Activity shifts from manufacturing to trading
High rate of return major attraction
Tuesday, January 08, 2008
LAHORE: Trading activity won a definite edge over manufacturing in calendar year 2007, which was evident from the huge gap between Pakistans import of goods and services compared with its exports.
The resources have been transferred from manufacturing to trading mainly due to the governments failure to properly tax the traders and keep a check on hoarding and black marketing. High rate of return on investment in trading compared with high cost and less return in manufacturing is slowly drifting the economy away from production to consumption and the year 2007 strengthened that trend.
Federal Board of Revenue Chairman Abdullah Yousuf has admitted on various occasions that the share of traders in Pakistans gross domestic product (GDP) is 16 per cent but their contribution to the tax revenue is only four per cent. Despite admitting the fact in early June 2007, the FBR has reduced the tax rate for traders by 100 per cent, giving a further incentive to the investors to go for trade.
Another fact that Abdullah Yousuf has failed to point out is that the traders control the entire non-documented sector of the economy. The World Bank, a decade ago, estimated that around 50 per cent of Pakistans economy was undocumented. The quantum of informal economy, if not increased, has also not declined in the last decade, which means the traders pay peanuts compared to the business they conduct in a year.
The most worrying thing which gained strength in the previous calendar year was the indulgence of large traders in hoarding of edible commodities. A few years ago, small village artis or commodity traders in towns had been involved in hoarding of small stocks of commodities like wheat, rice or sugar. However, the trend has transformed into hoarding on a massive scale adding more commodities like potatoes, onions, pulses, etc to the list. The food inflation remained very high in 2007 due to that practice, which created artificial shortage of essential commodities.
The economic power of the hoarders could be judged from the fact that according to government figures 2.2 million tonnes of wheat was hoarded this year. Independent experts put the figure at a much higher level than government estimates. The cost of 2.2 million tonnes of wheat at government support price comes to over Rs24 billion. At current rate, the price of hoarded wheat jumps to Rs45 to Rs48 billion.
Trade and business are attracted by a huge domestic market of over 160 million people and they sell goods procured locally from both formal and informal sectors. They also import and sell foreign goods ranging from toys, processed food and cosmetics to heavy machines. In many cases, they resort to under-invoicing in the value of imported goods in a bid to evade import duty. They also misdeclare their imports either to pay less or avoid import tariff.
The traders also procure and sell smuggled goods. The goods brought into the country through the above methods can be found in most of the retail outlets of the country.
The imports, particularly made through smuggling, under-invoicing and misdeclaration, have hurt the local manufacturing sector. The local auto-parts manufacturers, garment manufacturers, artificial leather producers, toy-makers and many other industries have come under pressure or gone out of production due to this practice.
A few years ago, very few consumers had access to imported toilet soaps, toothpastes, shampoos, shoes and apparel as all these products were manufactured and consumed in the country. But now the share of local products is shrinking and imported varieties compete even with multinational brands in the domestic market both in terms of price and quality.
Pakistan used to produce complete window and split air conditioners locally and the manufacturers imported only the compressor. Now manufacturing has been replaced by assembling as the body, grill and all other parts are imported and then assembled in the country.
In telecommunications, the growth in the sector has made mobile phone accessible for one third of the population. Pakistan now has more cellphones than those in Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan combined and is one of the fastest growing mobile phone markets in the world.
However, while the above tiny nations manufacture mobile phones, Pakistan is a net importer of cellphones worth over $1 billion.Though exporters complain that foreign buyers do not come to Pakistan due to security concerns, visits of foreign manufacturers and businessmen trying to market their products in the country have increased.
Similarly, exporters are denied visa more frequently by foreign embassies, but importers get recommendation letters from their foreign suppliers.
Activity shifts from manufacturing to trading