Ah finally, the post. Okay, so China. Yeah, although they may be an authoritarian regime at home, the Chinese play a very even handed game when Foreign Policy objectives are involved, They can easily blockade the Filipinos in their ports without sparing a sizable part of their fleet, but they don't do that because the Chinese govt is more rational than you think.
You are wrong about my thinking. The chinese are in fact very rational and that is why they will not let any vote or anything resembling a vote in any territory they control which include parts of J&K. It will have a domino effect on their polity.
I wasn't saying that this is going to go down inevitably on so and so date, I think you have not bothered to follow the context of the post and maybe taken a swig too many. The discussion I was having with the member in question came down to what would China do if, and that's a very big if, India and Pakistan decided to go ahead with the plebiscite. We were delving in an alternate narrative for the Indo-Pak relationship and when China was brought into the equation, I voiced my opinion that the Chinese would not let this opportunity slide and they would endorse the plebiscite to avoid passing a point of prestige to India and Pakistan in the region alone.
I would have personally wanted to infract your post since it is not in the best of spirits and totally detached from the context of the discussion at hand but since it is in response to my post, I feel it will be dictatorial of me to pass judgement. I therefore leave it in the hands of more capable moderators to judge.
The problem for China is that they would have to conduct plebiscite in land which they control. Which they would reject rightaway. Especially because noone is asking them to conduct one. China did not worry about prestige when they propped up North Korea. They won't bother even offering their occupied Kashmir into the crucible.
As far as China is concerned, the land which they have is theirs. You can see the same attitude in their other conflicts. Pakistan is the only country which did not experience this Chinese stance, if only because they simply gave away what China wanted.
I may have been a little undiplomatic, but naiveté it was to expect India to give away territory. My post was in the context of the conversation. I might have vented on you over the general attitude in Pakistani circles, military(they even expect India to give away whole of J&K no questions asked) or civilian where they expect somehow that India should lose J&K part of whole and without even bothering with the sanctity of Kashmiri unity, all along pretending to have Kashmir's best interests in mind. For example, I haven't seen one Kashmiri nationalist(who are supposed to be the majority in the valley) who will accept partition of J&K. And even many pro-Pakistani separatists(on both sides of LoC) would hate partition. Even the ones who might accept partition do so tactically only as a prelude to gain the rest of J&K later.
Once this fact becomes clear and Kashmiris have to make a hard choice between unity and accession to Pakistan, whatever support Pakistan has will become diluted. That is the secret behind the ambiguity that Pakistan maintains regarding the issue and it explains all the below actions:
1) Asking for a non-binding decades old plebiscite which anyway gives only two options to J&K people.
2) Claiming J&K for itself before the international community while calling independence as an option before Kashmiris.
3) Giving away territory that China asked for and then inserting a inconsequential clause that once sovereignty of J&K is decided, border will be renegotiated(Good luck for anyone doing that with China)
4) Erasing any sense of realism from the conversation in Pakistan and in separatist circles as to what the final solution should be. So much so that no one thinks it is illogical to expect India to cede territory now given the leverage each side has. When there is no logic, there is no need to explain the hard choice either.