SalarHaqq
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The regular Israeli Soldiers resolve is not that high which is why they are terrified of engaging a Hamas or PIJ who they know are batshit crazy and not intimidated by death whatsoever. facing an opponent whos not intimidated by death is scarier than death itself. The random joe Israeli soldier doesn't wanna die.. It is key to know your opponent first and in my opinion the revolution guard haven't really figured this out yet.
Just a little detail: this particular point - materialist attachment to this worldly life in economically developed western and zionist society versus total selflessness of Islamic fighters dedicated to their cause, is something the IRGC knows better than anyone else.
Shahādat-talabi or longing for martyrdom forms the very core of the military doctrine of the Islamic Republic of Iran's armed forces, and particularly of the IRGC. Their entire ideological training revolves around this concept. Also Iran cherishes and commemorates her martyrs like no other nation in the world.
Examine a map of any Iranian city and notice how many streets, avenues, highways and other facilities are named after martyrs. Watch Iranian TV and see what prominent role programs focusing on martyrs fulfill.
Iranian scholars involved in the training of IRGC members, such as Dr. Hassan Abbasi, are conducting serious sociological research on Iran's martyrs, among other things in order to determine what distinguishes the martyr from other folk. Which in turn is of help in cultivating the spirit of shahādat among contemporary Iranians exposed to modern life. Dr. Abbasi and others like him have given countless speeches and conferences about the biographies of individual martyrs or to the Islamic principle of martyrdom in general.
Iran's enemies, namely NATO regimes, know this full well (but will not often admit to it) and it is one of the main factors deterring them from launching military aggression against Iran. And this is also the reason why the liberal fifth column inside Iran, which is working in the interests of the country's existential enemies, has been attempting to water down the centrality of martyrdom culture in the country - as an example, certain reformist or moderate elements at the Tehran Municipality proceeded to remove the word "martyr" from some streets named after Iranian shahids...
In fact, in recent times it was (pro-)Iranian forces who pretty much pioneered this approach at the regional level. Prior to the rise of an Islamic-oriented Resistance in Palestine, Iranian and allied Lebanese fighters displayed this mindset right from the early 1980's onwards.
So Iran and the IRGC are perfectly aware of this topic, and have integrated it in their calculations and strategies.
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IMO, Islamic Republic under Khamenei will not back down. So the shadow war will continue until the Supreme leader dies. We still do not know who his replacement is and even known he will never have the same courage and determination as the current supreme leader in confronting Israel.
To me, the candidate with the best chance of assuming Supreme Leadership after Imam Khamenei (hA) is increasingly identified, and it is none other than Seyyed Ebrahim Raisi, of course. Various analysts in- and outside the country, including for example ostad Raefipour, have either explicitly expressed this view or at least hinted to it.
Should this take place, then we can rest assured that under the upcoming Leader, Iran isn't going to back down in the face of her enemies anymore than now. Seyyed Raisi is an authentic revolutionary loyal to the principles of 1979, pretty much the ideal sort of person to pursue the legacy of Imam Khomeini (rAa) and Imam Khamenei (hA) and faithfully follow in their footsteps.
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That's when things get complicated. We'd need atleast 10,000 ballistic missiles to fight them both.
I would say Iran most probably has many more than 10.000 ballistic missiles in her arsenal.
It wouldn't be a surprise nor a stretch by any means if Iran possessed 20.000, 50.000 or even 80.000 operational ballistic missiles.
Why? Because after all, these are being produced since around 1987, that is nearly 34 years now... And ever since, Iran's official yearly defence budget has revolved at around 10 to 15 billion USD. I don't know what percentage of this has gone to procurement of new weaponry, but in EU countries, the figure in 2019 stood at some 23%, while it reached no less than 29% in the USA. India allocated nearly 28% of its 2020 defence budget to new procurements.
So even if we suppose Iran channeled only 10% of its military spending toward producing or purchasing additional arms, that's more than a billion USD on average per year since 1987. We know how little Iran bought from foreign suppliers since the Revolution. And we know that the bulk of Iran's defence investments have first and foremost gone into ballistic missiles, followed by air defence and UAV's (both R&D, setting up of mass-production facilities, bases, and manufacturing of missiles).
At a price tag not exceeding some 200.000 USD - but let's take a more conservative estimate and assume it's closer to 300.000 USD apiece, even a mere 300 million USD spent each year on these weapons, would have given Iran one thousand missiles per year. Multiply this by 34 and you're beginning to get the picture (we arrive at a total of 34.000 ballistic missiles already!)...
Notice that this is without counting in other sources of revenue that the IRGC might have partly employed to fund missile production, such as possible profits stemming from its economic activities.
So once again, we must logically conclude that Iran's BM arsenal is so massive that there are strictly no worries to have as to Iran's overwhelming deterrence power against a major attack, including against an impressive force such as the US plus its entire host of both western and regional allies.
The "estimates" of Iranian BM numbers announced by US authorities in public represent nothing more than propaganda and psy-ops, aimed not only at Iranian audiences but also and mostly at their own, including their armed forces personnel, who, should they learn the real extent of Iran's deadly missile arsenal, would see their morale take a serious hit in any contingency scenario in which a large scale war against Iran should actually break out.
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They will do a bombing campaign like in Libya
In 80s under Reagan, no actual regime change
Iran has enough options for counter attack to deter them from engaging in such an ill-advised adventure. Apart from what user TheImmortal mentioned above, ie Iran's ability to cause global economic crisis via knocking out oil infrastructures in neighboring states and extensively mining the Strait of Hormoz, Iran's massive and precision-guided ballistic missile arsenal puts every US base in the area at Tehran's mercy.
It is furthermore capable of dispensing a traumatizing blow to the tiny zionist entity, devastating once and for all the Isra"el"i myth of military invincibility and resulting in massive emigration of settlers from Occupied Palestine, which would directly jeopardize the zionist project - and we know that to US decision makers (both Republicans and Democrats), the zionist entity comes first and precedes America's own national interests.
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