Iranian Chill Thread

[jauk]

Day after day it is obvious that Israel has become a Military Dictatorship. Last evidence was the Judiciary Law Reform that intended (well, succeded) in protecting the acting freedom of movement of the Government.

The real maneouver of Bibi now intend to cristalyze his power in a Unity Government, putting his right hand over the Parliament.

The question is after this war how he will maintain his position. If something is going wrong in this war (intervention of HZ or any islamic revolution in Egypt or Jordania (less probably) or Elsewhere, he will have an perfect reason to dissolve the Parliament.

Anyway it is clear that he took advantage of Hama´s attack and want to keep his charge like a good Dictatorship.

It’s just becoming obvious?

Aside from the devastation brought to Gaza Israel has suffered a devastating defeat. There is no recovery. Thinking anything to the contrary is playing into the opponents’ attempts to change the narrative.

 

[Hormuz]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713185529284485369

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713177147626439061

 

[tsunset]

Israel airstrikes convey of people fleeing, kills children and people trying to leave deliberately

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713185753977815510

 

[Hormuz]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713203383534821774

 

[Blue In Green]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713278701746655358

 

[Xerxes22]

Iran just warned Israel that It will intervene if Israel doesn’t stop … well, I say let’s go. Persia has nothing to worry about. It’s the land of warriors and it’s the greatest civilisations in written history.

If Iran Intervenes Iran will decimate Israel, America and whoever the hell that comes with them .

Victory to Persians and the Islamic Republic

 

[tsunset]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713278701746655358

Edit: This is Axios using anonymous sources, this is not confirmed by any officials

two diplomatic sources with knowledge of the situation told Axios.

 

[Mehdipersian]

Iran warns Israel

Iran warns Israel through UN against ground offensive in Gaza

Iran sent a message to Israel on Saturday stressing that it does not want further escalation in the Hamas-Israel war, but that it will have to intervene if the Israeli operation in Gaza continues, two diplomatic sources with knowledge of the situation told Axios. Iran's message, sent to Israel...

pdf.defence.pk

 

[TheImmortal]

Iran warns Israel

Iran warns Israel through UN against ground offensive in Gaza

Iran sent a message to Israel on Saturday stressing that it does not want further escalation in the Hamas-Israel war, but that it will have to intervene if the Israeli operation in Gaza continues, two diplomatic sources with knowledge of the situation told Axios. Iran's message, sent to Israel...

pdf.defence.pk

Iran and the axis are stuck between a rock and hard place.

On one hand they cannot do nothing because then the whole Axis of Resistance looks more like “Axis to protect Iran” only. Furthermore, it looks like nothing more of lip service and words of support.

On the other hand for HZ it is a different reality on the ground than 2006. Lebanon is very poor and fractured. Beruit bombing caused immense damage. The Sunni’s and various other groups hate HZ for depriving the country of western aid that was conditional on HZ being kicked out of
Government.

Thus the last thing HZ wants is to enter the war and Lebanon get decimated. That might be the nail in the coffin for its political career and it might lead to calls for disarmament which the west would gladly support and inflame. This would then lead to civil war inside Lebanon if disarmament is done by force.



So it’s a tough situation all around.

 

[TheImmortal]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713295428928639170

 

[Stryker1982]

Iran and the axis are stuck between a rock and hard place.

On one hand they cannot do nothing because then the whole Axis of Resistance looks more like “Axis to protect Iran” only. Furthermore, it looks like nothing more of lip service and words of support.

On the other hand for HZ it is a different reality on the ground than 2006. Lebanon is very poor and fractured. Beruit bombing caused immense damage. The Sunni’s and various other groups hate HZ for depriving the country of western aid that was conditional on HZ being kicked out of
Government.

Thus the last thing HZ wants is to enter the war and Lebanon get decimated. That might be the nail in the coffin for its political career and it might lead to calls for disarmament which the west would gladly support and inflame. This would then lead to civil war inside Lebanon if disarmament is done by force.



So it’s a tough situation all around.

Everyone is in a tough spot because of what Israel has decided to do.

Last thing Europe wants is this.
The USA does not want this.
Iran probably does not want this same with HZ.

But Israel will cross lines, and commit a genocide, then they will move to the west bank next, and then work their way around.

Losing Gaza would be the beginning of the end of the IR. This is a major national security issue, and if having a 2-3 month war with Israel will prevent it, it will be worth looking at.

 

[tsunset]

Everyone is in a tough spot because of what Israel has decided to do.

Last thing Europe wants is this.
The USA does not want this.
Iran probably does not want this same with HZ.

But Israel will cross lines, and commit a genocide, then they will move to the west bank next, and then work their way around.

Losing Gaza would be the beginning of the end of the IR. This is a major national security issue, and if having a 2-3 month war with Israel will prevent it, it will be worth looking at.

How do you see the west bank being in total zionist control either before or after the genocide?

 

[TheImmortal]

How do you see the west bank being in total zionist control either before or after the genocide?

Look up ‘48 Nakba

It’s the same playbook. They will take over north Gaza and establish “buffer zone”. Then annex it.

Israel has always wanted Gaza and West Bank. Gaza is much easier to annex than West Bank (geopolitically because it’s “controlled by terrorists”).

 

[TheImmortal]

But Israel will cross lines, and commit a genocide, then they will move to the west bank next, and then work their way around.

Yes, there was never going to be a Palestinian state. Just slow annexation over next 25 years.

Losing Gaza would be the beginning of the end of the IR. This is a major national security issue, and if having a 2-3 month war with Israel will prevent it, it will be worth looking at.

Not really a security issue as Gaza was never gonna be a major deterrence.

Mostly an image/credibility issue when you back yourself into a corner by predicting the collapse of Israel over and over making the same statements over and over by IRGC/Senior Officials and SL himself. Then in the end they annex Gaza. Not a good look.

It’s almost equivalent of Iran normalizing relations with Israel after decades of claiming it will collapse.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713295428928639170

https://twitter.com/x/status/1713318699459846375

 

[TheImmortal]

The reality is we have Palestinians in Syria, Egypt, Jordan, and Lebanon. Their response has been muted to say the least.

Then there is the Arabs, outside of some carefully political crafted statements are just filler. Saudi Arabia and Iraq could have easily said they would stop selling oil to western countries if Israel invades Gaza Strip until they stop. Qatar could have said they would stop supply of natural gas to Europe for not stopping Israeli aggression.

They have done nothing. They took more actions against Assad then they ever did against Israel.

One wonders what would have happened if Saddam was still alive. He was the only in Arab world who had balls to attack Israel since 1973. The current Arab leaders are pacifist and more worried about Iran’s expansion than some Arabs getting genocide. I mean Saudi Arabia killed tens of thousands of people in Yemen with a blink of an eye.

This thinking that Arabs care about Arabs is not rooted in reality at the leadership level. Arabs are tribal and never been a unified force. Never will be. It’s like saying Africa being a unified force, never gonna happen. Tribal countries rarely reunite with other countries. Arab nationalism is also dead. Last time it existed was in Egypt in the 60’s - 70’s