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Pak Media:India can be another China!

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India's turn to become factory of the world: China state media

BEIJING: It is now India's turn to emerge as the "factory of the world", according to an article in Chinese official media, citing the economic downturn in China forcing companies to turn to India for manufacturing.

READ ALSO: Foxconn to invest $5 billion in Maharashtra

Plans by China's phone maker Xiaomi and Taiwan's Foxconn to invest in India point to strong movement of Chinese firms to cash on growing Indian market.

Xiaomi Corp. launched its first made-in-India handset a week ago while its Redmi 2 Prime is being assembled by Taiwanese contract manufacturer Foxconn which has signed an agreement worth $5 billion to expand its R&D facilities in India, the article in Global Times said.

"Recent years have seen an increasing number of discussions about the relationship between China and India, raising questions about whether it is a complementary or a competitive one.

READ ALSO: FDI up 48% in seven months of 'Make in India'

Xiaomi's recent moves would suggest that bilateral economic relations are moving toward complementary, it said.

The Modi administration is also trying to clear obstacles within the country, such as relaxing restrictions over foreign investments and knocking down bureaucratic hurdles. All these efforts have smoothed out the connections between the Chinese companies and the Indian market, it added.

"However, in the near future, bilateral economic relations won't be as reciprocal as we might hope. As economic ties strengthen, frictions will increase.

"Nonetheless, this is an unavoidable path for an emerging economy hoping to become the factory of the world. China has been there. Now it's India's turn," it said.

READ ALSO: Rajapaksa's failure to make a comeback great news for India

As China faces an economic downturn, the question of whether India will replace China as the factory of the world is being debated at length, especially when analysts predict India's economic growth rate will surpass China's in the coming years, the article said.

"The real challenge facing both countries is how to turn away from rivalry and focus on their ability to engage in economic transformation via cooperation rather than competition," it said.

Source:- India's turn to become factory of the world: China state media - The Times of India

India escapes the worst of emerging markets misery

955932-india-1442122268-946-640x480.png

Mark Williams, chief Asia economist at Capital Economics in London, says India is looking like an oasis of stability at the moment PHOTO: AFP

NEW DELHI: Three years ago India was the weakling of the emerging markets clan, politically stagnant and struggling to grow — but as gloom engulfs other developing economies, the subcontinent is enjoying a moment in the sun.

Brazil and Russia lie deep in recession and South Africa is teetering on the brink after demand for raw materials collapsed, while alarm bells have sounded over fears the China juggernaut may be faltering.

Enter India, once dubbed the Broken BRIC, as the core group is known, now poised to become the fastest-growing G20 economy, expanding at a respectable seven percent, with its finances nourished by cheap oil.

“If you look at the growth numbers, India is definitely doing better than these other economies,” Kunal Kundu, an economist at Societe Generale in Bangalore, told AFP.

Read: India’s economy grows by 7% in first quarter

“China is in slowdown mode and Brazil and Russia are in trouble because they are commodities-dependent. We are seeing India as the standout.”

It is not all rosy — while low-cost oil and a new way of calculating growth have added shine to India’s GDP figures, its exports remain poor and shares on the Bombay Stock Exchange languish five percent below a year ago.

Economists say underlying growth remains fragile, and question whether the re-calculated figures that show India’s growth rate has caught up with China’s can be trusted.

But as turmoil convulsed global markets this summer, wiping trillions of dollars off world exchanges and leading investors to flee emerging economies, India has escaped comparatively unscathed.

“India is looking like an oasis of stability at the moment,” said Mark Williams, chief Asia economist at Capital Economics in London.

“It is a very different picture from a couple of years ago when India was at the forefront of concerns.”

As long as China steamrolled along at double-digit pace, covering its landscape with highways and skyscrapers, train tracks and malls, it sucked in vast amounts of raw materials such as oil, coal, iron ore for steelmaking, and cement.

Now the magic growth engine is sputtering out its worst GDP figures since 1990, Beijing says; analysts say the truth could be even uglier.

When the Middle Kingdom’s appetite waned it cast a chill over Brazil, whose economy depends on selling commodities to China and a handful of other big customers.

Prices have drooped, with the Bloomberg Commodity Index that tracks 22 raw materials falling to its lowest in 16 years in August, and not only are prices low, no one is buying like before.

“Brazil is very affected, more than other emerging countries, especially after what happened yesterday,” said Alex Agostini, chief economist at Austin Rating in Sao Paulo, referring to Standard & Poor’s decision to cut Brazil’s sovereign rating to junk.

At the peak of the boom in 2010 the one-time South American superstar grew 7.5 per cent; economists now expect it to remain in recession in 2016, as political paralysis compounds its woes.

Fellow junk-rated Russia, an oil exporter which lost big when prices halved, faces biting sanctions over the Ukraine crisis, while the number of Russians living in poverty has soared to 21.7 million, or roughly 15 percent of its total population, statistics agency Rosstat said.

“The main impact now comes through China influencing the global economy, commodities and financial markets,” Oleg Kouzmin at Renaissance Capital in Moscow said. He expects Russia’s economy to shrink by four per cent this year.

In South Africa, one of China’s biggest suppliers of minerals, one in four people is unemployed and GDP unexpectedly shrank 1.3 percent in the second quarter. Sales of iron ore have tanked, leading mining companies to announce huge layoffs.

Adding to the pain is a looming Federal Reserve interest rate rise, which will make riskier emerging markets less attractive compared with the dollar.

Next to its fractious emerging market cousins, politically stable India looks positively glowing, named by the IMF as one of the few “bright spots” in the world economy.

Low commodity prices are a gift: while cheap crude has pummelled exporters, India, which imports 80 percent of its oil needs, won the lottery.

The ensuing cash windfall has helped the government balance its books and made it less reliant on foreign loans.

“India is in a much better position, we don’t have some of the problems the other economies have,” said Arya Sen at Jefferies investment bank in Mumbai.

“Not only that, we are probably going to see an acceleration in growth which is very rare at the moment.”

Yet old problems persist — Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s promised reforms have stalled, with a land acquisition bill abandoned and a key sales tax delayed indefinitely.

Read: India’s economic reform agenda hits roadblocks

India escaped much of the recent global turmoil because it exports relatively little — meaning it does not make enough goods people want to buy, isolating it from the wider economy.

Labour and investment laws remain agonisingly complex, hindering growth, while outdated infrastructure is badly in need of funds.

And while in New Delhi politicians trumpet a growth rate that now rivals China’s, economists warn India is still a chronic underperformer.

Its $2 trillion economy is five times smaller than that of China, which although not bounding like before still contributes more than a third of global growth.

“India should not be complacent, politicians should not be celebrating,” Williams at Capital Economics said.

“It should be growing much faster. It could have had growth of nine or 10 percent, it could have been another China.”

India escapes the worst of emerging markets misery - The Express Tribune

@Horus @Windjammer @HariPrasad
 
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And now the Oil prices are expected to fall 20$ a barrel... more good news.. Indian Economy is going to expand

And now the Oil prices are expected to fall 20$ a barrel... more good news.. Indian Economy is going to expand

Tumhare muh me Ghee Shkkar, Pedhas and Gajar Halwa!!!!!
 
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Cheap oil is going to kick start several economies including China and India..so the effect multiplier is for everyone..these arm chair analysit assume everyone to be stand still, pick up an indicator , apply it on a country and viola..their gloom theory is ready...

Not all economies work the same way.
Does Indian economy and US economy work the same way ? No.
Likewise oil prices are an advantage to all but how the respective countries use it to their maximum benefit is the real reason an economy can sustain or implode.

As far as China is concerned it has attained an interim stagnation which provides India with more opportunities but that doesn't mean China will go to shatters and India will fly right away. China is going to take real time and it may not be able to achieve the super-growth it did in the past few decades for some time.
 
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Hang on a minute! You think it is NOT in Pakistan's interest for a Pakistani media outlet to report anything positive about India even if the news is true?

Should they continue to report on only the problems of India in order to be considered patriotic?
yes
 
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India escapes the worst of emerging markets misery

955932-india-1442122268-946-640x480.png

Mark Williams, chief Asia economist at Capital Economics in London, says India is looking like an oasis of stability at the moment PHOTO: AFP

NEW DELHI: Three years ago India was the weakling of the emerging markets clan, politically stagnant and struggling to grow — but as gloom engulfs other developing economies, the subcontinent is enjoying a moment in the sun.

Brazil and Russia lie deep in recession and South Africa is teetering on the brink after demand for raw materials collapsed, while alarm bells have sounded over fears the China juggernaut may be faltering.

Enter India, once dubbed the Broken BRIC, as the core group is known, now poised to become the fastest-growing G20 economy, expanding at a respectable seven percent, with its finances nourished by cheap oil.

“If you look at the growth numbers, India is definitely doing better than these other economies,” Kunal Kundu, an economist at Societe Generale in Bangalore, told AFP.

Read: India’s economy grows by 7% in first quarter

“China is in slowdown mode and Brazil and Russia are in trouble because they are commodities-dependent. We are seeing India as the standout.”

It is not all rosy — while low-cost oil and a new way of calculating growth have added shine to India’s GDP figures, its exports remain poor and shares on the Bombay Stock Exchange languish five percent below a year ago.

Economists say underlying growth remains fragile, and question whether the re-calculated figures that show India’s growth rate has caught up with China’s can be trusted.

But as turmoil convulsed global markets this summer, wiping trillions of dollars off world exchanges and leading investors to flee emerging economies, India has escaped comparatively unscathed.

“India is looking like an oasis of stability at the moment,” said Mark Williams, chief Asia economist at Capital Economics in London.

“It is a very different picture from a couple of years ago when India was at the forefront of concerns.”

As long as China steamrolled along at double-digit pace, covering its landscape with highways and skyscrapers, train tracks and malls, it sucked in vast amounts of raw materials such as oil, coal, iron ore for steelmaking, and cement.

Now the magic growth engine is sputtering out its worst GDP figures since 1990, Beijing says; analysts say the truth could be even uglier.

When the Middle Kingdom’s appetite waned it cast a chill over Brazil, whose economy depends on selling commodities to China and a handful of other big customers.

Prices have drooped, with the Bloomberg Commodity Index that tracks 22 raw materials falling to its lowest in 16 years in August, and not only are prices low, no one is buying like before.

“Brazil is very affected, more than other emerging countries, especially after what happened yesterday,” said Alex Agostini, chief economist at Austin Rating in Sao Paulo, referring to Standard & Poor’s decision to cut Brazil’s sovereign rating to junk.

At the peak of the boom in 2010 the one-time South American superstar grew 7.5 per cent; economists now expect it to remain in recession in 2016, as political paralysis compounds its woes.

Fellow junk-rated Russia, an oil exporter which lost big when prices halved, faces biting sanctions over the Ukraine crisis, while the number of Russians living in poverty has soared to 21.7 million, or roughly 15 percent of its total population, statistics agency Rosstat said.

“The main impact now comes through China influencing the global economy, commodities and financial markets,” Oleg Kouzmin at Renaissance Capital in Moscow said. He expects Russia’s economy to shrink by four per cent this year.

In South Africa, one of China’s biggest suppliers of minerals, one in four people is unemployed and GDP unexpectedly shrank 1.3 percent in the second quarter. Sales of iron ore have tanked, leading mining companies to announce huge layoffs.

Adding to the pain is a looming Federal Reserve interest rate rise, which will make riskier emerging markets less attractive compared with the dollar.

Next to its fractious emerging market cousins, politically stable India looks positively glowing, named by the IMF as one of the few “bright spots” in the world economy.

Low commodity prices are a gift: while cheap crude has pummelled exporters, India, which imports 80 percent of its oil needs, won the lottery.

The ensuing cash windfall has helped the government balance its books and made it less reliant on foreign loans.

“India is in a much better position, we don’t have some of the problems the other economies have,” said Arya Sen at Jefferies investment bank in Mumbai.

“Not only that, we are probably going to see an acceleration in growth which is very rare at the moment.”

Yet old problems persist — Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s promised reforms have stalled, with a land acquisition bill abandoned and a key sales tax delayed indefinitely.

Read: India’s economic reform agenda hits roadblocks

India escaped much of the recent global turmoil because it exports relatively little — meaning it does not make enough goods people want to buy, isolating it from the wider economy.

Labour and investment laws remain agonisingly complex, hindering growth, while outdated infrastructure is badly in need of funds.

And while in New Delhi politicians trumpet a growth rate that now rivals China’s, economists warn India is still a chronic underperformer.

Its $2 trillion economy is five times smaller than that of China, which although not bounding like before still contributes more than a third of global growth.

“India should not be complacent, politicians should not be celebrating,” Williams at Capital Economics said.

“It should be growing much faster. It could have had growth of nine or 10 percent, it could have been another China.”

India escapes the worst of emerging markets misery - The Express Tribune

@Horus @Windjammer @HariPrasad


Yes We look forward for a comprehensive growth. We have a potential to be a leader in Manufacturing as well a hub of Knowledge super power and a leading R & D nation unlike china who could become manufacturing super power. What we need is a proper leadership and politically stability which is ensured for at least 5 years. Modi saheb should be there in place for another 15 years. Cast based politics should be demolished and 5th columnists need to be wiped out. We shall witness a great positive change in time to come.
 
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