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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2


Overstretched Russian forces may lack the mechanized reserve to thwart Ukraine establishing a bridgehead on the Dnipro River, report says​

Story by nrennolds@insider.com (Nathan Rennolds) •9h



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Ukraine has seen some successes in warfare along the Dnipro River. The Command of the Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine/Facebook

Ukraine has seen some successes in warfare along the Dnipro River. The Command of the Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine/Facebook© Provided by Business Insider
  • A "mechanized" Russian counterattack may threaten Ukraine's advanced position, a think tank said.
  • The Institute for the Study of War said it was unclear if Russia had the necessary reserves.
  • Ukraine's special forces recently broke Russian defensive lines in a raid across the Dnipro River.

Read the original article on Business Insider
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1 of 24 Photos in Gallery©Ukraine's Presidential Office via AP

Photos show the flooded destruction the Kakhovka dam break is causing for tens of thousands of people in Ukraine​

  • The Kakhovka dam was destroyed Tuesday, releasing water from a reservoir into the Dnipro River.
  • Photos show the destruction the floods are causing an estimated 38,000 people in southern Ukraine.
  • Ukraine and Russia accused each other of blowing it up. Russia controls the area around the dam.
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Russia's overstretched forces may lack the mechanized reserves to successfully thwart a Ukrainian bridgehead across the Dnipro River, a report by the Institute for the Study of War says.
The US think tank said that "an effective Russian mechanized counterattack could threaten" Ukraine's advanced position but that it was "unclear if Russian forces possess the mechanized reserves necessary to do so."
In a thread on X, the think tank broke down the latest situation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, noting that "Russian mil bloggers acknowledged that Ukrainian forces are maintaining a presence on the east (left) bank of the Dnipro river in Kherson Oblast."


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Related video: Kyiv targets Russian re-supply routes (Sky News)


But the think tank said it did not believe Ukraine had yet established a bridgehead. A bridgehead across the waterway from the recaptured city of Kherson on the southern section of the 750-mile front line would put Ukrainian forces in a position to contemplate an advance toward Russian-occupied Crimea — and split the Russian invasion force in two.


A sign warning of mines by the Dnipro River in Kherson, Ukraine. REUTERS/Nacho Doce

A sign warning of mines by the Dnipro River in Kherson, Ukraine. REUTERS/Nacho Doce© REUTERS/Nacho Doce
It also said that "continuing Russian claims that Ukrainian forces maintain a presence on the east bank of the Dnipro River suggest that Russian forces are concerned that they have established semi-lasting positions across the river."
The Institute said it was keeping a "conservative assessment" of the movements in the Kherson oblast, and it was waiting for "visual confirmation of an enduring Ukrainian presence on the east bank" of the region.
Ukraine has been enjoying some success of late in warfare along the river, with its special forces breaking through Russian defensive lines and capturing or killing some enemy soldiers in a raid across the Dnipro River, as Insider previously reported.
But Michael Clarke, a defense expert and a professor at King's College London, told Sky News that the raid seemed to be "more of a distraction than anything else."
"The biggest breach they've made is south of Zaporizhzhia. They've got another one in Bakhmut, and another at Velyka Novosilka further south — so they've got at least four breaches," Clarke said.
"They are going to try to go through one or more rather quickly," he added.
 
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Summer Operations | Bloody Battles For Urozhaine and Klishchiivka Military Summary For 2023.8.13

 
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This is the smaller/weaker defending country making threats back to Russia? Interesting first development.

Only way we know the threat works is if we so no more attacks on Odessa and other ports, and Ukraine may leave the Russian shipping fleet alone.

May be this is why after last week's Ukrainian sea drone attacks, Russians haven't gone after the ports and thats a line they both draw.

Two observations:

1. If this is the leverage Ukraine can have , then imagine the Nordic NATO states around Baltic that have much better anti-ship weaponry.

2. The bigger item of note is that everybody's blue water navy will no longer be able to operate within a 100 miles of an enemey's shore and not be sitting ducks for the sea drones.



Ukraine will mirror Russian attacks in Black Sea - Zelenskiy​

Reuters
August 8, 202310:45 AM EDTUpdated 5 days ago



[1/2]View of the damage at a grain port facility after a reported attack by Russian military drones in the Odesa region, Ukraine August 2, 2023. Prosecutor General's Office via Telegram/Handout via REUTERS/File Photo


KYIV, Aug 8 (Reuters) - President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said in a video published on Tuesday that Ukraine would fight back against Russia in the Black Sea to ensure its waters were not blockaded and it could import and export grain and other goods.

The comments, published on the president's website, come days after Ukrainian maritime drones packed with explosives damaged a Russian warship near a major Russian port and struck a Russian tanker.


"If Russia continues to dominate the Black Sea, outside its territory, blockading or firing at us again, launching missiles at our ports, Ukraine will do the same. This is a just defence of our opportunities, of any corridor," Zelenskiy said.

"We don't have that many ships. But they should clearly understand that by the end of the war, they will have zero ships, zero."

He called on Russia to stop firing missiles and drones at Ukrainian ports and to allow trade to take place, in comments made at a briefing with reporters from Latin American countries.


It was not clear when the briefing at his office in Kyiv had taken place.

Tensions in and near the Black Sea have escalated since Russia last month withdrew from a deal allowing the safe export of grain from Ukrainian ports. Russian drones and missiles have repeatedly struck Ukrainian port facilities and grain silos.

Ukraine responded by launching sea-drone attacks on a Russian oil tanker and a Russian warship at its Novorossiysk naval base, next door to a major grain and oil port.


Russia blocked Ukrainian Black Sea ports at the start of its invasion in February 2022. The blockade is suffocating Ukraine economically as its pre-war economy was largely export-driven, with steel and grains as key exports.

Reporting by Olena Harmash; editing by Tom Balmforth and Alex Richardson
 
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Why don't they put along the kercg bridge S-500 missiles in order to prevent incoming threat missiles from Ukraine?

i dont know exactly how complicated it is to intrecept a missile , but i understand it is not an easy task.
 
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Then you had better tell your lovely Putin to stop lobbying missiles on Kyiv. They don’t have any military purpose as civilian concrete structure over expensive cruise missiles, the concrete structure may get destroyed but does not change the outcome. So if there is no psychological effect than why is every 2 weeks Russia raising its heads and attacking and when a drone hits a glass building the cowards cry a ‘terrorist’ attack.

Just the fact that Moscow is getting attacked, regardless of lack of impact, is humiliation enough that I will be happy with for disrupting the entire make up fo SOut Asia through Soviet invasion
Lol, so now you are trying to stick to rabulistics? Oh, wait: You are doing it the whole time.:lol:

You bs talker are not in the position to evaluate the military impact of the russian attacks. And, to correct your confused view: Russia actually attacked kiev many, many times before even one drone has reached moscow.

And the humilation exists only in your degenerated brain. It doesn't even makes sense.
 
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Strikes On Odessa. The Russians Have Completely Withdrawn From Urozhaine. Military Summary 2023.8.14

 
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This is the smaller/weaker defending country making threats back to Russia? Interesting first development.
Development?:lol:

This is an another example, how disconnected you nato bots are from the reality and make things up, only to generate some stupid propaganda point. But the fact is: The lunatics in kiev are threatening Russia the whole time. You wanna see an example? "We will capture crimea by the summer!" And other delusions like this.

And of course these lunatics have the whole nato lunatic crew behind its back. Here you can see it, degenerates are ruling the west:

 
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To be honest, on technology equal level, that conflict was not balanced nor on the same level of weapons used.
You had 38 countries in one side and lonely Iraq with post WW2 weapons in its arsenal.

I wouldn't even call that a conflict, it was 1 way traffic simply.
Does that same method applies to fighting the Taliban with multiple countries fighting it and lost? Perhaps conventional warfare is something U.S. is better at.
 
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