Sindh budget size tipped at Rs280 billion
KARACHI, June 14: The size of Sindh budget for 2008-09, being presented in the Sindh Assembly on Monday, is being tipped at Rs270 to Rs280 billion.
Earlier, a pre-budget meeting of the Sindh Cabinet would give formal approval to the budget proposals on Monday morning.
Official sources indicate that there would be a 10 per cent rise in revenue expenditure in the budget to about Rs200 billion from Rs181 billion in 2007-08.
The development outlay is being increased by almost 24 per cent to Rs65 to Rs70 billion as against Rs50 billion in the current fiscal year.
Like other provinces, the Sindh budget too depends on funds from Islamabad to the extent of 80 per cent.
The federal budget documents for 2008-09 show flow of about Rs169 billion funds from Islamabad to Sindh as against Rs141.59 billion in the current fiscal year.
The increase in the share of funds from Islamabad is because of two reasons: the expected rise in the collection of taxes in 2008-09 to Rs1.25 trillion from hardly Rs1,000 billion in the current fiscal year; and increase in overall share of provinces in the federal divisible pool to 43.75 per cent in 2008-09 from 42.50 per cent in 2007-08.
After the sixth National Finance Commission (NFC), headed by former prime minister Shaukat Aziz, failed to reach a consensus in 2005 and a seventh NFC was constituted which never held any formal meeting, President Musharraf gave his formula in 2006.Under his interim order in July 2006, the provinces were given share of funds on the basis of their respective population, but the overall vertical distribution between provinces and the federation was changed.
For 2006-07, the presidents interim order set a share of 41.50 per cent in federal divisible pool for provinces, raised to 42.50 per cent in 2007-08 which would be 43.75 per cent in the next fiscal year.
If the reconstituted NFC fails to give any award, the provinces are indicated to get 45 per cent in 2009-10 and then onwards 46.25 per cent.
For the current fiscal year, the federal budget documents indicate an initial share of Rs102.09 billion, which, however, was brought down to Rs99.29 billion in the revised estimates, showing that the federal government was unable to recover projected taxes of Rs1.025 trillion.
Sindhs share in the divisible pool is expected to increase to Rs126.12 billion in 2008-09 depending entirely on how efficiently the Federal Board of Revenue collects projected amount of Rs1.25 trillion. But a visible cut in the share of direct transfers is more than visible which has led to exchange of communication between Karachi and Islamabad. Under direct transfers, the provinces, including Sindh, gets share in royalty on crude oil, natural gas, gas development surcharge, excise duty on gas and share in provincial GST.
Initially, the federal budget showed Rs42.05 billion as direct transfer to Sindh in 2007-08. In revised estimates, it was increased somewhat to Rs42.29 billion, but for 2008-09, the federal budget shows Sindhs share in direct transfers at Rs40.79 billion which is less than Rs42.29 billion shown in the revised estimates for 2007-08. This cut in share, particularly of development surcharge, has come as a surprise to officials in Karachi as CNG is being brought under development surcharge levy which should increase Sindhs share as a large number of CNG stations and number of gas-run vehicles is highest in this city.
Wages of almost half a million employees in Sindh government is the single largest expenditure component of the budget that eats up more than Rs60 billion.
A rise in salary and promised employment to 40,000 more persons would push wage bill to Rs72 to Rs73 billion. The pensions are also being increased. Analysts estimate about Rs80 billion on wages and pensions only.
A constant increase in development outlay in every budget has become a prestige issue with every government. Analysts criticize planners for overlooking linkages between the development and current expenditure budget.
Construction of a school building under development programme puts a demand on expenditure budget in the following years to provide furniture, basic facilities and employ teachers, said an analyst.
Sindh Education Minister Pir Mazharul Haq says that there are 7,500 school buildings vacant because of no provision for employing teachers and other facilities. There are vacant dispensaries and basic heath unit buildings.
Sindh budget size tipped at Rs280 billion -DAWN - Business; June 15, 2008