That is just speculation - absolutely no facts to back it up. Unless you can provide some hard evidence to validate your claim that a country a year old had enough clout in the UN to get the majority of nations to twist the reality of the situation and pass a resolution favoring Pakistan, and then also force India to accept it, this is a fairy tale you raise.
Firstly, India has never supported or has never been supported by a foreign power till the soviets came to the rescue in 1960s. India had destroyed too many alliances through the NAM movt especially in Africa and Latin America. Why do u think right now there is very little US and Russian presence in AFRICA while there is so much of chinese and indian influence there. Secondly, the fact that another big country starts progressing means more headache for them, be it US or russia.
All UN resolutions made between india and pakistan till date have been against india. Why else do u think india has been pushing for bilateral negotiations while pak has been pushing for trilateral negotiations along with the US. The talks will again go to paks favour with US involvement.
This kept India confined in south asia for the last 50 years, which was good for the other countries too. Only the 2008 Indo-US deal has successfully dehyphenated india from pak.
Right now, the conditions are such that, if pak moved to the UN against india. The resolution will go into india's favour. It is because of US and russian interests in India which are more positive than negative.
The fact is that India took the dispute to the UN, and willingly agreed to the resolutions. That the UNSC decision was correct is validated by the condition of plebiscite attached to the Instrument of Accession, which is the basis of India's claim to J&K. SO the UNSC resolutions essentially validate the condition of that plebiscite, and laid out a mechanism to implement it, which India reneged on later.
You actually believe that a population can "vote" for independence from another country. It has never happened in 5000 years and it never can. Look at the case of taiwan. Even with a highly educated population, they cannot just VOTE themselves free. Freedom can only come from bilateral negotiations. If we go to a third party (like UN or US), the end effect will be one country wins while the other loses. That must not happen. Bilateral negotiations ensure that both party wins and loses equally and this is the only way to go about kashmir.
Look at the Balighar project. Is pakistan happy with the UN resolution????
Quite frankly if India believed that the Kashmiris weer on its side then it should have conducted the plebiscite, and followed its international obligations and agreements. Instead it unilaterally chose to walk out from the agreed upon mechanism of dispute resolution, leaving Pakistan with no choice but to attempt covert means to try and force the issue.
Gandhi said that even if a large section of the population supports something. It is not necessary that they are always right in supporting it. Look at the current situation on pak. Pak citizens are blaming the same leaders they have elected to power. What makes you think a war torn region will actually make the right decision??
Voting in india or pakistan has never been fool proof. There has been seizing of ballot, riots, etc. The same thing will continue in kashmir. Do u remember that the last elections in kashmir which were proved to be free and fair by a number of UN analysts, the vote turnover was only 44%. If the plebiscite was accepted by both india and pakistan, then it is also required that the population under plebiscite should have had some education. The population of kashmir has been fed propaganda from both india and pak. Their decision will tend to go wrong rather than right.
If you are trying to use the refugee crisis as an excuse for why India initiated war in 1971, the that is flawed. We have pointed out in threads elsewhere that Indian planning for war and covert support for militants in East Pakistan existed a long time before the refugee numbers were anywhere close to unmanageable. The timeline also indicates that the worst of th refugee crisis, and the worsening situation in East Pakistan, came about after Indian support for the insurgents in EP had started. So while the underlying issues were indeed Pakistan's fault, the explosion of the situation beyond the point of no return owed a lot Indian interventionism.
I only said that the refugee crisis gave india the "reason" to invade. The prospect of war will only increase the flow of refugees. Mind you, the people were leaving east pakistan to "safer" places. The refugees had always expected india to walk into east pak.
India only used the "for greater good" to split pak into 2.
Pakistani institutions have always been weaker because of the lack of widespread democratic traditions and the traditional stranglehold of the Feudals and Sardars on the political scene. As well as the stranglehold economically of these people due to Pakistan not having any industry to speak off, and therefore overwhelmingly an agricultural country.
There were a lot of industries in india and pak at the time of independence. The case was, raw materials and industries were on different sides of the border. I have posted this elsewhere in the forum. Jute plantations were in west bengal while jute industries were in Bangladesh. Because of non existence of trade laws, the industries suffered from non existence of raw materials. The lack of industry across the borders was mutual. Both countries suffered.
The only difference was Nehru did more for india than the pakistani leaders did for pakistan. For eg, Nehru was hell bent on creating india a knowledge superpower and tried his best to provide good education. Thats the reason institutions like IIT, IIM, IISC etc were set up. Also, political instability was more widespread in india due to india's expansionist policies within india, like hyderabad, manipur, nagaland etc. India and pakistan, both started on a similar level.
India may have had similar challenges, but it was better off and more diverse economically and politically, which gave enough room for democracy to flourish. Again, you keep trying to argue as if I am defending military intervention, which I am not. I am merely pointing out that the arguments advanced by proponents of military intervention had little to do with Kashmir or India, and more to do with a failure of the civilian governments and the perceived threat to Pakistan from their policies.
I know that you dont support military intervention. You already made your point clear. I was only saying that social degradation wasnt the reason the military came to power as you claimed (or more likely the military claims). Failure of civilian govt in the social front doesnt mean that the military was any more successful, since there was minimal change.
Your figures on the poverty rate in Pakistan are completely wrong:
At the time of independence some 60 per cent of the population lived in absolute poverty, a condition of life in which the basic needs of those who are affected by it are not fulfilled.
Growth, poverty & politics
Poverty in 2007 I believe was somewhere in the region of thirty percent.
These are not my words.
My exact words were
Even with 33 years of military rule, poverty rate in pak has not declined while at the same time india's poverty declined to 24% from the post independence figure of 55%.
I am only trying to prove that social degradation is NOT the cause for military intervention in politics in pakistan. It is only given as an excuse to take power.
Mush and Yahya are examples of the results of a failed political elite, in the latter case an intervention was precipitated by the hijacking of an airplane and threatening the lives of hundreds of passengers. Along with kargil, there was also the economic turmoil due to bad economic policies (such as freezing FE accounts) that led to the military intervention. I fail to see how India or Kashmir are the cause here.
But whats the point is saying economic policies were the cause. Except for Mush all other dictators FAILED in pretty much everything that the civilian govt failed in. They only gave economic causes to seize power. They never actually did anything to alleviate hunger or poverty. No self repecting military govt will say they came to power because of the adversary.
Yahya Khan lost power in 1971, but any civilian ruler would also have lost power after a debacle like that. That is a flawed argument, and plus, it does not address your point that military intervention occurred because of India or Kashmir.
Everytime a dictator came to power, there was war against india. Everytime a dictator left, pakistan would be worse off than it was before.
Military intervention doesnot
occur because of india. But, India is a major cause for militay intervention along with a host of other causes.
I appreciate Indians trying to take all the blame for Pakistan's periodic messes, but you really are giving yourself too much credit.
Sorry, but I dont take pride in that.