jhungary
MILITARY PROFESSIONAL
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- Oct 24, 2012
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There is nobody who understands the Japanese mindset more than we do. Once they grow more teeth and being more confident, they are going to get rid of the US military on their soil. You are talking about the Samurai spirit here. LOL So whether this is a win for the US remain to be seen in the future. I can accept that in the short term, the US wins as Japan will take more responsibility for their own defense which they have to spend more money on military to keep up with China Rise and less on social welfare for the Japanese people and the US can reduce their expenditure on protecting JP. So that is beneficial to the US taxpayers. But long term wise, like I said, the US influence will be weaken in Japan and they will lose the leash. I'm afraid that version of Japan is not unfavorable to us at all. Everyone knows the Japanese wouldn't dare attack China again as that will be a dead sentence. So for us, it is a win-win situation. Pacifist Japan = More opportunity for us. Militarist Japan = Weaken the US influence in Japan. Win-Win.
I don't know who are "we" you refer to, is it you and me "we", or "we" the Chinese, or "we" the PDF Brigade? Anyway, from what you said, I can safely say you know nothing of the geopolitics situation in Asia. Basically your point have 2 major flaws.
1.) You assume a Militaristic Japan will throw the US out of the Region.
Well, this is actually not up to Japan to decide, the Japanese I know is not suicidal, the only way Japan can throw the US out is that Japan can take a full assault from their Enemy, namely China and Russia. Which is, unless you have some loose in your mind, it won't happen.
Japan can militarise to a point where they can shred the US support, by building their own tech, ship and aircraft, but numerically, technologically and experience wise, they are under par with the US, Japan need US to survive, not the other way around. And in the end, the main game is and always is China vs the US in Asia. Not China vs Japan.
The situation of a Militaristic Japan is the same as a Militaristic Republic of Korea, they are also armed to their teeth, but still require US assistance.
2.) You assumed Japan will simply rolled over with any issue with China
What you said was right, to a point, Japan will not attack China, that's for sure, but what does it means exactly? Even US won't attack China, does that mean Chinese Pacifist the US? The question should not be focus on whether or not Japan will attack China again ala 1937, but rather will Japan stand against overseas Chinese interest either by competing or by sabotage Chinese reputation in international issue? The answer is they will, definitely. Because while what you said is true, Japan will never attack China, the reverse is also true, which is Chinese will not attack Japan, unless Chinese have some sort of suicidal tendencies.
So, in the end, what you said cannot be further off, and if this is what you think it will happen, why stop there? you should dream on a Chinese-Japan Alliance and kick US out of Asia once and for all.