prosecution. However, critics argue that these measures may not be sufficient to address the underlying causes of desertion.The ongoing challenges underscore the need for comprehensive reforms within Ukraine's military structure and support systems. As the conflict continues into its third year, addressing issues related to troop morale, resource allocation, and effective mobilization will be crucial for sustaining Ukraine's defense efforts against Russian aggression.

Conclusion​

The prosecution of 60,000 Ukrainian troops for desertion in 2024 highlights a critical juncture for Ukraine's military amidst ongoing conflict with Russia. As desertion rates soar, addressing the root causes—such as exhaustion, inadequate resources, and psychological impacts—will be essential for maintaining operational effectiveness and ensuring the resilience of Ukraine's armed forces in the face of persistent challenges.

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A strike by a Russian RBK-500 SHOAB 0.5 cluster bomb. The RBK-500 SHOAB-0.5 bomb with the UMPK kit was dropped by a Su-34 frontline fighter-bomber. The video was filmed near Orekhov in the Zaporizhia region of Ukraine. The RBK-500 SHOAB-0.5 bombs were accepted into service in 1969

 
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has acknowledged that the Ukrainian military currently lacks the strength to reclaim certain territories seized by Russia. This admission comes amid ongoing challenges faced by Ukrainian forces as they contend with a well-entrenched Russian military presence.

Key Points:​

  • Territorial Challenges: Zelensky's remarks indicate a recognition of the difficulties Ukraine faces in launching successful offensives against Russian-held territories, especially in the context of recent military engagements and the need for bolstered defenses.
  • Russian Forces: Reports suggest that Ukraine is up against approximately 50,000 Russian troops in strategic areas, complicating efforts to regain lost ground. This significant numerical advantage for Russia continues to pose a challenge for Ukrainian operations.
  • Military Situation: The ongoing conflict has seen fluctuating fortunes for both sides, with Ukraine experiencing heavy casualties and logistical strains. Despite previous successes in pushing back Russian advances, the current situation has led to a reassessment of capabilities and strategies.

Broader Context:​

Zelensky's admission reflects the harsh realities of prolonged warfare, where resource limitations and battlefield dynamics can significantly impact military objectives. As Ukraine continues to receive international support, including military aid from Western allies, the focus remains on enhancing its operational capabilities to address these challenges effectively. The situation underscores the complexities of the conflict as it enters a critical phase, with both sides preparing for potential escalations in hostilities.

 
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The first footage of the use of the Russian Gibka-S air defense system in Ukraine. For a long time, there was no information about the Gibka-S air defense system. The video shows an interview with an air defense crew and the interception of a Ukrainian heavy agricultural drone of the Baba Yaga type, which is used for military purposes, including by the Russian army.


The second video contains technical information on the Russian air defense system "Gibka-S".

 
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Reports indicate that NATO military forces have crossed into Ukraine, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict. This development could have major implications for the geopolitical balance in Eastern Europe, potentially drawing global powers further into the crisis.

Key Points:​

  • NATO Presence: The entry of NATO forces into Ukraine represents a shift from prior support, which primarily consisted of military aid and training for Ukrainian troops. This move may signal a more direct involvement in the conflict, raising concerns about a potential escalation with Russian forces.
  • Geopolitical Implications: The presence of NATO troops in Ukraine could alter the dynamics of the conflict, potentially deterring Russian aggression and strengthening Ukraine's defensive capabilities. However, it also risks provoking a stronger response from Russia, which views NATO's expansion as a direct threat to its security.
  • International Reactions: This action is likely to elicit varied responses from NATO member states and other global powers. Countries in Eastern Europe may welcome increased NATO support, while Russia is expected to condemn the move and may escalate its military operations in response.
  • Historical Context: NATO has been involved in supporting Ukraine since Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, providing military assistance and conducting joint exercises. However, the deployment of troops marks a significant escalation compared to previous actions.

Broader Implications:​

The crossing of NATO military forces into Ukraine could fundamentally change the nature of the conflict and international relations in the region. As tensions rise, diplomatic efforts will be crucial to prevent further escalation and to seek a resolution to the ongoing crisis. The situation remains fluid, and developments will need to be closely monitored as both sides adjust their strategies in response to these changes.

 
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The United States is significantly enhancing its military support for Ukraine amid ongoing hostilities with Russia, deploying a range of armies, weapons, and aircraft to bolster Ukraine's defense capabilities. This support is crucial as Ukraine continues to fight for its sovereignty against Russian aggression.

Key Developments:​

  • Military Assistance: The U.S. has been providing advanced weaponry, including artillery systems, anti-tank missiles, and air defense systems. This assistance is part of a broader strategy to strengthen Ukraine's military capabilities and ensure its ability to defend against Russian advances.
  • Deployment of Forces: Reports indicate that U.S. forces may be deployed to assist in training and operational support for Ukrainian troops. This includes the provision of strategic aircraft and logistical support to enhance Ukraine's operational readiness.
  • Legislative Support: The Defending Ukraine Sovereignty Act of 2022 has authorized significant security assistance for Ukraine, allowing the Department of Defense to expedite the delivery of defense articles and services. This legislative backing underscores bipartisan support for Ukraine's defense efforts in Congress.
  • NATO Involvement: NATO allies have also increased their military presence in Eastern Europe, conducting joint exercises and providing additional resources to support Ukraine. This collective effort aims to deter further Russian aggression and reassure Eastern European nations of their security commitments.

Broader Implications:​

The U.S. military support for Ukraine is a critical element in the ongoing conflict, reflecting a commitment to uphold international law and support democratic governance in the face of aggression. As tensions continue to escalate, this assistance not only aims to strengthen Ukraine's defense but also serves as a signal to Russia regarding the West's resolve to counter its actions in the region.The situation remains dynamic, with ongoing discussions about further military aid and strategic partnerships aimed at ensuring Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity amidst the challenges posed by Russian military actions.

 
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More footage has been published of the attack of the Russian FPV drone "Prince Vandal Novgorodsky" on the Ukrainian tank "Leopard-2A6", made in Germany. The Leopard 2A6 tank began to be produced in Germany in 1997. Ukraine received 18 Leopard 2A6 tanks from Germany and 3 tanks from Portugal. According to some estimates, 11 Leopard-2A6 tanks have been destroyed so far. In Ukraine, the Leopard-2A6 tank was modified by installing Soviet dynamic protection "Kontakt-1". The video was filmed in the Kursk region of Russia near the village of Darino. The Leopard 2A6 tank was attacked by several Vandal drones, the crew abandoned the damaged tank

 
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The conflict in Ukraine is escalating as Russia significantly intensifies its military deployment, mobilizing armies equipped with advanced tanks and heavy-duty tracks. This development raises serious concerns about regional stability and the potential for further escalation in hostilities.

Key Developments​

  1. Troop Deployment: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that Russia has stationed nearly 50,000 troops in the Kursk region, which borders Ukraine. This military buildup is part of a broader strategy to prepare for an offensive against Ukrainian positions, particularly following Ukraine's counteroffensive operations earlier this year.
  2. Involvement of North Korean Forces: Reports indicate that Russia has integrated approximately 11,000 North Korean troops into its forces in the Kursk area. These soldiers are reportedly engaged in direct combat roles and defensive operations, marking a significant collaboration between Russia and North Korea amidst the ongoing conflict.
  3. Military Hardware Mobilization: The Russian military is utilizing advanced tanks and heavy-duty tracks as part of its preparations for renewed offensives. This includes a substantial increase in artillery and armored vehicle presence along the front lines.
  4. Strategic Objectives: Analysts suggest that Russia aims to maintain pressure on Ukrainian forces while seeking to regain territory lost during previous Ukrainian offensives. The Russian military's strategy appears focused on attrition, aiming to deplete Ukrainian resources and morale over time.
  5. International Reactions: In response to these developments, Western nations have ramped up their military support for Ukraine. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz recently pledged an additional $680 million in military aid during a surprise visit to Kyiv, emphasizing the need for enhanced security assurances for Ukraine as it faces renewed Russian aggression.

Implications for Regional Stability​

The mobilization of Russian forces and the involvement of North Korean troops signal a potential shift in the dynamics of the conflict:
  • Increased Hostilities: The concentration of troops and military equipment suggests that Russia may be preparing for a significant offensive, which could lead to increased casualties on both sides and further destabilize the region.
  • Escalation of Military Aid: As Russia escalates its military operations, Ukraine's allies are likely to respond with increased military aid and support, potentially leading to a protracted conflict with broader implications for European security.
  • Humanitarian Concerns: The intensification of military actions raises concerns about humanitarian impacts, particularly on civilian populations caught in the crossfire. Ongoing hostilities could exacerbate existing humanitarian crises in Ukraine.

Conclusion​

The situation in Ukraine remains fluid and precarious as Russia ramps up its military presence and prepares for potential new offensives. The involvement of North Korean forces adds another layer of complexity to the conflict, while international responses continue to evolve. As both sides brace for intensified confrontations, the prospects for peace and stability in the region appear increasingly uncertain.

 
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The Canadian government has announced a significant expansion of its firearms ban, adding 324 new firearm varieties to the list of prohibited weapons.

Key points of this development include:
  1. An additional 324 "unique makes and models" of assault-style firearms are now banned in Canada, effective immediately
  2. These newly prohibited firearms can no longer be legally used, sold, or imported in Canada
  3. The ban expands on the May 2020 prohibition, which initially covered 1,500 firearm models and has since grown to over 2,000
  4. Current owners of the newly banned firearms have an amnesty period until October 30, 2025, to comply with the new regulations
  5. The Canadian government is exploring options to donate some of the confiscated weapons to Ukraine to support its defense against Russian aggression
  6. Defense Minister Bill Blair stated, "Every bit of assistance we can offer to the Ukrainians is one step toward their victory"
  7. The announcement coincides with the 35th anniversary of the École Poly technique massacre in Montreal
  8. The government is working on implementing a buyback program for prohibited weapons, though it has not yet collected any firearms
This move has been met with mixed reactions, with gun control advocates supporting the measure and critics viewing it as politically motivated

 
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German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock has made a strong commitment to prioritize support for Ukraine, stating, "I will put Ukraine first no matter what my German voters think or how hard their life gets." This declaration underscores Germany's determination to continue backing Ukraine amid ongoing military aggression from Russia.

Key Points:​

  1. Commitment to Ukraine: Baerbock emphasized the importance of maintaining robust support for Ukraine, particularly as it prepares for potential peace negotiations with Russia. She believes that Ukraine must be in a strong position to negotiate effectively.
  2. NATO Support: During her remarks, Baerbock called on NATO allies to enhance their support for Ukraine, asserting that the country alone should decide its goals in negotiations. She highlighted the need for security guarantees and international cooperation to ensure a just peace.
  3. Potential Military Involvement: Baerbock has not ruled out the possibility of deploying German troops to Ukraine as part of future peacekeeping efforts, indicating Germany's readiness to contribute to international stability in the region.
  4. Public Sentiment: While Baerbock's commitment is clear, it may face challenges domestically as public opinion fluctuates regarding ongoing support for Ukraine, especially given the economic hardships faced by many Germans due to the conflict.
  5. International Dynamics: The statement reflects broader geopolitical tensions and the necessity for Western nations to present a united front against Russian aggression while balancing domestic concerns related to economic impacts and public sentiment.

Conclusion:​

Baerbock's firm stance on prioritizing Ukraine highlights Germany's commitment to supporting its sovereignty and security amidst ongoing conflict. As discussions about peace negotiations and potential military involvement continue, the situation remains complex, requiring careful navigation of both international relations and domestic political considerations.

 
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