Even though PTI’s economic policies were average, it is always the case when a new regime comes; they claim we are on the verge of bankruptcy. We have heard similar stories in 1997, 1999, 2008, 2013 and 2008. In reality, they fake the economic conditions to show they are at the bottom level and their excellent policies will change the destiny
I slightly disagree here, I think it IS true that pretty much every government has walked into a situation in which default is always just a few months away, BoP crisis is there on day one. Basically, you need a stable government, credible leadership, and certainty to creditors like the IMF that whatever conditions are negotiated will stand in 6 months or 1 year's time, if there's any uncertainty - forget assurances, IMF may not even want to negotiate. In February 2022, we had something like 3-3.5 months of net foreign reserves. So that's how long we can basically last at any given time on what dollars we have in our pocket, if we run out - then we're not going to be able to trade, import oil etc.
Every government in modern history has come in with the number one agenda being, talk to creditors, establish lines of credit, and secure reserves by whatever means necessary - bailouts, bond issuance, multilateral lenders etc. The problem for the current mutant regime is that they've got no credibility, no real majority in parliament, they may last one more week, or month, or six months, nobody can say. And as always the BoP crises is already here.
I work in international credit markets, often times dealing with Sovereign borrowers, I can tell you that market conditions are rough, yields are up, QE is over, risk is being sold, credit spreads are widening, investors are heavily axed to sell risk and they're paying substantial liquidity premia even for that. So to add to the above, conditions aren't great. Global inflation will also make signing on to IMF conditions harder, if inflation in Pakistan is already a little lower, then signing on to conditions of removal of subsidies is easier, but in the current situation - and for a completely weak government staring down the barrel of an election, tough measures will be hard to take but necessary.