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Pakistan to test fire a medium range missile?

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the navy warning includes between 12th and 13th november

here it is

MISSILE FIRING WILL BE CARRIED OUT BETWEEN 0400 TO 0700 UTC
ON 12 AND 13 NOV 14 IN AREA BOUNDED BY FOLLOWING COORDINATES
 
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For the last time, Tilla Jogian/Jhelum was a launch site used in the late 90s for Ghauris, and hasn't been used since then. The entire Shaheen series utilizes the Somniani facility. So the range is not more than 3000km under any circumstance (according to the mentioned cordoned-off area coordinates).

For now, the only good news would be that Pakistan has developed an MRBM which can be sent approx. 700km up (and down again), but is yet to be tested.
Both sites are "Usable" test ranges. If need arises,tilla Jogian can still be used.
Correct that many Missiles were fired from Sonmiani,but for a Northward trajectory,as Pakistan avoids attracting international attention by issuing NOTAM and NAVTEX/INMARSAT safety messages and cordoning off oceanic areas.
How can we justify the altitude mentioned in the messages? a 700 KM range missile does not rise to an altitude of 692KM?
 
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Both sites are "Usable" test ranges. If need arises,tilla Jogian can still be used.
Correct that many Missiles were fired from Sonmiani,but for a Northward trajectory,as Pakistan avoids attracting international attention by issuing NOTAM and NAVTEX/INMARSAT safety messages and cordoning off oceanic areas.
How can we justify the altitude mentioned in the messages? a 700 KM range missile does not rise to an altitude of 692KM?
I disagree, because there is no infrastructure set up for a complex test like this one at Tilla.
There is a difference b/w a test range (which is more like a target practicing area) and a launch facility. Both are present at Somniani.
There is no fixed altitude/range ratio for BMs. Besides, Pakistan is much less advanced in BM tech, so we can expect that the trajectory will not be anywhere near a depressed one. However, I do agree that 692km is too high for a missile which is to impact 2500km away according to NOTAM coordinates. Maybe 692km includes a vertical offset for a safe corridor.
I referred to ~700km as the altitude, not range.
 
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If Fighter Jets are flying over Karachi than something big is about to happen
 
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@LoveIcon
New NOTAM

paknavy.gov.pk/securite/20141105SEC%20302.txt

SECURITE

050800 UTC NOV 2014


NAVAREA NINE (.) 302 (.) ARABIAN SEA (.) PAKISTAN (.) CHARTS BA
4071 AND 4705 (.)

2. MISSILE FIRING WILL BE CARRIED OUT BETWEEN 0400 TO 0700 UTC
ON 12 AND 13 NOV 14 IN AREA BOUNDED BY FOLLOWING COORDINATES:

A. (1) 25-11.89N 066-21.70E
(2) 25-02.95N 066-36.57E
(3) 24-17.67N 066-04.20E
(4) 24-26.40N 065-49.20E


B. (1) 15-53.18N 060-06.12E
(2) 15-41.43N 060-25.07E
(3) 14-55.94N 059-54.68E
(4) 15-07.47N 059-35.73E


ALTITUDE 436000 METRES

3. SHIPS AND CRAFT ARE TO KEEP WELL CLEAR AND NOT TO ENTER ASSIGNED
DANGER AREA ON ABOVE SPECIFIED DATES AND TIME (.)

4. CANCEL THIS MESSAGE ON 130900 UTC NOV 14.

http://paknavy.gov.pk/securite/20141105SEC 302.txt
 
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SECURITE

050800 UTC NOV 2014


NAVAREA NINE (.) 302 (.) ARABIAN SEA (.) PAKISTAN (.) CHARTS BA
4071 AND 4705 (.)

2. MISSILE FIRING WILL BE CARRIED OUT BETWEEN 0400 TO 0700 UTC
ON 12 AND 13 NOV 14 IN AREA BOUNDED BY FOLLOWING COORDINATES:

A. (1) 25-11.89N 066-21.70E
(2) 25-02.95N 066-36.57E
(3) 24-17.67N 066-04.20E
(4) 24-26.40N 065-49.20E


B. (1) 15-53.18N 060-06.12E
(2) 15-41.43N 060-25.07E
(3) 14-55.94N 059-54.68E
(4) 15-07.47N 059-35.73E


ALTITUDE 436000 METRES

3. SHIPS AND CRAFT ARE TO KEEP WELL CLEAR AND NOT TO ENTER ASSIGNED
DANGER AREA ON ABOVE SPECIFIED DATES AND TIME (.)

4. CANCEL THIS MESSAGE ON 130900 UTC NOV 14.

http://paknavy.gov.pk/securite/20141105SEC 302.txt
Yes date is 12 and 13th november not 7 and 8
 
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Yes date is 12 and 13th november not 7 and 8
SECURITE

050800 UTC NOV 2014


NAVAREA NINE (.) 302 (.) ARABIAN SEA (.) PAKISTAN (.) CHARTS BA
4071 AND 4705 (.)

2. MISSILE FIRING WILL BE CARRIED OUT BETWEEN 0400 TO 0700 UTC
ON 12 AND 13 NOV 14 IN AREA BOUNDED BY FOLLOWING COORDINATES:

A. (1) 25-11.89N 066-21.70E
(2) 25-02.95N 066-36.57E
(3) 24-17.67N 066-04.20E
(4) 24-26.40N 065-49.20E


B. (1) 15-53.18N 060-06.12E
(2) 15-41.43N 060-25.07E
(3) 14-55.94N 059-54.68E
(4) 15-07.47N 059-35.73E


ALTITUDE 436000 METRES

3. SHIPS AND CRAFT ARE TO KEEP WELL CLEAR AND NOT TO ENTER ASSIGNED
DANGER AREA ON ABOVE SPECIFIED DATES AND TIME (.)

4. CANCEL THIS MESSAGE ON 130900 UTC NOV 14.
There were two separate warnings actually, one for 7th & 8th november and the second one for 12th & 13th (go check the source yourself).
Nothing seems to have happened so far, so the test, if any was ever planned-and we are not merely speculating on someone's stupidity, will most probably be on the 12th & 13th of this month.
 
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I disagree, because there is no infrastructure set up for a complex test like this one at Tilla.
There is a difference b/w a test range (which is more like a target practicing area) and a launch facility. Both are present at Somniani.
There is no fixed altitude/range ratio for BMs. Besides, Pakistan is much less advanced in BM tech, so we can expect that the trajectory will not be anywhere near a depressed one. However, I do agree that 692km is too high for a missile which is to impact 2500km away according to NOTAM coordinates. Maybe 692km includes a vertical offset for a safe corridor.
I referred to ~700km as the altitude, not range.

The 692 km altitude refers to the testing of the new larger first stage booster. Over 6 m in length and a larger diameter (slightly smaller than 2m) Likely, it is will be coupled with the Shaheen II second stage at this point to test separation etc... Further ahead, it's likely the new first stage will also be used as a second stage as well. A shorter version will also serve as a third stage. Development will proceed along the lines of India's Agni series with similar specifications.


A test may or may not have gone ahead today as per planned. If a test did go ahead today, it may or may not be officially announced by ISPR as a First Stage booster does not constitute a 'new system'.
 
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