March 15, 2007
Investors worried about political instability
By Shahid Iqbal
KARACHI, March 14: Foreign investors are showing signs of anxiety over the prospects of political stability in Pakistan. What foreign investors have started asking from their advisers was quite interesting and at the same time a message for the economic and political managers of the country.
The Pakistani private sector advisers, who protect the interest of the foreign entities and investors, said they cannot afford to give a false picture to their clients as ââ¬Ëit is the business of true information.ââ¬Â
What used to be the first question of a foreign investor? ââ¬ÅWill President Musharraf continue to rule the country?ââ¬Â Analysts, who sell their knowledge and skills in the form of ââ¬Ëworking papersââ¬â¢ said the reply was easy a year before. But the question became more and more difficult in the election year.
They said general elections had been a sign of political instability in Pakistan as the country witnessed frequent change of governments during late eighties and nineties resulting in ââ¬Ëabrupt policy changes on economic side.ââ¬â¢
ââ¬ÅAs the time approaches closer to general elections, it appears that the elections are rather a problem that became bigger with the dispute of re-election of the president,ââ¬Â said Abbas Jameel, a business analyst.
He said the analysts have to sell complete knowledge about the political scenario and possibilities of changes in future to their overseas clients or investors.
A leading researcher said that investors had become more inquisitive about the political change expected by the end of this calendar year.
ââ¬ÅThe question regarding the future of President Musharraf has been increasing in number while its convincing reply to give them a positive picture is becoming more difficult,ââ¬Â said the researcher.
ââ¬ÅIn fact, the foreign investors are interested in persistency of the economic policies and they feel that persistency is linked with the current setup of the government,ââ¬Â he said.
The foreign investments have been increasing in the country and it apparently dispels the impression that the foreign investors are concerned over the political situation.
ââ¬ÅPakistan may end up with record foreign direct investment in the current fiscal year till June 2007 but the impact could be felt in the fiscal 2007-08, which will cover the expected troubled period of general elections and the new setup of government in Islamabad,ââ¬Â said Saqib Aleem, a researcher.
He said it was also difficult to answer that whether the economic policy would continue to prevail or not ââ¬Ëas we are in the dark about the future set up of the governmentââ¬â¢
However, they used to convince the investors that Pakistan is a part of global economy and it is extremely difficult to leave the track on which the economy is growing with a rate of 7 per cent annual growth.
The second question being asked by the foreign investors is about independence of institutions in Pakistan. ââ¬ÅThey used to ask that whether the institutions are free from the government influence or not,ââ¬Â said Jameel. ââ¬ÅOur answer is clear that we have free institutions and that are free from the government influence,ââ¬Â he said.
However, the third main question, which the foreign investors used to ask is about the independence of central bank (State Bank of Pakistan).
ââ¬ÅWhen we reply that the SBP is independent and autonomous central bank, they like to know who appoints the governor of the SBP,ââ¬Â he said.
When they are told that the president of the country appoints the governor of SBP, the foreign investors refuse to accept the independence of the central bank and its policies.
He said the recent dispute regarding the Supreme Court has also started attracting attention of the foreign investors and they are watching it closely.
http://www.dawn.com/2007/03/15/ebr7.htm
Investors worried about political instability
By Shahid Iqbal
KARACHI, March 14: Foreign investors are showing signs of anxiety over the prospects of political stability in Pakistan. What foreign investors have started asking from their advisers was quite interesting and at the same time a message for the economic and political managers of the country.
The Pakistani private sector advisers, who protect the interest of the foreign entities and investors, said they cannot afford to give a false picture to their clients as ââ¬Ëit is the business of true information.ââ¬Â
What used to be the first question of a foreign investor? ââ¬ÅWill President Musharraf continue to rule the country?ââ¬Â Analysts, who sell their knowledge and skills in the form of ââ¬Ëworking papersââ¬â¢ said the reply was easy a year before. But the question became more and more difficult in the election year.
They said general elections had been a sign of political instability in Pakistan as the country witnessed frequent change of governments during late eighties and nineties resulting in ââ¬Ëabrupt policy changes on economic side.ââ¬â¢
ââ¬ÅAs the time approaches closer to general elections, it appears that the elections are rather a problem that became bigger with the dispute of re-election of the president,ââ¬Â said Abbas Jameel, a business analyst.
He said the analysts have to sell complete knowledge about the political scenario and possibilities of changes in future to their overseas clients or investors.
A leading researcher said that investors had become more inquisitive about the political change expected by the end of this calendar year.
ââ¬ÅThe question regarding the future of President Musharraf has been increasing in number while its convincing reply to give them a positive picture is becoming more difficult,ââ¬Â said the researcher.
ââ¬ÅIn fact, the foreign investors are interested in persistency of the economic policies and they feel that persistency is linked with the current setup of the government,ââ¬Â he said.
The foreign investments have been increasing in the country and it apparently dispels the impression that the foreign investors are concerned over the political situation.
ââ¬ÅPakistan may end up with record foreign direct investment in the current fiscal year till June 2007 but the impact could be felt in the fiscal 2007-08, which will cover the expected troubled period of general elections and the new setup of government in Islamabad,ââ¬Â said Saqib Aleem, a researcher.
He said it was also difficult to answer that whether the economic policy would continue to prevail or not ââ¬Ëas we are in the dark about the future set up of the governmentââ¬â¢
However, they used to convince the investors that Pakistan is a part of global economy and it is extremely difficult to leave the track on which the economy is growing with a rate of 7 per cent annual growth.
The second question being asked by the foreign investors is about independence of institutions in Pakistan. ââ¬ÅThey used to ask that whether the institutions are free from the government influence or not,ââ¬Â said Jameel. ââ¬ÅOur answer is clear that we have free institutions and that are free from the government influence,ââ¬Â he said.
However, the third main question, which the foreign investors used to ask is about the independence of central bank (State Bank of Pakistan).
ââ¬ÅWhen we reply that the SBP is independent and autonomous central bank, they like to know who appoints the governor of the SBP,ââ¬Â he said.
When they are told that the president of the country appoints the governor of SBP, the foreign investors refuse to accept the independence of the central bank and its policies.
He said the recent dispute regarding the Supreme Court has also started attracting attention of the foreign investors and they are watching it closely.
http://www.dawn.com/2007/03/15/ebr7.htm