SalarHaqq
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I wouldn't know why. These terms operate a necessary distinction between two separate eventualities with vastly different implications.
This postulates Iranian factories are authorized to deal directly with foreign customers. I doubt it.
Now if the above is accurate, then it'll be unlikely that the items shown are truly made in Iran.
A military-industrial complex and the more generic notion of a defense industry aren't exactly the same. Not every defense industry gives rise to what they call a military-industrial complex (in the sense given to it by USA president Eisenhower, one of the first or the first person to employ it in his 1961 Farewell Address).
Military industrial complex designates a nexus between the military, the defense industries and politics, and supposes lobbying activities in pursuit of vested interests as well as significant degree of autonomy that enables bypassing of key institutions.
The Iranian companies present at international exhibitions are not privately owned. They don't bribe Majles members to obtain contracts.
National security is not dealt with in the same manner as regular business activities, being more sensitive and therefore regulated in a stricter manner.
Apart from the above, the IRGC has no interest in assisting a party that is fighting a major war against Russia.
Russia would surely reconsider the recent deepening of bilateral ties, which has indeed a strategic quality to it, should Iran choose to support the Ukrainian war effort militarily. Not something Iran would rationally throw herself into, given the considerable efforts underlying the build up of the present relationship with Moscow, as well as the greater benefit Iran reaps from this relationship as compared to what she'd gain from munition sales to Kiev.
On the economic front:
- The North-South corridor is in the process of being expanded.
- Iran now owns a port in Astrakhan on the Caspial Sea.
- Bilateral trade volume is rising uninterruptedly. Joint economic projects are multiplying.
- With her experience in circumventing sanctions, Iran is assisting Moscow.
- Iran trusts Russia enough to strike a deal with the Republic of Bashkortostan for extra-territorial production of items as strategic as basic foodstuff (wheat etc). For this Iran chose Russia and Venezuela over a major trade partner next door, namely Turkey.
On the political front:
- Increasing numbers of political forces in Russia are adopting an openly pro-Iranian line.
- In the Syrian theater and contrary to recurrent fake news about an imminent schism, the Iranian-Russian tandem has remained intact and managed to safeguard the status quo.
- Iran has recently provided considerable amounts of UAV's to Russia, Russia might have sold fighter jets and other weaponry to Iran.
- There is mutual understanding and coordination in resisting NATO.
- Never have Moscow's ties to Tel Aviv been as lukewarm, not to say cold. Russia shut down the local branch of the Jewish Agency, the organization that manages Jewish emigration to Occupied Palestine.
How is it painstaking to copy those shells, or rather to manufacture a small batch of lookalikes for a photo ops or two? Technically it represents a rather trivial task for USA intelligence services. While the investment required amounts to small change considering their colossal budgets. These sorts of operations represent textbook psy-ops. If Russian officials turn suspicious of Iran, the CIA, DIA or whatever agency is likely to have been behind it will hit the jackpot. If as little as public opinion in Russia and elsewhere is affected, they'll get more than their money's worth out of it.
The question this should prompt is, how come the Ukrainians will then stage pictorials of supposedly Iranian-made artillery shells when they basically ban frontline photography like you reminded? They will publish only what they deem to be in their and in NATO's propaganda interests. In what way would NATO benefit from conveying the message to the public, that Iran is actively aiding the Ukrainian military to kill Russian troops? Answers ought to be obvious I believe.
I'm simply highlighting the fact that these images onto themselves do not prove that those munitions (or mock ups) are actually of Iranian origin. Everything put on display in there can indeed be produced in the west.
It's not that they mean nothing, but it's also true that very few Iranians were martyred as a result of zionist airstrikes on Syria. Unless we consider fewer than twenty or so martyrs a huge toll.
Apparently deniability wouldn't really be that plausible, seeing how convincing the Ukrainian and western claim in this affair seems to be to you. After all you're treating it as proof.
I'm yet to see evidence that those are really Iranian shells rather than fakes.
There's also a second kind of hypothesis, one whose plausibility you seemed to acknowledge: the USA regime paid a 'neutral' third party, some government in Asia or Africa for instance, to place a significant order for these various types of shells with Iran and then transfer them to Ukraine, unbeknownst to Iranian authorities. Under this scenario, had Iran suspected that these would land in the hands of Ukrainian forces, she wouldn't have went ahead with it.
In this manner Washington would have killed two birds with one stone: replenished dwindling stocks of Soviet or Russian type munitions in the Ukrainian army, and simultaneously mount a propaganda show to undermine the partnership between Iran and Russia. And we can be sure that this would be considered cost effective by the USA regime, since it's reported to have resorted to much more convoluted and complex operations in the past against Iran, like when they were said to have sold defective centrifuge parts to a company in Malaysia, in expectation that Iran would purchase said parts.
At any rate, what I'm saying is that because of her bilateral ties to Russia, Iran is very unlikely to have sold munitions to Ukraine. There are at least two alternative explanations for those pictures.
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