Pak textile sector may be severely hit by US slowdown
Friday, November 30, 2007
LAHORE: Pakistans textile industry exclusively dependent on exports would be more severely affected than China or India as the uncertainty rises on the international textile market on expected economic slowdown in the United States and Europe.
Textile experts warn that textiles would be the first casualty of the deepening global credit crisis as the first cut that the people world over make in economic slowdown is on clothing. They pointed out that Chinese and Indian textile industries would not suffer much because 70 and 85 per cent of their textile production respectively is consumed domestically.
Some of the impact of slowdown in developed countries they pointed out would be compensated by increased domestic consumption as both these economies are on a high growth path. They said as far as Pakistan is concerned textile industry has only 15 per cent hold on the domestic market while 85 per cent of its production is exported.
This dependence on export orders alone they assert is the main reason for the cyclic crisis that local textile industry undergoes periodically. These experts blamed the lower domestic demand for locally produced textiles to the flawed government policies and regulations.
They said Pakistan failed to develop the blended textile products of cotton and manmade fiber. They said the global use of blended textile is 60 per cent manmade fiber and 40 per cent cotton. In Pakistan the use of manmade fiber has reached only 20 per cent only.
They said manmade fiber is considered as poor mans choice while 100 per cent cotton clothing is considered the world over as rich mans product. They said in economic slowdown or recession the use of clothing blended with higher percentage of manmade fiber increases as these last longer and are easy to iron.
They said protect against sovereign guarantee provided to a multinational polyester fiber producer for almost a decade kept manmade fiber rates very high in Pakistan that discouraged its use.
They said even today the import of cotton is duty free but polyester fiber is subjected to 6.5 per cent import duty. The other reason that kept the demand for domestic textiles limited was the under invoicing and smuggling of foreign clothing in the country.
They said the practice of bringing children and men garments in unaccompanied baggage are still rampant. The apparels under this mode are cleared without duty by paying a nominal bribe, they said. The markets are flooded with mens shirts and trousers made in Thailand or Indonesia, they added.
Only a limited quantity is imported though at highly under-invoiced price the rest is all smuggled through personal baggage, they claimed. Another drawback that the local textile industry faces in domestic markets, they added is the unhindered import of second hand clothing, textile experts added.
They said import of second hand clothing is not allowed in India that has provided its textile industry a huge domestic market.
Moreover they added given lax regulations in Pakistan even new clothing is imported under the garb of second hand or used apparel. This they added deprives the local industry of a substantial share in the domestic market.
They said a sharp fall in the dollar would hurt India only as Pakistani rupee and Chinese Yuan are relatively stable against green back. However the surging oil prices would further dampen the global growth prospects that would be more detrimental for Pakistani textile than India, they asserted.
The decision of European Union to remove quotas on Chinese textile might well spell disaster for exports from low cost textile countries like Pakistan, India, Thailand and Indonesia
Pak textile sector may be severely hit by US slowdown