Icarus
RETIRED MOD
- Joined
- Sep 23, 2009
- Messages
- 9,040
- Reaction score
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1. For how long is the PA going to hold ground captured from the militants? If they withdraw, the TTP will be back sooner than later. And that's going to be an unending drain on manpower and resources. Handing these areas over to the police/FC will not be a viable proposition as they aren't trained and equipped for COIN ops.
The Military has been able to withdraw completely from Bajaur and maintains token presence in Malakand as well as Dir without the areas relapsing into Taliban control. The FC of today is not the demoralised, .303 totting militia that it was a decade ago, it has been transformed into an elite paramilitary force which is quite capable of holding the territory against any Taliban advance from across the Durand Line.
2. The TTP have probably already withdrawn most of their forces into areas bordering Afghanistan by now only to be back at a time of their choosing. Seeing the terrain it will be near impossible for the PA to block them from withdrawing into Afghanistan.
Indeed. It is the responsibility of the ISAF and ANA to secure their sides of the border, something that they have consistently failed to achieve. As long as the TTP enjoy safe havens there, they might be able to launch attacks inside Pakistan once in a while but I dare say their days of declaring Independent Islamic Emirates inside Pakistan are now over. They will never be able to return to the pre-2008 situation again.