Iran's Strategy

[PapaDoc23]

It all dpends on what happens in Syria. From the looks of it there will be no intervention in Syria by NATO because the West is tired of war and the middle east. How far will Iran go to protect Assad? There are rumors that Assad's 4th Armoured Division is being reinforces with Iranian mercenaries,Hezbollah agents and Iraqi Shiite militamen. If it looks like Assad is losing will Iran send troops to protect Assad? I doubt it more then likely Syria will breakup into ethnic and sectarian fiefdom. That will be bad for Hezbollah and Iran. All the GCC nations have to do is arm the FSA with ammo,MANPADs and anti tank missiles and the war against Assad will change in a matter of months.

 

[somebozo]

The Iranians compared to Saudis are much more smarter and civilized. Much of the Saudi sentiments towards Iran emerge from their Najdi way of primitive thinking..given an equal chance in the game..Iranian influence will soon over run Saudi influence in the Middle East and GCC...Also the Iranian culture tend to value and nurture knowledge, sciences, education and medicine while Najdi culture tends to value loyalty to the regime, bigotry, nepotism, primitive thinking and backwardness.

Over the years the Najdis have become very conscious and sensitive to their abject lack of culture and heritage hence intense efforts have been launched by the government to showcase Saudi culture by various road shows around the world...which tends to be a lot of borrowing from Persian, Syrian and Turkish heritage..branded as Saudi culture..

The dividing factor between the Najdis, Romans and Persians have always been their primitive life style versus the rich civilizations of Persia and Roman Arabia. (Syria)..

However, Iran is not without its share of problems...

1. Firstly, Irans biggest draw back is its Shia clergy as it is evident that conflicting and corrupt teaching of Shia'sm are not welcome among the much wider Muslim world and can only be propagated by sword much like the Safavid or financial bribery..Shah realized this and took aggressive steps to undermine religious overtones in Persian culture and politics - albeit unsuccessfully.
   
2. The take over of khomeni revolution has put an effective stop to Persian science and technology revolution initiated by Shah..
   
3. The iranian regime actively exploits conflicts and funds terrorist to build its influence in the Muslim world which has put it in a difficult situation even against its best allies like Turkey.
   
4. Much of the educated and intelligent brass of Iran escapes the country at first chance - hence Iran has the highest brain drain in the world...and over a period if time..it faces the risk of turning into a shia equivalent of Najd...
   
   
5. In the long run..assuming the Iranian situation to remain constant - Saudis with with oil money have a lot of potential to fare better!

It all dpends on what happens in Syria. From the looks of it there will be no intervention in Syria by NATO because the West is tired of war and the middle east. How far will Iran go to protect Assad? There are rumors that Assad's 4th Armoured Division is being reinforces with Iranian mercenaries,Hezbollah agents and Iraqi Shiite militamen. If it looks like Assad is losing will Iran send troops to protect Assad? I doubt it more then likely Syria will breakup into ethnic and sectarian fiefdom. That will be bad for Hezbollah and Iran. All the GCC nations have to do is arm the FSA with ammo,MANPADs and anti tank missiles and the war against Assad will change in a matter of months.

You do realize that doing such is simply creating another Afghanistan and Al-CIAda? Which Americans seem to love creating and arabs seems to love funding as long as it is not in their own lands...

 

[SamranAli]

i personaly conclude that Iran is not hostile to any Arab yes but against Israel and US. Its Arab world that thinks so and try to get Iran become hostile by giving US bases and open support.

 

[IbnAlwaled]

It all dpends on what happens in Syria. From the looks of it there will be no intervention in Syria by NATO because the West is tired of war and the middle east. How far will Iran go to protect Assad? There are rumors that Assad's 4th Armoured Division is being reinforces with Iranian mercenaries,Hezbollah agents and Iraqi Shiite militamen. If it looks like Assad is losing will Iran send troops to protect Assad? I doubt it more then likely Syria will breakup into ethnic and sectarian fiefdom. That will be bad for Hezbollah and Iran. All the GCC nations have to do is arm the FSA with ammo,MANPADs and anti tank missiles and the war against Assad will change in a matter of months.

Spot on. However, Saudi Arabia tried to arm the FSA, but the US pressured Jordan to not allow weapons into Syria, so we are just financing them now. Turkey, will not allow Syria to disintegrate into full blown civil war, so it will intervene eventually. Iran, wouldn't dare send troops to Syria as US fleets are stationed next to it waiting for an excuse.

 

[somebozo]

Spot on. However, Saudi Arabia tried to arm the FSA, but the US pressured Jordan to not allow weapons into Syria, so we are just financing them now. Turkey, will not allow Syria to disintegrate into full blown civil war, so it will intervene eventually. Iran, wouldn't dare send troops to Syria as US fleets are stationed next to it waiting for an excuse.

So you support creating terrorist squad in sovergien countries in the name of freedom and civil rights...how would it taste of bashar was to do the same..and mind you there will be many takers for this offer starting from eastern provience

 

[The SC]

The Iranians compared to Saudis are much more smarter and civilized. Much of the Saudi sentiments towards Iran emerge from their Najdi way of primitive thinking..given an equal chance in the game..Iranian influence will soon over run Saudi influence in the Middle East and GCC...Also the Iranian culture tend to value and nurture knowledge, sciences, education and medicine while Najdi culture tends to value loyalty to the regime, bigotry, nepotism, primitive thinking and backwardness.



Over the years the Najdis have become very conscious and sensitive to their abject lack of culture and heritage hence intense efforts have been launched by the government to showcase Saudi culture by various road shows around the world...which tends to be a lot of borrowing from Persian, Syrian and Turkish heritage..branded as Saudi culture..

The dividing factor between the Najdis, Romans and Persians have always been their primitive life style versus the rich civilizations of Persia and Roman Arabia. (Syria)..

However, Iran is not without its share of problems...

1. Firstly, Irans biggest draw back is its Shia clergy as it is evident that conflicting and corrupt teaching of Shia'sm are not welcome among the much wider Muslim world and can only be propagated by sword much like the Safavid or financial bribery..Shah realized this and took aggressive steps to undermine religious overtones in Persian culture and politics - albeit unsuccessfully.
   
2. The take over of khomeni revolution has put an effective stop to Persian science and technology revolution initiated by Shah..
   
3. The iranian regime actively exploits conflicts and funds terrorist to build its influence in the Muslim world which has put it in a difficult situation even against its best allies like Turkey.
   
4. Much of the educated and intelligent brass of Iran escapes the country at first chance - hence Iran has the highest brain drain in the world...and over a period if time..it faces the risk of turning into a shia equivalent of Najd...
   
   
5. In the long run..assuming the Iranian situation to remain constant - Saudis with with oil money have a lot of potential to fare better!

You do realize that doing such is simply creating another Afghanistan and Al-CIAda? Which Americans seem to love creating and arabs seems to love funding as long as it is not in their own lands...

Roman Arabia is a farfetched word, it was called Mesopotamia and it happened to be on eastern Arab land as well as other well known Arab civilisations or kingdoms to the west, they were contemporary to the Persian civilisation throughout time.

A part from this, I have appreciated your article.

The Ummah will prevail.

 

[IbnAlwaled]

So you support creating terrorist squad in sovergien countries in the name of freedom and civil rights...how would it taste of bashar was to do the same..and mind you there will be many takers for this offer starting from eastern provience

I honestly wish nothing more than an armed uprising in Qatif(eastern province is mainly Sunni), an excuse to get rid of our fifth column.
We've been through this many times, what you call terrorist squads we call freedom fighters. Bashar will be killed whether we arm the FSA or not.

 

[clmeta]

You exaggerated a little.But yes, the war against terror has immensely benefited Iran. How could that stupid Bush see Saddam as a bigger threat than Iran????

Firstly, I would take Iranian Ayatollahs over Wahabi terrorists any day.

Secondly, it is no secret. I have personally studied Iran's actions since the islamic revolution. Iran's strategists are brilliant and takes every move after much, much calculation although they may appear to be "reckless" in the global stage. Their policymakers are akin to India's - only much bolder and courageous.

The US invasion of Iraq has helped Iran to gain influence over Iraq. Iran now effectively controls Iraq and has also played significant part to expel US forces from Iraq.

Iran uses Hezbollah to contain Israeli influence and Syria is already a proxy state of Iran.

Iran almost destroyed Bahrain government. Only after begging GCC and Pakistan, they sent their armies and Bahrain government was saved. It just shows what Iran can do to these terrorist wahabis if it comes down to that.

UAE begs US to station some F22s because it knows that in all probabilities, there will be no UAE or GCC in the map if Iran unleashes its wrath.

US' top stealth drone RQ-170 is now IR-170 - thanks to Iran's cyber-warfare capabilities.

More....?

Is this the same Iran which was on the verge of falling apart in the 80s?

 

[King Solomon]

You exaggerated a little.But yes, the war against terror has immensely benefited Iran. How could that stupid Bush see Saddam as a bigger threat than Iran????

US is using foolish Arabs to its advantage. US strategy (at present) is to balance sunni-shia influence while pretending to take side of the Arabs.

 

[somebozo]

I honestly wish nothing more than an armed uprising in Qatif(eastern province is mainly Sunni), an excuse to get rid of our fifth column.
We've been through this many times, what you call terrorist squads we call freedom fighters. Bashar will be killed whether we arm the FSA or not.

So you admit that arabs are funding terrorist in the name of Islam..a big reason for us to get away from ummah politics? Because we have already had a taste of this. And in not so distant future this could be in Pakistan as well - aiming regime change by funding some crazy mullahs with guns..

How about the tables turned because even tho Saudi is predominantly Sunni, many of its citizens are sick of ruling elite and their corruption...

or does najdi imperialism says that if you are a sunni then its your responsibility to support xxxx ruler?

 

[clmeta]

Yes, you may be right here. US wants to balance Shias and Sunnis in the middle east but feels safer with Sunnis. That's because most Sunni middle east countries are their allies. Iran isin't. But US will try to clip Iran's wings on nuclear front otherwise every middle east country would try to buy/develop/steal nucleaur weapons.

US is using foolish Arabs to its advantage. US strategy (at present) is to balance sunni-shia influence while pretending to take side of the Arabs.

 

[IbnAlwaled]

So you admit that arabs are funding terrorist in the name of Islam..a big reason for us to get away from ummah politics? Because we have already had a taste of this. And in not so distant future this could be in Pakistan as well - aiming regime change by funding some crazy mullahs with guns..

How about the tables turned because even tho Saudi is predominantly Sunni, many of its citizens are sick of ruling elite and their corruption...

or does najdi imperialism says that if you are a sunni then its your responsibility to support xxxx ruler?

You obviously no nothing about what Saudis want, there is a reason why Arab spring didn't reach S.Arabia and reached other more ruthless countries. its because most Saudis are happy with the ruling family. No matter how much outsiders would try to instigate unrest, nothing will happen as long as the religious establishment are behind the king. Anyway, you have to get over this "najdi imperialism" whatever it means, it exist only your head. In fact, Najd is a region in center Saudi Arabia, no one identifies himself as najdi.

 

[somebozo]

You obviously no nothing about what Saudis want, there is a reason why Arab spring didn't reach S.Arabia and reached other more ruthless countries. its because most Saudis are happy with the ruling family. No matter how much outsiders would try to instigate unrest, nothing will happen as long as the religious establishment are behind the king. Anyway, you have to get over this "najdi imperialism" whatever it means, it exist only your head.

'

And you assume no role was played in cornering the Arab spring by government handout schemes implemented in hassle by the ministry of labor and botched up plans to get jobs for Saudis in a true "art of blackmailing" the investors and business man..


You mean the As Shaikh family who sell fatwas for pay cheques??

You cant understand Najdi imperialism..well because you have no official sense of history and heritage except the mumbo jumbo of great this and that taught at school....



come on man..fool someone else...

 

[Secur]

That's one of the reason why S.Arabia is so adamant about the success of the Syrian revolution. It would effectively end Iranian influence over Syria, Lebanon and Hamas. As for Bahrain, we have permanent troops stationed there, nothing Iran can do about it.

So Syrians rebelling against the Govt are great , noble people however the Bahrainis are terrorist ?

Hypocrisy much ...

P.S Nothing is going to happen to Syria actually , because this time Russia is itself involved ... Cant afford to lose them

 

[IranZamin]

Iran almost destroyed Bahrain government.

Iran never did anything to the Bahraini government. Ayatollah Khamenei himself said ''The accusations of meddling are lies, if we meddled the situation would look entirely different''
i think that sums it up