Again me with an idea !
I can't help myself, but why do I still have that strange feeling that the new radome does not follow the external lines of the original one but has indeed a new shape ??
It looks much more J-10B-sytlish than flankerish ???
View attachment 217926
Also ... if the J-11D's radar is said be derived from the J-16's radar, then why are both said to be from different institutes ??
http://chinese-military-aviation.blogspot.de/p/fighters-ii.html#J-11D
http://chinese-military-aviation.blogspot.de/p/attack-aircraft.html
So, could it be that similar to the J-10B's radar there was originally a "contest" between both systems and the J-16 received one of them (607 Institute), while now the J-11D received the final J-10B's (or in fact J-10C's AESA from the 14th Institute). Since however that AESA was not ready in time, the first block of J-10B serials also received a PESA-type developed from the 607 Institute). This however could also be a hint that the J-16 in fact also "only" has a PESA and this could also explain its protracted development, since similar to the J-10B its main avionics is not ready.
If that theory will be correct, I don't know, but it will be interesting to see, if the next J-16s will also feature the J-11Ds canted radome ...
Just two cents,
Deino