They can't SNAP back the sanctions, China and Russia will both veto.
US tried to prevent Russian weapons sales to Turkey, India, what happened ?
In the past Iran has tried buying a small amount of jets, like 30 or 50. This upcoming deal for the purchase of 200 jets, potentially hundreds of Armata T-14 tanks and hundreds of helicopters... honestly that's too big of a deal for Russia to pass.
US tried to prevent Russia from selling Iran S-300. What happened ? After the UN sanctions came off the sale went through. The fact that Trump has been sanctioning China, Russia won't help matters.
What do you want Iran to do ? Get rid of its missiles, get rid of its nuclear program, get invaded, end up like Iraq ?
The EU can't really do much since they haven't lived up to their end of the bargain. China and Russia will more than likely veto any attempt to reinstate UN sanctions on Iran. Russia and China, in their press releases, their foreign ministries have made their position crystal clear. They outright blame the EU for not having the political will to stand up to the US.
If the EU really wanted to salvage the deal then they could expand the INSTEX program by buying Iranian oil, perhaps at a discount, and open up an exchange which could use the oil as a guarantee, like a financial institution, kind of like a bank of sorts, which could connect EU, Russian, Chinese, world markets to Iran while excluding the US.
In that case the US couldn't really do much. What could the US really do ? Sanction the governments of EU, Russia, China and others ? The US would lose just as much as those they sanctioned. Even with China, they can only sanction certain companies doing business with Iran. In any case, there were rumors of ongoing negotiations between Iran and the EU to expand INSTEX, however the idea never materialized. I'm not sure if its because the Europeans wanted extreme discounts on the oil that they were to purchase but that could be just one reason.
US tried to prevent Russian weapons sales to Turkey, India, what happened ?
In the past Iran has tried buying a small amount of jets, like 30 or 50. This upcoming deal for the purchase of 200 jets, potentially hundreds of Armata T-14 tanks and hundreds of helicopters... honestly that's too big of a deal for Russia to pass.
US tried to prevent Russia from selling Iran S-300. What happened ? After the UN sanctions came off the sale went through. The fact that Trump has been sanctioning China, Russia won't help matters.
Thats only assuming that theres no "snap back" of un sanctions,and with the eurovassals triggering of the jcpoa disputes mechanism theres a very good chance that this will happen,at which point its anyones guess if the russians and chinese would continue to abide by the sanctions or not.
So I wouldnt count my chickens,or potential weapons purchases,just yet.
What do you want Iran to do ? Get rid of its missiles, get rid of its nuclear program, get invaded, end up like Iraq ?
The decision makers of Iran have managed to put us in a position that now North Korea is using our tension with the US to it's own benefit, These guys should answer for the disaster they created.
The EU can't really do much since they haven't lived up to their end of the bargain. China and Russia will more than likely veto any attempt to reinstate UN sanctions on Iran. Russia and China, in their press releases, their foreign ministries have made their position crystal clear. They outright blame the EU for not having the political will to stand up to the US.
If the EU really wanted to salvage the deal then they could expand the INSTEX program by buying Iranian oil, perhaps at a discount, and open up an exchange which could use the oil as a guarantee, like a financial institution, kind of like a bank of sorts, which could connect EU, Russian, Chinese, world markets to Iran while excluding the US.
In that case the US couldn't really do much. What could the US really do ? Sanction the governments of EU, Russia, China and others ? The US would lose just as much as those they sanctioned. Even with China, they can only sanction certain companies doing business with Iran. In any case, there were rumors of ongoing negotiations between Iran and the EU to expand INSTEX, however the idea never materialized. I'm not sure if its because the Europeans wanted extreme discounts on the oil that they were to purchase but that could be just one reason.
Thats only assuming that theres no "snap back" of un sanctions,and with the eurovassals triggering of the jcpoa disputes mechanism theres a very good chance that this will happen,at which point its anyones guess if the russians and chinese would continue to abide by the sanctions or not.
So I wouldnt count my chickens,or potential weapons purchases,just yet.