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Iranian Chill Thread

I'm very sorry to hear that. Last year one of my uncles died to Covid. He was almost 60 and a heavy smoker. In Tehran the pollution and heat are overwhelming by themselves and unfortunately right now because of the Indian (delta) variant there is a 5th wave.

In the US some people refuse to get vaccinated and the government has to pay them $100 to do it. Meanwhile in countries like Iran people are desperate to get vaccinated and some people can't wait. In Poland they can't even convince 50% of the people to get vaccinated. The world is such a strange place.
My grandmothers sister who was nearly 60, passed away from COVID in Tehran last night.

Iran is very behind compared to countries like the US where at least half the population has been vaccinated in some form.

Add in the poor not consistent healthcare system and terrible population of major city centers like Tehran and you have a population very vulnerable to COVID.

My condolences to you for these losses. May their souls rest in peace, inshAllah.
 
جالبه همیشه پس از اتفاقات در خلیج فارس پنج شش تا لنج که از امارات اومدن میسوزن

 
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Does he mean "importance" or "attention"? 8-)
 
جالبه همیشه پس از اتفاقات در خلیج فارس پنج شش تا لنج که از امارات اومدن میسوزن



What is Happend There?
 
I wonder how Iran looks at the situation in Afghanistan

They don't like Taliban but current Afghan gov isn't too friendly with Iran I believe

Will Iran play an active role in Afghanistan or watch from afar

If they plan to watch from afar what are thier plans for the refugees or terrorists
With the current economic situation in Iran, the government of Iran is extremely reluctant to get directly involved. Iran is already supporting various proxies in the region, not to mention the threat from Israel.

Basically Iran is trying to secure its borders while sitting back and watching. Currently the Taliban and government forces are in a life and death struggle.

Afghanistan is a death trap for any nation that gets involved. Once the smoke settles then we'll see what happens.

Personally I believe that the Afghan government will not be able to sustain itself without help from a larger, more powerful nation. Maybe they can turn to India for help ? I don't know.



Iran wins another gold at the Olympics, now at 2 gold, 1 silver, 1 bronze.

I'd have to agree with Sha ah here. Iran's main interest in Afghanistan is simply ensuring instability does not spill over to it's borders, if Iran feels comfortable with the Taliban, then it would not be much of an issue, but if the Taliban wishes to harbor anti-Iran elements inside the country, we could see change in attitude.

Suffice to say, the concern that the US might strike Iran from it's eastern airports is gone, which was the main issue with the current Afghan Gov.

Their are refugees showing up to Iran, I think they'll just take them in, but Imao the economic situation in Iran is pretty dire, so I can't help but Imagine these folks will be going to Turkey. Notice how Turkey is building a large border concrete wall with Iran. They are smart, they know where those Afghan refugees will be going -> Europe/Turkey.
 
There is a possibility a unintentional war is coming. Those that understand the universe (not to be confused with religion) and chaos entropy theory will understand that a period of entropy is on the horizon.

Rumblings are happening. Iran is calling up it’s forces.
We do not seem to have a choice in the matter either.

Inflation is continuing to rise, their is pressure to relieve sanctions in order to access foreign funds. The government keeps printing money because it is broke...

We either sign a deal to receive access to the funds, or we prepare for war, because the only other option is to start enriching at 90% in order to force the west to drop their demands. (They even have provisions to limit drone and missile technology...Have you ever seen a country demand another country to not develop drones? unreal).

This is the situation we are in. enriching to 90% is actually the most rational of options. The government will not survive like this for another 4 years or less imho. Raisi coming in, just perfect timing.

It's inevitable, because as Alavi said "if you push a cat into a corner, he may behave in such ways that it would not have, if it had not been cornered".
 
My grandmothers sister who was nearly 60, passed away from COVID in Tehran last night.

Iran is very behind compared to countries like the US where at least half the population has been vaccinated in some form.

Add in the poor not consistent healthcare system and terrible population of major city centers like Tehran and you have a population very vulnerable to COVID.

Sorry brother to hear about this. I shall pray for her and all my brothers and sisters in Iran. Stay strong.
 
Eventually we will reach a point where we have to engage militarily with the Israelis, I can't see any scenario where this will not happen.

One can argue it is the only way we can get a good deal

There is no need for Iran herself to engage Israel to not draw others in but the key here is to let Hezbollah engage them.. Conventionally it has issues dealing with highly motivated none-state actors like Hezbollah or Hamas. The Iron dome has proven to not be sound. In a direct conventional war it can't overrun none-state actors if it became gritty and to the last man type of scenario. They don't have ground forces equipment advantage in the larger region but they do have advantage over the two none state actors bordering her but not enough to the scale where they can overrun them because they have tunnel networks, plus anti-tank weapons plus heavy and light weapons including the capabilities to strike all of Israel's assets and cities having such a clash with these none-state actors could ruin Israel's infrastructure forget about fighting a state actor but they won't be able to collapse Israel as an state.

Lebanon's economy is on the decline anyways I think it could be high time to have another short Israel-Hezbollah conflict this time around. Hezbollah should let it go completely 5000 missiles by hour because Israel will in return target the infrastratuture tit for tat is the way to go.. This will weakend Israel since the infrastructure will take significiant damage.. Just sit tight and watch as for engaging Hezbollah conventionally they won't do this because they know this is what Hezbollah wants to lock them into South Lebanon and force a conventional engagement. The regular Israeli Soldiers resolve is not that high which is why they are terrified of engaging a Hamas or PIJ who they know are batshit crazy and not intimidated by death whatsoever. facing an opponent whos not intimidated by death is scarier than death itself. The random joe Israeli soldier doesn't wanna die.. It is key to know your opponent first and in my opinion the revolution guard haven't really figured this out yet. The key element is to let another Israel-Hezbollah war perhaps not now but in 1-2 years from now occur.. Doing it once a decade to just see where they are in weaponry systems.. It is like simulation tests. Subhanallah Allah said the truth about this people and it stands unchanged to this day and his words upon them have always been activated amongst them ''He says they won't fight you except from behind walls throwing stones from a far and if they fight you they won't fight you but except little'' If a motivated opponent was to make a quick incursion all tho not none-state actors but state actors it could be over immediately as the Israelis will fight but little and most of them will be busy on how to get outta of there immediately and majority will leave before an incursion is imminent.. Have you seen the state of the Israeli civilians these people are not made for war most of them are just families and soft people and very greedy and selfish each family will seek to get there people out to safety this will be there instinct reaction they can't bear tough situation the jewish greediness is legendary will always manifest itself plus they don't have the manpower for conventional clashes nor the stragetic depth in taking many hits this could technically be over very very quickly.. As Sun Tzu said every battle is won before it even starts..
 
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Eventually we will reach a point where we have to engage militarily with the Israelis, I can't see any scenario where this will not happen.

One can argue it is the only way we can get a good deal
I don't think so. Open war with Iran means flattening of Israeli cities. It means severe disruption to Israeli life. We all witnessed what those homemade Palestinian rockets did to Israeli infrastructure and daily life. Now imagine Iranian Ballistic Missile warheads slamming into occupied territories at a speed of Mach 4-5. The terror and shock it will cause is just too great to comprehend. And i am only talking about BM's being launched directly from Iranian territory towards occupied Palestine let alone daily Hezbollahi, Qods force assault on Israel. Israelis know fully well the cost of open warfare hence their preference for the never-ending shadow war.

It is not only Israel that is afraid of the cost but also other powers such as the US and the UK. You can see their helplessness in the recent attack on the Israeli ship.. apart from issuing statements, imposing sanctions etc. they never dare to openly confront Iran. Their ''revenge'' will be through the shadow war as usual.

IMO, Islamic Republic under Khamenei will not back down. So the shadow war will continue until the Supreme leader dies. We still do not know who his replacement is and even known he will never have the same courage and determination as the current supreme leader in confronting Israel.
 
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