Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen
BANNED
- Joined
- Oct 15, 2017
- Messages
- 28,401
- Reaction score
- -82
- Country
- Location
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
3- Russia will escalate if it believes it's losing the war by using tactical nukes. But is afraid of losing Chinese support
Don't know about 6-8 weeks but two observerations
1- Russia didn't use liberal air power may be they are afraid of Ukraine defense systems or their aircrafts are just bad
2- Russia can't achieve dniper river goal.
3- Russia will escalate if it believes it's losing the war by using tactical nukes. But is afraid of losing Chinese support
4- Russia goal is to defeat ukriane in conventional war by taking all areas it's claim and then demanding on negotiation table the areas it's annexed plus no NATO Membership.
It will keep fighting untill these two objectives were acheived
Europeans?Europeans are increasingly realising and have had enough of the clown of Kievs BS.
China fear regarding Russia losing is Taiwan becoming too much "cokey" ... Taiwan may declare independence or join some alliance forcing China hand which China doesn't wantI have seen multiple Western analyst saying if Russia goes down then China knows that 'China is next'.
So far the Chinese have been very very carefully supporting Russia by keeping the trade going and maybe export some weapons/ammos; the Chinese fear enhanced Western sanctions which would really hurt China (and the West).
Anyone who thinks NATO will do something if Russia uses nukes in ukriane is living in fool paradise..There’s a simple reason Russian air force is impotent. Ukraine has a large stock of Soviet Cold War era anti-air systems. Basically the same generation as Russian air force. Since Ukrainian’s SAMs Force Russian planes to fly low, they become vulnerable to shorter range systems and even MANIPADS. With no air defence suppression doctrine, there’s very little Russia can do at this point;; ( on Nukes) He won’t use any , no matter what kind. Because he knows exactly that the answer of nato would be catastrophic for all. Besides could they be so stupid as to use nukes . Something that would just blow radiation their way! What he could use if he get desperate enough Russians might use chemical or biological weapons , and ones with with a low persistency for purposes of plausible deniability. ( Russian winning) As long as the western Alliance keep supplying the Ukrainian Army with tanks, planes, artillery pieces, etc etc the Russian invasion will eventually break and retreat back to their Russia.
China fear regarding Russia losing is Taiwan becoming too much "cokey" ... Taiwan may declare independence or join some alliance forcing China hand which China doesn't want
Anyone who thinks NATO will do something if Russia uses nukes in ukriane is living in fool paradise..