Aviation industry doesn't shut down immediately so you are not proving anybody wrong...First only the aircraft in the maintenance cycle are impacted for not getting spares. Not every aircraft in Russian fleet was due to for significant maintenance.
Then you have cannibalization of parts. Reduce your flying fleet by half and cannibalize the remaining. That will take more than a year to be felt.
Third, overall air traffic is down any way since there are a limited number of places Russian aircraft can fly to. This stretches the time it will take for it to be felt.
And finally, it doesnt say that flights are on Russian carriers (who can fly to very few places), but flights OUT of Russia. They are not one in the same. There are 30 international carriers still flying there.
And the fortess economy as it comes to aviation specifically is shot. Even the Sukhoi Regional jet has Honeywell avionics and Western Engines. Russians can take trains around their country like its the 40s.
So you have all the right to admire Russia, but choose a different axis of admiration.
Nazis were fighting a multi-front war vs. all resources focused on Russia front. Their hegemony stretched them too thin. Plus Russia was fighting a militarily defense campaign. Much easier to beat the Germans when they are invading.
Neither holds true here. It has more of a track record of losing on the attacking side (Afghanistan) and Ukraine plus most of the industrialized world is fighting against Russia by proxy.
Material: sure , lets see if they can crank out more of the advanced equipment vs. rely on countries even further behind than them to supply them artillery.
Unfortunately for Putin, the sort of living in the past confidence and euphoria is the belief that his advisers have been giving him which led to this sort of an incompetent operation. Almost to the incompetence level that you would think that Putin is not former KGB but a current US/British deep operative.
Nobody else would fight this way.
You say you're in anti-Russian stance, agree with the sanctions, but who knows that, you developed almost perfect oil transfer system.
