Mzubair bro we've had these discussions so many time... LOL..
PAF in 2010/11 will be:
28 JF17 (8 currently plus 20 more next year, thats the rate of production mentioned by the ACM in his speech... link is somewhere on this forum, which is in itself pretty high.)
55 F16's but not all upgraded. Only the first batch has started upgradation and this programme will end by 2012-13.
Absolutely no J10's. The J10'B' is still under development and the Pakistani FC 20 will be ready only by 2014-15 at best. This has already been discussed in the J10 thread.
Mirage Rose and F7 numbers are okay.
As regards the IAF, India around 2010-11will have around
175 MKI's (due to the recent order of 50 more from Russia directly. The entire program of 280 MKI's will be finished by 2014-15. Additionally, the MLU program would also have begun.)
60 Mig 29 upgraded to SMT (Mig 33 standards)
51 Mirage 2000 (upgraded to 5 standard)
U forgot the 100 Mig 27's and 140 Jaguars and 125 Mig 21 Bisons, forget about the LCA and the MRCA which will only start deliveries by 2012.
That makes it PAF-215 vs IAF 640, though i suspect PAF will still retain its much older Mirage and F7's until newer aircraft arrive.
Also, the Air force will never hesitate to use its full force, even fighters from its eastern bases in the event of a war, unless China declares war as well, whose stand on this issue was demonstrated in the 1965/71 wars.
Please feel free to disagree and let me know if my numbers are off.