Putins strategic military obsession with Bakhmut is a great mystery? Maybe the deal with the Wagner chief is to just burn through the Russian prisoners as cannon fodder, to make the Ukrainian's use up men and materials , whilst the new Russian conscripts get some basic training?
A small update from stuff I can tell from what is known to public already:
- RUAF committed serious amount of cannon fodder to the frontlines, true. Because of that, much of AFU's Sep-Oct offensive plans been called off.
- Western promise to deliver more armour been failed again.
- Overfocus on air defence been a major screw-up. It was made to divert allied attention from Ukraine's more important armour, and artillery needs.
- Bakhmut is a slaughterhouse not making any side any good, but it spoils AFU's attempts to divert a significant portion of its better infantry to cutting RU logistic infra in the North, and breach preparation in the South. Everybody sure it's a very deliberate action on Russian side
- Russian mechanised been pulled back to reform behind possible Ukrainian breach targets.
- Still a f##ning critical shortage of artillery, and APCs, which NATO donors could've filled in 1 week with ease. Men are fuming, completely furious at that. This made AFU to lose enormously good opportunities to take more territories by walkover in Sep-Oct, and trying to attrite Russians retreating from Kherson more aggressively.
- Russian mine warfare going extreme, literal tens of tons of mines are being planted across all frontlines every day. AFU will need tens of engineering vehicles for demining to resume breach attempts.
- All of above made AFU GHQ to take a hard decision to forego all offensive operations in favour of building more massive reserve, and hope for a stalemate breaking in the spring.