Pakistan must improve global performance in exports
ISLAMABAD (August 13 2007): Pakistan has to improve its global competitiveness in exports, which means that it will have to improve its index from the present 91 among 125 countries in 2006. It was 94 in 2005.
According to a working paper of Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE), which examines the potential for export growth for improving global competitiveness, it is a multi-faceted problem calling for improvement in governance, technological progress, improved value-addition and sophistication of technology.
The working paper 'International Competitiveness-where Pakistan Stands?', prepared by Staff Economist Uzma Zia, has stressed the need for technology-intensive activities. It says that high technology exports will come by strengthening research and development through investment in human capital. To achieve this, there should be combined effort of the main three actors ie government, individuals and business initiatives by firms and private sector.
The working paper observes that being at 91st position among 125 countries, Pakistan is counted among the worse performers because of the absence of good governance. Moreover, the government has shown quite low ranking in all nine pillars of the competitiveness index, especially health, primary education, macro economy, higher education and training and technological readiness.
It is pertinent to mention that the government so far has been working on a draft of technology-based development or knowledge-based economy for the last three years, without much tangible progress. The draft has not been finalised yet.
It may be further pointed out that the global competitiveness report on Pakistan with regard to various pillars for competitiveness index endorses Pakistan's performance in human development and some sectors of social indicators.
Referring to experts' analysis and review of the country's exports, the paper notes that Pakistan's share in total world exports has declined between 1990 and 2002. Its share of global manufacturing exports has remained stagnant at 0.18 percent, whereas several countries like China, Malaysia, Thailand and India have shown rapid expansion in exports by 2004.
Pakistan invested heavily to prepare for post-MFA regime and showed satisfactory progress in the first six months of 2005 in export of cotton manufactures. Despite structural and economic reforms, Pakistan's economy remains dependent on in producing and processing which contribute 12 to 15 percent of national products.
According to experts, Pakistan scores relatively low on export sophistication because of low technology. The country's capacity in high technology and scientific research is limited. Thus, its share in technology-intensive products has been low. Further, skill development and social/human capital have suffered neglect and there was decline in education spending. This resulted in low productivity. A comparison with productivity measure with a few regional economies indicates that Pakistan's estimated value-added per capita manufacturing is lower.
As noted by some economists, Pakistan's unit wage costs are higher than most regional economies. The reasons for less encouraging business climate include inadequate provision of infrastructure, high business costs and high level of government regulations, bureaucracy and political situation, the paper adds.
The paper said that World Bank review of the value chain analysis of 2006, useful in assessing export competitiveness, examined the export of five specific items like textiles, fisheries and shrimps and new products like marble, powdered milk and agri-businesses and automobile items.
Findings on the basis of production costs of all segments of value chain, productivity and export competitiveness spoke of relevant policies/constraints to cost and quality issues, food quality and safety standards. Major constraints identified were infrastructure, burdensome regulations, weak legal and enforcement framework, low coordination among government agencies, and inadequate access to finance.
An earlier survey/analysis of value-added manufacturing by ADB brought out similar weaknesses like low technology, and inadequate adoption of high technology, and had very little share of medium and high technology.
The paper stresses the need not only for specialisation in textiles but also for improvement and innovation.
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