There is one thing I know for sure due to my experience on international forums. Russians Hate French more than they hate USA and French are all over India. Russians want to punish India for Rafale deal. Putin sent his military to Pakistan for drills after URI attacks and India did it's best to stop Russia but they went ahead. The problem with Pakistan they would never exploit a situation. I wish Zulfiqar ali bhuto was alive today those type of people can pull out the fishe from the pond not bhudus like Nawaz and Imran. We need a cunning and Patriotic leader. Zardari is cunning but he is too much greedy he might sell Pakistan to Russia. But in the current dynamics a right person can pull it of. Russia sold TOT to china for SU 27 the bed for SU 35 India is not a problem Russian Chinese deals show that so Russia is open currently and Pakistan is the Russian access to warm waters they need us more than we need them. USSR got wasted to get access to warm waters Russia is desperate for the access.
I posted on the Russian forum the day MIG 35 was launched and a collective answer from Russians came that "Give it free to Pakistan to teach Indians" this is the current situation of the general public about India. They condemned the Rafale deal.