PakAlp
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I had written a post before on risk of nuclear power going bankrupt.
There is a precedence for this development when Russia defaulted in late 90s. Acting on gora advice, and with disastrous consequences, Russia implemented economic shock therapy post fall of communist government. Yeltsin, who was a slightly better version of Zardari, pretty much let NATO achieve all its goals in Eastern Europe while Russia was being hallowed from inside due to misgovernment by Yeltsin's government. Russian security apparatus, recognizing the folly of trusting a gora tool, got their man to take control after the death of Yeltsin. In early years Putin tried to get in the gora good books but that did not work out because goras only want kutaas which Putin did not want to be. So began the slow rupture whose consequences we see today. Russia also got lucky because China entered GATT in early 2000s which started commodity super-cycle which enabled Russia to regain financial strength.
Goras have implemented same strategy in Pak that they did in Russia in early 90s. Goras never wanted a nuclear Pak and they have worked to bring Pakistan to verge of default after which Pak has no choice but to goras with cap in hand. Pak needs around USD20bn p.a. just to import oil. Post default, no entity will lend Pak any money so government will have to play ball with goras if they want to avoid Pak turning into Somalia or Sudan. Thanks to 5000 visas handed out to CIA by Zardari, Pak security is already compromised. Bankruptcy will result in coup de grace. Enjoy your last days of freedom because I dont see Pakistani Putin on the horizon.
It does look really bad for Pakistan but I believe Pakistan will make a comeback. The only issue is stupid policies. Pakistan needs to make a powerful and independent EC, let free and fair elections take place, make major reforms in the governmental system and institutes, make the state strong, let people have justice so they're proud to be Pakistanis.
Establishment and all political parties need to sit together and make an agreement regarding foreign policy, internal security policy, international relations, then establishment should allow the government to run Pakistan. Go back to the barracks.
Pakistan is lucky to have a rising China as a neighbour, they need to show the finger to the world and build gwadar, cpec, allow investment from friendly nations. Build close relations with Iran and import cheap gas/electricity/oil, make close relations with ASEAN, Central Asia, MiddleEast. This however doesn't mean you break relations with the west, you just need to show the west we have honour and care about Pakistan.
Imran Khan is not wrong, the west will never let go of your strings as long as they believe your puppets. With China, Middleeast, ASEAN, Central Asia rising, Pakistan needs to make good decisions. They need to promote Pakistan as a respectable and honourable state who cares about their people and interests, this will then give respect to Pakistan because what is the point of changing masters.
Pakistanis are busy fighting themselves but we should ask our political parties on why Cpec, Gwadar, Iran/Pak pipeline is taking decades, why are we taking our time to build this. Are we stupid? Gwadar/Cpec will create millions of jobs, all those nations investing could allow Pakistanis to have worker visas in Hong Kong, China, Malaysia, MiddleEast, Turkey etc.
You think India would waste time building Gwadar, Cpec, gas oil pipeline. Ofcourse not.
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