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Pakistani position in any Iran/US conflict

Nothing will happen. Iranian Mullahs are just stirring up emotional shi.t which they have to since they have no other choice. Now as far as US is concerned, again, it can't do shi.t in Iran. There is Russia in the neighborhood. There are Russian and Chinese Navies in the Persian Gulf. The most the US can do is do airstrikes in regions where there is no air defense. Big deal. Things will die down in the next few weeks as this is just a distraction from a much bigger event that will take place in the next few months. And no, it has nothing to do with Military.
 
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This is what I think the Pakistani position on any Iran-US conflict should be. Of course I expect our government to do nothing of the sort and do whatever Saudi/UAE tells it to do, or the US threatens it to do.

I think we should remain neutral. We should urge de-escalation and ask both sides to show restraint. We should demand that the UN and other international states intervene and prevent/stop a war.

My heart says we should stand by Iran as a fellow Muslim state, but my brain knows better than that. Iran doesn't consider us an ally, Iran doesn't consult us when fighting proxy wars across the Middle East and Iran doesn't seem to fussed about recruiting from Pakistan for it's proxy wars. They look after their national interest ahead of everything else and we must do the same. Brotherhood is not a one-way street.

We should refuse any US requests to use our airspace or territory to attack Iran (like Turkey did in the war against Iraq). We should continue to fence the border, but also be prepared to take in refugees in the very unlikely scenario that there is a ground invasion.

I expect this war will be limited to missile strikes and airstrikes, it'd all go very wrong for the USA if they ever considered a ground invasion of Iran. It's unwinnable. Iran mostly is ethnically the same (Persian) and mostly religiously the same (Shia). It doesn't have the social rifts that were exploited in Iraq/Syria/Afghanistan. Whatever the outcome, I expect we will have an Ayatollah in charge of Iran, or a government inspired by people like him - there will be no successful regime change. We need to be careful not to burn any bridges.

There is a slight possibility that Iranian retaliation might include attacks on US bases in Arab states. This might lead to the Gulf Arab states getting directly involved in the war. Even if they do, we must remain neutral and not get involved, not at any cost or for any price. We are at a stage where we are set to grow, we don't need to get involved in a regional war, especially siding with snakes. If anything we should pray the Ayatollahs kill some kings and princes and the kings and princes kill some Atayollahs. Win-win for us.

If a remote scenario where to occur where a ground invasion followed (this is incredibly unlikely), we should wait it out, see which side looks likely to win (in my case those loyal to the regime in Iran will come out on top) and covertly provide support through Afghanistan for whichever side comes out on top. We should maintain contact with both sides of the conflict, the to-be imposed puppet, as well as the current government.

I want to add a few points;
  • Iran has helped Paksitan in its wars against India in 1965 and 71. Let's not forget in Pakistan's hard time, Iranians stood with Pakitan. In the upcoming war with India, Pakistan would need such support again.
  • Iran used to be neutral until Paksitan became too focussed towards the Arab world, and then Iranians equally ignored Pakistan and stopped considering its interests. Since Pakistan is on the balancing course towards Saudi Arabia and UAE after their ill-treatment, it is time when Pakistan balances its relationship with Iran as well.
  • By refusing to join USA against Iran, Pakistan has already given Iran a favourable weight. This favourable weight should get a favour back in Afghanistan to help USA leave and Iran will be more than happy to facilitate that.
 
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