Foreign funds withdraw $124m this week
Bears erode another 342 points, Rs92bn on Karachi bourse
Sunday, November 18, 2007
KARACHI: Investors continued distancing themselves from the Karachi bourse this week to avoid any untoward situation in the transitional political system under emergency rule.
The KSE 100-share index recorded another plunge of 341.86 points or 2.55 per cent week-on-week basis and closed at 13,082.01 points.
The 100-index closed this week (November 12 to 16) at an eight-week low, slightly above the psychological mark of 13,000 points, Farhan Mahmood of JS Research observed.
The outgoing week started off on a positive note with the index reaching week-high at 13,655.67 points on Monday. However, the week ended on a negative note for the fourth consecutive week.
At the end of the week, the cumulative decline of the four consecutive weeks stood at 1,705.54 points or 11.533 per cent. Since the market registered the highest record at 14,787.55 points on October 19, 2007, the bourse is under a technical correction phase owing to one reason or the other.
On the other hand, the ready market turnover also fell to a two-month low at 139.337 million shares on the weekend session. The average weekly volume in this market was recorded at 204.209 million shares, which was almost 43 million shares lower as compared to previous week at 247 million.
The announcement of the election to be held in first week of January 2008 reduced the political uncertainty to some extent. Otherwise, the automatic termination of National Assembly at the completion of its fiver-year tenure on November 15 under the emergency rule invited panic selling on Wednesday.
The sale of equities at the regional markets, higher than expected Oct 2007 CPI (Consumer Price Index) number and decline in global oil prices dampened local market sentiments as well, Mahmood added.
The other analysts were of the view that the maintenance of silence by the farewell Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz over the proposals given by leading brokers and KSE board of directors on last Friday (Nov 09) to him to restore the investors confidence in the market, which they have lost owing to the emergency rule imposed on November 03, also played a negative role this week.
This meeting was summoned by Aziz in which brokers asked him to abolish or extend the date of exemption on Capital Gain Tax (CGT) for a further period, which is going to expire on June 30, 2008. They also proposed premier to lift the upper limit on Continuous Funding System (CFS) from currently set at Rs55 billion to other suitable level. Now the caretaker government is in place, which is believed to take no bothering on CGT and CFS issues, as its only one goal is to hold general election in the country in fair and transparent manners, they added.
Moreover, fast changing political scenario in the country, crackdown on political leaders and workers in the country under the emergency rule and worst law and order situation in Swat and other parts of the country altogether provoked investors to minimize their portfolios on board, they maintained.
The Special Convertible Rupee Account or SCRA balances further reduced to US$99.886 million to date for the fiscal year 2007-08 during the outgoing week.
During the entire week, the overseas investors inflows and outflows in the SCRA account stand at US52 million and US$176 million respectively. Therefore, the foreign portfolio investors withdrew a sum of US$124 million this week as the difference of total inflows and outflows depicted, according to SBP website.
This SCRA amount is invested and disinvested at the local bourses and in government bounds as well.
The selling pressure was witnessed across the board, major correction occurred in the Telecom and E&P sectors which plunged by eight per cent and 2.6 per cent, respectively.
Among the blue chips, the Habib Bank was the only scrip which recovered Rs6.85 on week-on-week basis to Rs252.10. Fortunately, the Bank of Punjab also regained 45 paisa during the during to Rs92.45 otherwise all the other front line stocks closed in negative column.
NBP, OGDCL, SCBL, FFBL, MCB Bank, PTCL and UBL declined in a range of 35 paisa to Rs4.35. LUCK, DGKC and PSO declined in the range of Rs5.55 to Rs9.15. And ENGRO, PPL and POL declined in a range of Rs14 to Rs19.55.
The overall market capitalisation reduced by Rs92 billion to Rs4.004 trillion by the weekend
During the week, CFS investment declined to Rs50 billion, down by 3.9 per cent compared to last week, whereas, CFS rate stood at 10.9 per cent versus 11.1 per cent last week.
Foreign funds withdraw $124m this week