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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

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excuse me? do you have photos of the sunk warships ? if so kindly share

many Russian warships have been hit and hit badly especially the Pavel Derzhavin which is a very light patrol boat weighing around 1,500 tons

it was hit with a UUV with 150kg explosive warhead, it didnt sink

just shows how robust and tough the Russian warships are and how well they can take damage

as for the F16 and Harpoons kindly share this news with someone else who is a fanboy I am a realist

because we all of this will make as much difference as the "first" of everything starting with

Javelin, Stingers, Leopards, Challengers, Abrams, HIMARS then came HIMAR + ATACMS and God knows all the other "NATO wonder" weapons

how much difference did these weapons make? ZERO

because you are not fighting poor orphans in Palestine and bombing women and children

here you are fighting a True Global Superpower which has men and materials and they can fight, and not only fight they bring the fight right to the table and fight fairly and squarely and win the hard way
I was genuinely asking you which of the damaged ships Russia had repaired and put back into action.
The F-16 functioning as a sea denial platform using Harpoon missiles is an obvious solution for Ukraine.
For your information, Im not fighting anyone just as much as you are not a victem. Take your projection somewhere else.
 
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LOL


The comedian is begging for attention.
no reason to LOL. the comedian brings Ukraine into the EU faster than any other candidate country in Europe, and that midst in war against Russia. failed country like Turkey trying since half of century without succcess. but in just few months Ukraine has achieved more than 90 percent of requirements for the EU membership.

 
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reasons why Putin will not use nuclear weapons in the war against Ukraine (from" daily digest")

(1)
the readiness of russia nuclear arsenals is questionable.
maintaining nuclear weapons is extremely expensive. While the US spends $44.2 billion per year, Russia just $8.6 billion per year with larger nuclear stocks. Russia recent failed tests on ICBM and Poseidon gave the points. Putin would probably not want to nuke Russia by accident.

(2)
if nuking Ukraine then where? Ukraine army troop concentrations are not focused at certain areas but wide spred. Putin can target those Ukraine troop concentrations by conventional weapons. or he really wants to nuke Ukraine population centers?

If nuking Ukraine army Putin will nuke russian invasion army, too. However that is not Putin´s concern in nuking his own russians.

(3)
a Russia nuclear strike on Ukraine will scare of even the most anti west regimes in the world from Iran, China and North Korea. that would legitimate the nuclear response by the west in conventional wars.

Putin knows it.
in a conference in Oct 2022 he said he had no intention of using nuclear weapons in Ukraine. that makes no sense, neither politics nor military.
 
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Ukraine Goes On Defense, Trying To Delay The Inevitable. Military Summary And Analysis For 2023.11.5


The Fall | Military Coup In Kyiv? | Pummeling Of The Dnieper Bank. Military Summary For 2023.11.04

 
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The weakest point of russian invasion army is the Kerch bridge. Destroying the bridge will cut the russians off supplies from the mainland. More than half of men, women, ammo, oil, foods, drink waters go over the bridge, and then per rail or roads to the eastern front.

Advvika will fall. Ukraine strategy is to hold the position as long as possible, killing off russians as much as possible. That’s Bakhmut redux. That’s ok. Ukraine army can’t withstand endless russian assaults forever. That’s impossible. The Russians lose 500 men per day. 300,000 men dead and wounded since invasion. They still have 400,000 men in Ukraine thanks to constant resupply from Russia.. That will be a long war. The Russians still have millions men in reserves.
Really depends, if Russia have enough artillery for it, then yes, Adviivka would fall, as the Ukrainian hard focus is on Tokmak. The issue here is, whether or not if Russia have enough artillery to take Adviivka, because they loses at least 5 BTG from the attack 2 weeks ago, they wouldn't do that frontal assault if they can spare those Artillery on Adviivka.

Couple to the fact that it's most likely Russian offensive in Adviivka is more or less a diversion (similar to what they did with Kupiansk in August) to keep Ukrainian force off balance, the Russian can't push a lot of resources into Adviivka.

on another news. Ukraine have broke though Bakhmut southern Railway line 2 weeks ago according to ISW, and now Bakhmut is now considered being in contest once again.


Which mean Russia had lost the only major progress for the first 11 months in 2023......And Ukrainian force are right now at around 22km from Tokmak........There are a lot more for Russian to worry about than trying to take Adviivka.
 
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Really depends, if Russia have enough artillery for it, then yes, Adviivka would fall, as the Ukrainian hard focus is on Tokmak. The issue here is, whether or not if Russia have enough artillery to take Adviivka, because they loses at least 5 BTG from the attack 2 weeks ago, they wouldn't do that frontal assault if they can spare those Artillery on Adviivka.

Couple to the fact that it's most likely Russian offensive in Adviivka is more or less a diversion (similar to what they did with Kupiansk in August) to keep Ukrainian force off balance, the Russian can't push a lot of resources into Adviivka.

on another news. Ukraine have broke though Bakhmut southern Railway line 2 weeks ago according to ISW, and now Bakhmut is now considered being in contest once again.


Which mean Russia had lost the only major progress for the first 11 months in 2023......And Ukrainian force are right now at around 22km from Tokmak........There are a lot more for Russian to worry about than trying to take Adviivka.
The Russians have weapons that can completely change the game.
That's FOAB
 
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The Russians have weapons that can completely change the game.
That's FOAB
Russia can change the game by going home.

Bombs can't rout Ukrainian defences, the amount of FOAB they will need to drop on just Adviivka alone to turn the ties would means the entire Russian Air Force needs to go into action. How many of them will come back and whether or not Russia even wanted to do that is another issue.

There is a reason why the Russian tried that Tanks assault like they did back in WW2 instead of using FOAB. They lost at least 1 Armour Brigade worth of tanks in that 2-week assault, you would think if FOAB can change anything they would have used it already....
 
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Really depends, if Russia have enough artillery for it, then yes, Adviivka would fall, as the Ukrainian hard focus is on Tokmak. The issue here is, whether or not if Russia have enough artillery to take Adviivka, because they loses at least 5 BTG from the attack 2 weeks ago, they wouldn't do that frontal assault if they can spare those Artillery on Adviivka.

Couple to the fact that it's most likely Russian offensive in Adviivka is more or less a diversion (similar to what they did with Kupiansk in August) to keep Ukrainian force off balance, the Russian can't push a lot of resources into Adviivka.

on another news. Ukraine have broke though Bakhmut southern Railway line 2 weeks ago according to ISW, and now Bakhmut is now considered being in contest once again.


Which mean Russia had lost the only major progress for the first 11 months in 2023......And Ukrainian force are right now at around 22km from Tokmak........There are a lot more for Russian to worry about than trying to take Adviivka.
More than just diversion the russians appear wanting to take Awdvvika at all costs. They have amassed troops. The russians have there the second combined arms army. They attacking Ukraine garrisons days and nights from the flanks. There is a risk Awdvvika will fall.
Ukraine army has taken unit of leopards 2 from the southern front and deployed to Awdvvika.
That means Ukraine southern offensive would come to halt.

1699198203430.png
 
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More than just diversion the russians appear wanting to take Awdvvika at all costs. They have amassed troops. The russians have there the second combined arms army. They attacking Ukraine garrisons days and nights from the flanks. There is a risk Awdvvika will fall.
Ukraine army has taken unit of leopards 2 from the southern front and deployed to Awdvvika.
That means Ukraine southern offensive would come to halt.

View attachment 968795
Well, again, if they were going after Adviivka, they would not just send 2nd guard army into the fray, and they wouldn't fight like this to begin with. Unless there is a serious tactical change in the situation ahead, I don't see how the Russian is going to threaten Adviivka, the Russian effort in Adviivka is minimal, they had around 300,000 troop on the frontline, and they put around 15000 on Adviivka, that's nothing.

As I said, it's more or less just trying to get Ukrainian off balance.

On the other hand, it's probably quite clear now those armor are not doing what Ukraine expecting, running those armor is not going to break the Russian line open, they are useful ONCE the line was broken but Ukraine aren't at that stage yet, those tank are not going to do anything until they further degrade the Russian defence capability. It's smart play to redeploy those tank to Donetsk now and while they further grind down Russian southern defence with HIMARS/ATACMS combo.
 
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Well, again, if they were going after Adviivka, they would not just send 2nd guard army into the fray, and they wouldn't fight like this to begin with. Unless there is a serious tactical change in the situation ahead, I don't see how the Russian is going to threaten Adviivka, the Russian effort in Adviivka is minimal, they had around 300,000 troop on the frontline, and they put around 15000 on Adviivka, that's nothing.

As I said, it's more or less just trying to get Ukrainian off balance.

On the other hand, it's probably quite clear now those armor are not doing what Ukraine expecting, running those armor is not going to break the Russian line open, they are useful ONCE the line was broken but Ukraine aren't at that stage yet, those tank are not going to do anything until they further degrade the Russian defence capability. It's smart play to redeploy those tank to Donetsk now and while they further grind down Russian southern defence with HIMARS/ATACMS combo.
Ukraine needs more long range weapons. If the west delivers what Ukraine needs to destroy Russia supply lines the war is over.

Do the math.
Russia invasion army is about 400,000 men, even after already losing 300,000 men dead and wounded.
100,000 men in combat requires 400 tons foods per day, tanks and other military vehicles need 2 million litres diesel fuels per day. Then coming thousands of tons of ammunition, medicals, other fuels. Then multiple 4 per day.
The russian army logistics must carry those supplies hundreds of miles from the depots to the eastern front. The main route goes over the Kerch.

If Ukraine can destroy the Kerch, half of russians can’t fight, have nothing to eat, nothing to drink, they won’t survive long. They will retreat and piss off.
 
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no reason to LOL. the comedian brings Ukraine into the EU faster than any other candidate country in Europe, and that midst in war against Russia. failed country like Turkey trying since half of century without succcess. but in just few months Ukraine has achieved more than 90 percent of requirements for the EU membership.


You have no clue. Ukraine is finished. The Americans are not in the mood to support Zelensky for an eternity.

The moment Ukraine becomes a member of EU, Russia has more reason to take Ukraine to task. What will you guys do when Ukraine is attacked after becoming an EU member?

LOL at failed country Turkey. Is that why you guys depend on Turkey for grain deal and negotiations?

Winter Offensive Coming Soon. Time to head towards the Dnipro....


Russia should absolutely make most of this opportunity.
 
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