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My post was not to justify the statement of Ms Nirupama Rao, i was just extending the scope of fellow forumer Ignited mind's statement. In my view the Taliban will come back in to power again may be with more representation of other ethnic groups and with more international recognition.
I think it will be a mess and there will be a civil war in Kabul and other town centers of Afghanistan after 2014, between the taliban and ANF/NA, It will be bloody and long drawn out with lot of civilian deaths. the US and allies have another two years to weaken the Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan and the intensity and scope of the operations in these two years will define how strong the left over taliban are to face the ANF and NA fighters who will enjoy global support and direct assistance from the US, India and possibly Russia.
There will be numerous attacks on foreign consulates, kidnappings, bombs going off in civilian areas. As far as Taliban coming back to power - they might look at a compromise after a lot of fighting - I doubt they will enjoy international support - other than Pakistan's. Afg could be in a mess again.
How about a proxy war in Afghanistan?
Arm Afghan forces to the teeth to prevent complete takeover of Afghanistan by Talibs, while giving funds to talibans to fight a shadow war in Pakistan. In front of Indian funding, puny Pakistani funding will be like peanuts.
Death by thousand cuts.
How about a proxy war in Afghanistan?
Arm Afghan forces to the teeth to prevent complete takeover of Afghanistan by Talibs, while giving funds to talibans to fight a shadow war in Pakistan. In front of Indian funding, puny Pakistani funding will be like peanuts.
Death by thousand cuts.
Lol you are talking like India is not already doing this.....
Last time Nothern Alliance did not have enough funding but still gave Taliban a tough fight. This time, ANA will be well-equipped backed by $4 billion per year defence budget and guided by special forces of US even after 2014. The U.S airforce will have a presence. ANA will have the support of most countries including Russia, Iran and even China(as China needs to protect its investments and will not want Taliban due to Xinjiang insurgency) . And this time Saudi Arabia or UAE will not support Taliban. Taliban will be fighting the insurgency as it does now but will not capture power like last time.
I think it will be a mess and there will be a civil war in Kabul and other town centers of Afghanistan after 2014, between the taliban and ANF/NA, It will be bloody and long drawn out with lot of civilian deaths. the US and allies have another two years to weaken the Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan and the intensity and scope of the operations in these two years will define how strong the left over taliban are to face the ANF and NA fighters who will enjoy global support and direct assistance from the US, India and possibly Russia.
There will be numerous attacks on foreign consulates, kidnappings, bombs going off in civilian areas. As far as Taliban coming back to power - they might look at a compromise after a lot of fighting - I doubt they will enjoy international support - other than Pakistan's. Afg could be in a mess again.
I was only talking about Chanakya; you seem to be PhD in Chanakya Niti, my friend.
How about a proxy war in Afghanistan?
Arm Afghan forces to the teeth to prevent complete takeover of Afghanistan by Talibs, while giving funds to talibans to fight a shadow war in Pakistan. In front of Indian funding, puny Pakistani funding will be like peanuts.
Death by thousand cuts.
Does it matter???
How about a proxy war in Afghanistan?
Arm Afghan forces to the teeth to prevent complete takeover of Afghanistan by Talibs, while giving funds to talibans to fight a shadow war in Pakistan. In front of Indian funding, puny Pakistani funding will be like peanuts.
Death by thousand cuts.