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Pakistan, China and Russia

lem34

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Pakistan, China and Russia
Rizwan Ghani

Stronger Sino-Russia cooperation is good news for Pakistan. Ahead of SCO heads meeting, Putin made a successful visit of China. In which three strategic decisions were made: increase existing $84 bn bilateral trade to $200bn by 2020. Expand energy and military cooperation between both countries. In Singapore, America simultaneously announced increasing its naval forces to 60 percent in Asia under US China centric Asia-Pacific policy. From India, America announced continuation of drone attacks on Pakistan on the pretext of fake terror. In a parallel move, a military think tank in China issued its first report on US security developments in the region in which it was said that US has shifted its military focus to multi-polar world from (so-called) war against terror.

It allows Pakistan to have its share in $700 bn trade corridor. The Chinese foreign minister wrote in his article on Arab-China cooperation that we should increase our trade volume, regulate trade practices, improve product mix, raise the level of trade, and make every effort to bring our trade to $ 300 billion by 2014. He called for expansion in cooperation in such areas as agriculture, health, culture, quality inspection and energy, and set up exchanges in environmental protection, desertification treatment and other fields. Pakistan has the expertise in the identified fields and huge potential to be an ideal trade and commerce partner in regional cooperation from the south and in turn benefit from $113bn northern Silk Route among SCO members. If Islamabad improves its road and rail networks it can help double the trade in the region along with its share of $50-70 bn as compared to single digit trade agreements with western allies.

Putin has outmaneuvered America on Arctic by forcing it to pivot to Asia against China. By aligning half a dozen countries against China as part of its Asia-Pacific policy, Washington has fixed itself in Asia leaving Arctic region to Russia. Beijing has also cornered Washington on its support for Philippines in South China Sea on international sea laws. Over 150 states have signed the treaty but US has refused to ratify it for the last 30 years. If Washington signs the treaty, China gets control of its territorial waters and other states will have to respect right of innocent passage of foreign vessels through their territorial waters. America will have to end its military presence in Iranian and Asian waters, block it from using naval ships as bases to wage wars under Obama doctrine of sea-air-rapid military strikes and end US Monroe Doctrine used to block other naval powers in its territorial waters. If Washington rejects the treaty, Putin gets head start in race for the Arctic.

Russia’s control of Arctic region will change energy policy in Europe and Asia. Most European states will support Russia because Europe cannot overcome 20 percent energy shortfall due to US sanctions against Iran. Russia’s energy exports to Europe will increase to 60 percent from 45 percent. Norway is already helping Russia in Svalbard and the Shtokman gas field despite fear of pollution by the environmentalists. Going by the BP’s ouster from Russia, it appears Putin will block UK from the region altogether. UK therefore will have to stand with Russia or call for end of US blockade of Iran. India will abandon US on Iran because no Indian political party can afford to ignore cheap Iranian fuel in the region. Since India opted out of Pak-Iran gas pipeline, therefore it will have to develop its own energy and trade corridors with China. Pakistan will have strategic benefits from establishment of energy links between Europe, Asia and ME through Pakistan. Pakistan can link Europe and ME. Beijing is all set for it as pointed out by the Chinese Foreign minister ideas about Arab-China strategic cooperation.

The Chinese think tank has shown that America is headed towards multipolar world in which conventional warfare and cold war strategies will resurface. Drones are being used to block Pak-China land routes, free economic zones and keep the region in constant turmoil. Both China has opened tariff free zones on old Silk Route with other CARS as part of Euro-Asia policy to facilitate common people. The border town of Khorgas in China earned $480 million in 2011 (CCTV). US policies in Pakistan are anti-public. The opening of land routes with China could allow sufficient trade but they are blocked repeatedly which forces people to depend on social welfare or leave the areas.

Pakistan is a major country in the region. Its interests cannot be ignored. Pakistan can play a more effective role if it is given advanced technology, necessary resources and cooperation. The development of Pak-China energy and trade corridors will facilitate CARS to link to rest of the world.
 
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the so called WoT is effecting trade activities in region badly and US is doing this intentionly.
 
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The sad part of the story is that in any forum, grouping, alliance, event, Pakistan seeks to define itself vis-a-vis India; the sadder part of the story is that no one else sees Pakistan that way – not today. India is interested in being part of the SCO – there is a security angle to the group but also a strong energy security paradigm that India is hungry to be a part of. Unlike Pakistan, India’s relations with the US and relations with Russia/ China are not a zero-sum game – its continued strong relations with Russia (and even Iran in the face of direct pressure from the US) are testament to that. Further, if Pakistan believes (and this seems to be the constant refrain) that US intends to cut its losses and run from Afghanistan, then all problems related to Afghan security/ instability/ drugs flow are linked directly to Pakistan – and all of the SCO states will see Pakistan as part of the problem and not the solution.

That is your take and your opinion alone.
 
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very well written article. US presence is damaging the Asia trade - its like an unwelcome guest behaving badly.
 
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That is your take and your opinion alone.

Actually, its a very sound analysis.

China and Russia are ideologically opposed to theoretic set-ups. China must do so because it really hasn't got many other options.

If you notice, even during the cold war era pawns have been forfeit by both the communist and western blocs to eachother, after arriving at mutual consensus.

If Pakistan overplays its importance, it will be playing right into the hands of greater powers who will not hesitate to sacrifice the pawn inorder to improve their own prospects.

India, throughout her 65 year old history has managed to stave off attempts aimed at seizing her sovereignty and to exert greater influence on her. It would not be "shameful" for pakistan to get closer to India or approach a foreign policy similiar to ours.

We are friends with everybody and nobody. We exert influence on others but do not let ourselves be influenced by them.

In the words of captain jack sparrow , " Take everything, give nothing back ".
 
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The Unwelcome Guest was invited by Pakistan :hitwall:

The USA is not unwelcome to India. Rather, we welcome them with open arms.

The cold war is over, USA no longer endorses Pakistan. There is no point in us living in the past. India and USA agrees on so many fronts and is therefore our natural ally ( for now ) .

India-USA alliance will become one of the most defining alliance in world geopolitics. We have everything to gain, provided we play our cards right and ensure that we are treated as equals, not subordinates.
 
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The USA is not unwelcome to India. Rather, we welcome them with open arms.

The cold war is over, USA no longer endorses Pakistan. There is no point in us living in the past. India and USA agrees on so many fronts and is therefore our natural ally ( for now ) .

India-USA alliance will become one of the most defining alliance in world geopolitics. We have everything to gain, provided we play our cards right and ensure that we are treated as equals, not subordinates.

Sound analysis. For all the rhetoric of Chinese these days, even they wouldn't have been in the position they are right now, had it not been for US, providing them with space for their cheap (I only meant cost wise) goods. Foreign policy is an evolving process and had to be tailored to match the present geopolitics. I am sure India and America would forge a great partnership in this century because of our common viewpoints and aspirations.
 
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Actually, its a very sound analysis.

China and Russia are ideologically opposed to theoretic set-ups. China must do so because it really hasn't got many other options.

If you notice, even during the cold war era pawns have been forfeit by both the communist and western blocs to eachother, after arriving at mutual consensus.

If Pakistan overplays its importance, it will be playing right into the hands of greater powers who will not hesitate to sacrifice the pawn inorder to improve their own prospects.

India, throughout her 65 year old history has managed to stave off attempts aimed at seizing her sovereignty and to exert greater influence on her. It would not be "shameful" for pakistan to get closer to India or approach a foreign policy similiar to ours.

We are friends with everybody and nobody. We exert influence on others but do not let ourselves be influenced by them.

In the words of captain jack sparrow , " Take everything, give nothing back ".

that's why you are so shining & incredible. Compared to a country like China you are a massive fail in every department. To make yourself look good you have to compare with smaller countries. You have a population of 1.2 billion and you beg for a UN sec seat. No you cant have one. Get off your high horses at your supposed success and our relative failure. Is it any surprise that to deflate your balloon that we have to show you the mirror and put up threads like this

http://www.defence.pk/forums/world-affairs/189182-india-turning-into-worlds-child-death-capital.html

So much for your take everything
 
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Yes they were invited by Pakistanis:pakistan::welcome: & every day kicking there A**

Are they Attacking Pakistan (Drones) or India??? Was OSAMA Killed by Them in Pakistan or India? Raymond Davis butchered pakistani nationals what did the Pak do???

I did not say that USA is not welcomed in India. We have welcomed our enemies too. Pakistanis are so boastful and lives in there imaginary world.....

http://www.defence.pk/forums/pakistans-war/189351-stop-keeping-poisonous-snakes-backyard-us.html

look here kiddo.
This has been debated to death time and time again.
Time and time again many Indians have had their arse handed to them in debates.
Sorry to say but your understanding is limited to the propaganda you receive.

Don't go down that route.
Spare yourself the lecture and spare me the BS.
 
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It is important for Pakistan to stay close to China & Russia. Pakistan needs to fix its ties with Russia. It is very important for Pakistan to end all ties with US & for good. By ending all ties with US terrorism in Pakistan will break for good & terrorist groups like BLA & TTP will be left vulnerable for Pak Forces. US is the main source of terrorism in Pakistan & they are able to do it through US Embassy & US Consulates.

Pakistan needs to work closely with China & Russia only, Pakistan also needs to unpeg its Rupees from Dollar & peg Rupees with Yuan. This will be one of a very big Economic achievement for Pakistan. By strengthening ties with China & Russian, Pakistan will move forward & Pakistan's economy will be on the right track. To achieve all this commitment, aims & objectives are required & they can only come under powerful non corrupt Administration or Pakistan Military rule.
 
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Poverty, hunger, infant deaths are all problems India already faces. I never mentioned our superiority over any other. In your insecurity, you assumed that.

Fact is, we have managed to address and are continuing to address every single one of our inherent, ancient issues; with varying amounts of success.

India is pulling herself up from the lowest of lows. In that path, we have learnt and ( continue to learn ) many important lessons.

I think you need to get off you high horse. To learn and adapt from your experience and from your enemies is not weakness, rather, it is the most prudent thing to do.
 
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