abdulbarijan
PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST
- Joined
- May 15, 2010
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Im not against thunder im against planning IAF knew pak only has F 16 and JF 17 so they have easy task if we got J 10 along with 30 SU 35 IAF never dare to even think of sending any fighter jet in pak incuding their new rafale and pakfa
This "planning" is there because of a mix of poor economic conditions, geo-political relations and missed opportunities (due to reasons many times mentioned on this very forum) ... It's not simply a case of PAF just going --- "No to any sort of offense!" --- which btw is not really the case .. if you seriously look at the A2G weaponry, especially the stand off weaponry that we possess and plus add in the F-16's ...
As far as new inductions go, sorry to burst the bubbles but as of now ... the only real consideration is the J-10B and that too is based on the decision of IAF's rafale deal ... As far as IAF not "daring" etc. -- well the problem is --- for deterrence --- you need to have a wild card -- a weapon that can change the course of war and its mere presence can make the opponent go down the road of"what if's" -- that for us is our nuclear + missile capability ...
But then again, while we look at this from today's lens -- how could PAF have planned for say a SU-35 induction ?? -- After all, just 5 years ago -- the ruskies were the best buds of India -- remember --- and there were all these complexities involving a re-export of Al-31 engine and whether the J-10 PAF has to use will have a Chinese power plant and what not ... Now either you have enough supporting cast (diplomats etc.) spread around the world to force decisions in your favor -- and guess what ... we dont have that either ...
It's a very broad topic, I mean all sorts of arguments and cases can be made for and against what I say or what you say .... however the bottom line is -- we have no choice but to be cost effective because our opponent can simply spend more then we can ... many times more actually .... so when your on the table .... the risk associated with a big decision ... say a deal involving SU-35 is manyfold comparatively to say the IAF making a decision ... because if tomorrow that decision turns sour and the SU-35's availability becomes less, it ends up costing more or doesn't bring out the desired results --- guess which people would flip flop and start criticizing XYZ decisions ...
It's very easy to sit behind a computer screen, and be like PAF needs this this and this ... and it screwed up on this ... however when it comes down to it ... if I were a PAF planner I'd quit my job the next day because I'd rather not be involved in a decision that may seem completely rational at the time but end up biting me in the behind because the long term ramifications were unaccounted for because the people weren't able to forecast the situation 10-20 years from now or the supporting cast wasn't able to perform up to its required mark ...
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