ares
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sorry dont agree with u r post.
surprise and deception works very well in context of conventional warfare however it is terrible to bring these elements in nuclear issues. that is why there is so much emphasis on confidence building measures between two rivals. u dont want a rival to live in a state of deception with regard to u r operational nuclear policy. hence, it is always better to spell out nuclear doctrine well in advance so that u r rivals know "wat is u r limit of tolerance wen attacked". if u keep it ambigouous it can result in nuclear war.
india should revise its policy from no first use to no first use against non nuclear state. the latter is also followed by chinese and is considered far more agressive posture then former.
If given a choice that only one would survive..be it me or my enemy..I rather, it would be me.
If both the enemies declare a first use policy..then it will just be a race..to who will use the weapons first..nuclear threashold will reached much earlier.
Example...Pakistan has a first use policy..all it preparations are made with that in mind..that it will be the first one to use nuclear weapons.
It believes that it will cause significant damage to India in first strike, even though will be wiped in India's second strike.
What if we can lower the damage to India by striking first..but we don't need to declare this policy ..as it will have the alarm bells ringing in enemy camp and they will prepare for such an eventuality(maybe deploy its weapons at sea).
This is the surprise and deception, I am talking about.