Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[HamzaWaseem]

Russian intelligence has claimed that the United States is actively seeking to replace Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky with a more controllable figure. According to a declassified cable from Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), this initiative is driven by growing dissatisfaction among the U.S. elite regarding Zelensky's leadership amid increasing public discontent in Ukraine over the ongoing conflict with Russia.The SVR reports that the U.S. is concerned about trends indicating that Ukrainian citizens are becoming apathetic and distrustful of their government, particularly after Zelensky's presidential term expired on May 20, 2024. While the U.S. wishes for Zelensky to remain in power temporarily due to his role in securing military aid, it is simultaneously exploring alternative candidates who could potentially take over if the situation deteriorates on the battlefield.Among those considered as possible successors are former Ukrainian Interior Minister Arsen Avakov, and other prominent figures like former President Petro Poroshenko and current Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko. The intelligence suggests that these individuals might be viewed as more manageable by Western powers, allowing for a smoother negotiation process with Russia regarding the conflict.Furthermore, the SVR indicates that preparations are underway for a potential smear campaign against Zelensky, aimed at facilitating a transition of power should the need arise. This development highlights the complexities of international relations and internal politics within Ukraine as the war continues to evolve.

 

[sidkhan2]

Four American-supplied F-16 fighter jets have been confirmed destroyed by the Russian Air Force, which executed an unexpected strike using hypersonic Kinzhal missiles. Each of these advanced jets is valued at approximately $60 million, marking a significant loss for Ukraine's military capabilities amid ongoing conflict with Russia.

Details of the Incident​

The destruction of the F-16s highlights the escalating intensity of aerial warfare in the region. Reports indicate that this strike was part of a broader campaign by Russia to assert its dominance in the skies over Ukraine. The Kinzhal missile, known for its speed and precision, poses a formidable challenge to traditional air defenses, making it particularly dangerous for aircraft like the F-16.In addition to the loss of the jets, there are "unconfirmed" reports suggesting that an American instructormay have been killed during the incident. This raises concerns about the safety of foreign personnel involved in training and supporting Ukrainian forces.

Implications for Ukraine​

The loss of these F-16s is particularly troubling for Ukraine, which has recently received these aircraft as part of military support from Western allies. The F-16s were expected to enhance Ukraine's air defense capabilities and provide critical support against Russian aerial assaults. With each jet costing around $60 million, this incident represents a substantial financial and strategic setback.The Ukrainian military had been preparing to utilize these jets in combat, marking a significant milestone in their ongoing efforts to repel Russian aggression. The destruction of such advanced aircraft underscores the risks associated with modern warfare and the challenges faced by Ukraine in maintaining its air fleet.

Conclusion​

As investigations into this incident continue, it serves as a stark reminder of the complexities and dangers inherent in the current conflict. The use of hypersonic missiles like the Kinzhal not only complicates air defense strategies but also raises questions about future military engagements and the effectiveness of Western military aid. The situation remains fluid, and further developments are expected as both sides adapt to the evolving battlefield dynamics.

 

[sidkhan2]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839633024557670459

 

[HaiderAfan]

Former President Donald Trump met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in New York City on September 27, 2024, to discuss potential strategies for ending the ongoing war with Russia. The meeting took place at Trump Tower, coinciding with Zelensky's visit to the United States for the United Nations General Assembly.

Key Highlights from the Meeting​

• Trump's Assurance: During their discussion, Trump expressed confidence that he could resolve the conflict "very quickly" if he were to win the 2024 presidential election. He emphasized his good relationship with both Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin, suggesting that this dynamic could facilitate a swift resolution to the war.
• Zelensky's Position: Zelensky acknowledged the challenges faced in Ukraine and expressed hope for improved relations with Trump, despite their historically strained ties. He reiterated Ukraine's need for continued pressure on Russia to halt its aggression and restore peace.
• Political Context: The meeting comes amid heightened political tensions in the U.S., as Trump has been critical of the Biden administration's funding for Ukraine. Zelensky's recent visit to a U.S. ammunition plant drew criticism from some lawmakers, further complicating their relationship.
• Future Prospects: Both leaders recognized the urgency of addressing the war, especially with upcoming elections in the U.S. that could alter support dynamics for Ukraine. Zelensky highlighted the importance of decisive action before November, as uncertainty looms over future U.S. policy.

Conclusion​

The meeting between Trump and Zelensky underscores the complexities of international diplomacy amid ongoing conflict. As both leaders navigate their respective political landscapes, their discussions may shape future strategies for addressing the war in Ukraine and influencing U.S. foreign policy moving forward.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839681395817316420

 

[Soldier35]

Episode of a recording of a Ukrainian soldier talking about the situation in the Kurakhovsky direction and a trip on a Ukrainian-made Kozak-7 armored vehicle. The group was hit by drones, the Kozak-7 armored vehicle was damaged, they tried to evacuate it at night using a BTS-4 tracked armored tractor, a Soviet-made vehicle developed in 1965. The soldier died in the Kurakhovsky direction during the assault. The General Staff of Ukraine called the Kurakhovsky direction the "hottest".

An episode of a battle in the Glushkovsky district of the Kursk region of Russia. The video shows an attack by FPV drones, models unknown, of the 106th Tula Airborne Division of Russia, on a column of the Ukrainian army. The column consists of an American-made Stryker armored personnel carrier, two BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicles and a Soviet-made BREM-1 armored recovery vehicle. The mechanized unit of the Ukrainian army was moving towards the village of Vesyoloye. The video is shortened, the dead servicemen are cut out

 

[vizier]

After the first jassm, storm shadow or similar hit inside Russia it will be open for countries close to Russia like Iran or China to sell air defense equipment to protect against those missiles. This will prevent Russian nuclear response. Also these countries can negotiate with Russia to influence them to use very limited strikes in areas like Kyiv , Odessa etc. as long as the air defense missiles are protecting Russia. Also unlike Kursk which is a high security threat for low security threats like in eastern Ukraine region it can be negotiated with Russia to reduce using fabs-tos type of heavy destructive weapons on Ukr trenches-buildings and focusing on bombing supply roads-ammo depots(low populated) etc. instead and encircling capturing opposing soldiers. Destruction of vehicles by piercing their armor is enough. Escaping traumatised soldiers wont be useful anymore. Also for taking out air defense vehicles steel pallets equipped warhead would be enough to take out the radar and sensors and the vehicle cannot be repaired. Injuring a soldier by fpv drone is also better as the other side will need to look after the soldier and carry the soldier back. When one side - the stronger side which is Russia reduces the tone in less-threat areas like the eastern Ukr. The other side then will reciprocate the behavior as well in my opinion. One side should reduce the tone and the other will follow in my opinion giving way to ceasefire.

Ukr energy production capability is diminished. They would need energy from Zaporijia NPP. This can be an item in negotiations after the ceasefire offered by Russia. Ofcourse the NPP needs to be continiously checked very carefully for Ukr not producing nuclear weapons. These items should be in the agreement. Retreat from Kursk and Russia leaving Kharkiv can be another item as well as no nato membership for Ukraine. After that as future govts take place(10 years maybe) and potential economic benefits for both countries can result in future Minsk 3 like agreements and Ukraine taking the lands back gradually as demilitarised zones maybe not threatening Crimea.

There should be a buffer zone of a few kms provided by Ukraine hosting multinational ceasefire observers on whole line of contact through Sumy,Kharkiv,Donetsk,Luhansk,Zaporijia and Kherson east bank of the river under Ukr control. Both countries need guarantors for ceasefire and if proven breach with significant evidence the guarantors of the other side would have right to provide-sell weapons to the other side as a deterrance measure.

Countries can produce their arms. But if they start buying strategic weapons like srbms or cruise missiles the other side would be eligible to buy similar documented amount. If it is not documented they can buy whatever they guess about the number that is bought by the other side so it is better for each side to document what they purchase. Ukraine can have limited number of F16s like 40 for example. Enough to defend but not to start an offensive. The number can be updated with respect to Russian aircraft production proportionally.