Tipu7
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While considering JFT programs I believe its real use fulness depends on package it offers.
Its cost effective and offer decent strength with out fear of sanctions. But it must be kept in mind that JFT should form the Back Bone of PAF, not spear head.
In case of air conflict JFT will not be in front lines, it will be Falcon or Flanker if integrated. Reason is JFT lack features of air superiority fighter. and PAF right now plan to operate (if Flanker is not included) only two type of air crafts of similar category(light). IAF on the other hand operates 5 air crafts of three different categories (light, medium,heavy) ........... so in my opinion it will be a suicidal approach if PAF didn't opt for any Third type of air craft of Heavy Category.
By 2019-2021 PAF must consists of following air crafts, in my opinion PAF will neutralize IAF quality edge if it shaped it self as
1:Jf17 Thunders
2: F16 Falcons
3: Su35 Flanker E
4: XX naval strike air craft
Jf17 Thunder
Firstly JFT is going fine. However its Blk2 is disappointing as it followed slight increase in load capacity and avionics only and operate same radar, engine and weapon package............ much needed air refueling capability is YET to integrate.
It got 7 seven hard points. Among them three will be reserve for sniper pod+fuel tanks. Remaining it can carry two BVR and two WVR air to air missile. or it has to sacrifice its WVR missile for air to ground bombs. This is very disappointing as their is not enough space to arm JFT fully. PAF needs to reduce order of Blk 2 upto 50 air crafts and increase order of Blk 3 upto 150 air crafts inorder to achieve the required target of 250 air crafts. Blk 3 must exhibit significant improvements over current air crafts as AESA radar+9 Hard points+WS10 engine (or AL31 if possible)+improved avionics+Load capacity+Improved EW suits+Improved weapon package+Improved counter measures. If Blk 3 is not going to integrate all such attributes then sorry to say, it will be disappointing just like Blk 2. If yes then it will carry more than enough punch and will be able to stand against any non fifth generation air craft. 100 Blk2+150Blk3 is handsome back bone power.
F16 Falcon
PAF right now operates almost 78 Falcons. Among them 18 are Blk 50/52+ while remaining are upgraded to same or MLU standard. PAF is looking to get back the sanctioned F16 from USA. This will increase the number of F16 upto 90 in our arsenal. If PAF is looking to increase the number of Falcons up to 108 then it might be looking for more 2nd hand F16 from West or USA or may be (if money available) will go for more blk 50/52+ from Lockheed Martin directly. Any way Falcon status in PAF is satisfactory and in case of conflict it will be a air craft with capability to shot down any thing IAF can take off in sky at better chances. (except Rafale of course)
Su35 Flanker
A deal which was very unlikely in past, changed to hoax and finally in reality. Now the deal is in second stage of initial talks. PAF have never operated a Heavy air craft of Flanker caliber. It will be a new experience and will provide diversity to PAF doctrine. Although there are still minor chances that Su35S will get paint scheme of PAF but still the possibility exist. Its upto budget how many Su35 Pakistan will pursue in initial batch and how many in later stages. But the badly needed gap of Air superiority fighter will be filled well by this air craft. For now atleast 36 such units are required and these air crafts are superior to any air craft in IAF current or near future arsenal. Its better to use them as Air superiority or Heavy strike air craft instead of dedicated naval strike air craft.
XX Naval strike air craft
PN do not operate any Fighter squadron. Its PAF job from day one to full fill required task for navy. Judging from economic conditions, its very unlikely that PN will have any dedicated air strike wing of its own. PAF Minhas Squadron just revived a boast by replacing F7 with JFT Blk2, but still this is not complete answer. As JFT lack enough range and pay load. more over it is inferior to Mig29K and also lack enough defensive armaments. If budget is available then PAF must arm it self with pure Naval strike air craft. May be F18 Hornet, May be J16 Flying Shark, May be Su34 Platypus it all depends on foreign relations and military set ups. But need is there and all above mentioned air crafts are superior than Mig29K or Naval variant of Tejas India may develop in coming years.
Despite of all fighter fleet, AWACS and Air Tankers are also crucial and serve as FORCE multipliers........ in near future there is no urgent need of buying any new system......
Its cost effective and offer decent strength with out fear of sanctions. But it must be kept in mind that JFT should form the Back Bone of PAF, not spear head.
In case of air conflict JFT will not be in front lines, it will be Falcon or Flanker if integrated. Reason is JFT lack features of air superiority fighter. and PAF right now plan to operate (if Flanker is not included) only two type of air crafts of similar category(light). IAF on the other hand operates 5 air crafts of three different categories (light, medium,heavy) ........... so in my opinion it will be a suicidal approach if PAF didn't opt for any Third type of air craft of Heavy Category.
By 2019-2021 PAF must consists of following air crafts, in my opinion PAF will neutralize IAF quality edge if it shaped it self as
1:Jf17 Thunders
2: F16 Falcons
3: Su35 Flanker E
4: XX naval strike air craft
Jf17 Thunder
Firstly JFT is going fine. However its Blk2 is disappointing as it followed slight increase in load capacity and avionics only and operate same radar, engine and weapon package............ much needed air refueling capability is YET to integrate.
It got 7 seven hard points. Among them three will be reserve for sniper pod+fuel tanks. Remaining it can carry two BVR and two WVR air to air missile. or it has to sacrifice its WVR missile for air to ground bombs. This is very disappointing as their is not enough space to arm JFT fully. PAF needs to reduce order of Blk 2 upto 50 air crafts and increase order of Blk 3 upto 150 air crafts inorder to achieve the required target of 250 air crafts. Blk 3 must exhibit significant improvements over current air crafts as AESA radar+9 Hard points+WS10 engine (or AL31 if possible)+improved avionics+Load capacity+Improved EW suits+Improved weapon package+Improved counter measures. If Blk 3 is not going to integrate all such attributes then sorry to say, it will be disappointing just like Blk 2. If yes then it will carry more than enough punch and will be able to stand against any non fifth generation air craft. 100 Blk2+150Blk3 is handsome back bone power.
F16 Falcon
PAF right now operates almost 78 Falcons. Among them 18 are Blk 50/52+ while remaining are upgraded to same or MLU standard. PAF is looking to get back the sanctioned F16 from USA. This will increase the number of F16 upto 90 in our arsenal. If PAF is looking to increase the number of Falcons up to 108 then it might be looking for more 2nd hand F16 from West or USA or may be (if money available) will go for more blk 50/52+ from Lockheed Martin directly. Any way Falcon status in PAF is satisfactory and in case of conflict it will be a air craft with capability to shot down any thing IAF can take off in sky at better chances. (except Rafale of course)
Su35 Flanker
A deal which was very unlikely in past, changed to hoax and finally in reality. Now the deal is in second stage of initial talks. PAF have never operated a Heavy air craft of Flanker caliber. It will be a new experience and will provide diversity to PAF doctrine. Although there are still minor chances that Su35S will get paint scheme of PAF but still the possibility exist. Its upto budget how many Su35 Pakistan will pursue in initial batch and how many in later stages. But the badly needed gap of Air superiority fighter will be filled well by this air craft. For now atleast 36 such units are required and these air crafts are superior to any air craft in IAF current or near future arsenal. Its better to use them as Air superiority or Heavy strike air craft instead of dedicated naval strike air craft.
XX Naval strike air craft
PN do not operate any Fighter squadron. Its PAF job from day one to full fill required task for navy. Judging from economic conditions, its very unlikely that PN will have any dedicated air strike wing of its own. PAF Minhas Squadron just revived a boast by replacing F7 with JFT Blk2, but still this is not complete answer. As JFT lack enough range and pay load. more over it is inferior to Mig29K and also lack enough defensive armaments. If budget is available then PAF must arm it self with pure Naval strike air craft. May be F18 Hornet, May be J16 Flying Shark, May be Su34 Platypus it all depends on foreign relations and military set ups. But need is there and all above mentioned air crafts are superior than Mig29K or Naval variant of Tejas India may develop in coming years.
Despite of all fighter fleet, AWACS and Air Tankers are also crucial and serve as FORCE multipliers........ in near future there is no urgent need of buying any new system......
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