all systems that use Sayyad missile can distinguish civilian aircraft from from military ones , S-200 cant . and if we are confident in sending it over Persians gulf and be sure it hit the drone not spy plane or any jetliner there we are not shying about using it over Mediterranean Sea
Global Hawk was engaged 75KM from Iranian shore, in Iranian water/airspace in early hours of the night.
Different story sending a missile 300KM into crowded international airspace/waters with no NOTAM.
All one needs to look at is previous Iranian actions to realize that is not part of Iranian calculus of likely actions they would take.
If you check IntelSky’s Twitter you can see how many times a day Israeli’s jets are in Mediterranean. Constantly. So you will not know which one of those trips they are dropping payloads and which ones they are merely patrolling or doing intelligence gathering or mock runs. By the time radars detect the CMs reliably there is a
chance they are back in Israeli airspace.
why not, that's what shelters are and honestly that's why i say you must disperse your equipment , concentration is always bad news
We are talking about a realistic Iranian airbase in Syria. 90 shelters is not realistic. Ask yourself what is biggest airbase in Iran itself? Then ask how many reinforced shelters that base has?
And if you are gonna build such a mega airbase in Syria, you would need a lot more than 2 Bavar systems and a handful of TOR-M1.
and then if they throw it in front of shelter , goes the benefit of cluster warhead
Maybe I explained poorly. I ment to say that for shelters an option is for TV guided LORA to be used (used in Armenian-Azeri war to strike a bridge) and for large scale bombardment Jericho with cluster warhead would be used. Again hypothetical. Maybe Israel decides to use its long range stand off munitions, I’m not sure.
Most reinforced shelters are open air underneath with exit and entrance exposed thus CMs and precision guided bombs try to hit the openings rather than pierce the “shell”. An aircraft is very sensitive, all it needs is some shrapnel damage to render it needing extensive maintenance.