Qatar apparently has said they did not freeze the funds.
It's gonna be a tough war for Gaza, personally I think they can hold the urban areas, but they will lose via starvation and low inventories.
They would need some sort of CAS through long range fires to aid them.
Depends on how vast that tunnel network is. Presumably assuming 30-40K miltants make a last stand then it will be bloody.
But remember Mosul. That was against 10-15K ISIS fighters which were about the same level of skill as Hamas.
Iraq + Allies took it back. So there is not much of a victory if no one steps in to help Hamas.
If this is true then HZ has to enter the war soon. But I don’t remember Nasrallah or any official red line being invasion of Gaza.
My only observation is this: This is likely the “best” opportunity the Axis of Resistance will be to fight Israel and get a Palestinian state. I don’t see a future where there will be a better chance. Because if Israel is succesful they will:
A) Occupy Gaza for next 10 years (minimum)
B) Eventually annex Gaza
So by staying out of this war Iran and the Axis will likely lose Hamas or the Hamas we know today. Whatever is left will be a severely weakened Hamas with most of its military leadership killed. So it would take years to rebuild a new Hamas and likely in West Bank or Syria since Gaza will be occupied.
srael has already bombed the Iraqi/Syria bases and Damascus airport to prevent Iran from sneaking in weapons for Syria (air defense systems) or Lebanon (more BMs).
I will leave it up to Iran war planners to decide the strategic approach here. The Israel that comes out of this will be emboldened thinking they were able to conquer Gaza while keeping Lebanon, Syria, and Iran at bay. They will view the axis as too pragmatic and worried about their own survival that they won’t risk major conflict with Israel. This is in turn will lead to more Israeli shadow attacks on Iran and HZ via sabotage, assassination , and bombings in Syria.
Remember the US and Israel are waiting for the passing of SL. He is 84 years old. Fidel Castro lived to 90. I would say that’s basically an optimistic scenario.
The passing of the SL will be the single biggest death of a world leader on the geopolitical stage since the death of Stalin. Iran will be at its weakest due to a major power vacuum created during this transition as all the factions fight to put their candidate or philosophy into place.
The wrong leader to succeed (Khurshchev) can destroy a country.