Logam42
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Newsflash: (Emphasis Mine)
U.S. allies counter China with alternative electricity plan for PNG
REUTERS
November 18, 2018 at 11:45 JST
PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea--The United States and three of its Pacific allies said on Sunday they would work with Papua New Guinea to ensure most of the country had access to electricity by 2030, as Western powers seek to contain China's economic influence in the region.
Leaders of the United States, Japan, Australia and New Zealand met in PNG's capital, Port Moresby, at the Asia Pacific Economic Co-operation (APEC) summit to unveil the plan, which seeks to boost the power grid's reach to 70 percent of the population from 13 percent currently.
PNG is home to 8 million people, four-fifths of whom live outside urban areas and with poor infrastructure. The developing nation has emerged as a flashpoint in Washington's and Beijing's competing strategic efforts to lock-in alliances in the region.
"This initiative will also be open to other partners that support principles and values which help maintain and promote a free, open, prosperous and rules based region," a White House statement said.
The four nations did not specify what kind of power-generation would be used, or the cost of the plan. However, an Australian government spokeswoman told Reuters it would contribute A$25 million ($18.3 million) in the first year of the initiative.
China has poured investment into development projects in the region, including plans to build a large hydropower generation plant in PNG under President Xi Jinping's flagship Belt and Road initiative.
Belt and Road was first proposed in 2013 to expand land and sea links between Asia, Africa and Europe, with billions of dollars in infrastructure investment from Beijing.
On Saturday, U.S. Vice President Mike Pence took direct aim at Belt and Road at an APEC address, saying countries should not accept debt that compromised their sovereignty.
Australia, a staunch U.S. ally, has for decades enjoyed largely unrivalled influence among Pacific island nations. China has only recently turned its attention to the region with a raft of bilateral financing agreements to often distressed economies.
______________________________
Why is this important?
Because this in many ways goes against Indonesian interests.
Apart from military dominance, a key aspect of Indonesian legitimacy over papua is that the Indonesian state can deliver better economic & social development to Papuans than Papua could through its own means. Even though Papua & West Papua are consistently the least advanced and developed provinces in Indonesia, what it has going for it is:
For example:
Average Homicide rate in Indonesia: 1.2/100,000 deaths <--- Australian NGO number
Average in Papua: 5.0/100,000 (Including security & separatist action)<--Australian NGO number
Average in PNG: 10.4/100,000 <--- World Bank Data
And so the list goes on with development statistics universally showing
Indonesian Average>Papua Average>PNG Average
And reversed for negative statistics such as maternity death rate or school drop-out rates.
The same goes for electricity.
Currently the average electrification rate in Indonesia is 97.5%
In Papua it is 53.62% (Prov. Papua 44.85% & Prov Papua Barat 86.28%)
With a rural (Village) population electrification rate of 30.39%
At this time, the electrification rate in Papua New Guinea is 13%, with only 7.6% of the rural population having access to it.
Had this state of affairs continued (supported along with the horribly bad mismanagement of PNG by their government), then I was expecting that in 10 years, by 2030, the differences between Papua and PNG would be too much to ignore, and secessionist movements would have died down through a mix of economic prosperity, nationalist education, and limited cultural assimilation.
If, however, due to Chinese moves Australia actually starts caring about PNG (and not just sucking out its minerals in deals that makes Freeport look absolutely generous in comparison), this means that PNG might start catching up to Papua. If it ever does...
Of course, I'm not calling for sabotage or anything like it, just cautioning forum-goers here that while Indonesia has seriously been developing Papua for 4 years now, Australia has just entered the race to develop PNG. We have a head-start but we can't lose it. Indonesia must continue to make Papua a priority.
Readings:
http://id.beritasatu.com/energy/pemerintah-serius-tingkatkan-rasio-elektrifikasi-di-papua/179704
https://kumparan.com/@kumparanbisni...-papua-hanya-30-39-persen-1535223590061699460
https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/papua-new-guinea/homicide-rate
(note that data is old, this is due to PNG no longer having ability to gather data. Current situation likely worse due to slashing of Justice & Security budget by 30%)
https://www.adb.org/sites/default/f...rOSBsWzCx5R0sK59tqSDqvsUWFySlVHxBTANTOmRhtvSg
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/323959995_Violent_Death_in_Indonesian_Papua
Example of Previous Australian Parasitism before China entered the equation:
https://www.theguardian.com/comment...nmobils-project-in-png-is-economic-parasitism
Quotes:
"Since it started up, household incomes have fallen, employment has fallen, government expenditure has fallen, and imports have fallen."
"ExxonMobil paid about “one-thousandth of its expected share of LNG sales from the project” in 2016. The company’s aggressive use of tax havens and clever drafting of the deal between theparasite company and the host government are all it takes for the revenues to vanish into a thicket of holding companies and a PO box in the Bahamas."---> The PNG LNG project paid 0.1% of the promised taxes to the PNG government.
U.S. allies counter China with alternative electricity plan for PNG
REUTERS
November 18, 2018 at 11:45 JST
PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea--The United States and three of its Pacific allies said on Sunday they would work with Papua New Guinea to ensure most of the country had access to electricity by 2030, as Western powers seek to contain China's economic influence in the region.
Leaders of the United States, Japan, Australia and New Zealand met in PNG's capital, Port Moresby, at the Asia Pacific Economic Co-operation (APEC) summit to unveil the plan, which seeks to boost the power grid's reach to 70 percent of the population from 13 percent currently.
PNG is home to 8 million people, four-fifths of whom live outside urban areas and with poor infrastructure. The developing nation has emerged as a flashpoint in Washington's and Beijing's competing strategic efforts to lock-in alliances in the region.
"This initiative will also be open to other partners that support principles and values which help maintain and promote a free, open, prosperous and rules based region," a White House statement said.
The four nations did not specify what kind of power-generation would be used, or the cost of the plan. However, an Australian government spokeswoman told Reuters it would contribute A$25 million ($18.3 million) in the first year of the initiative.
China has poured investment into development projects in the region, including plans to build a large hydropower generation plant in PNG under President Xi Jinping's flagship Belt and Road initiative.
Belt and Road was first proposed in 2013 to expand land and sea links between Asia, Africa and Europe, with billions of dollars in infrastructure investment from Beijing.
On Saturday, U.S. Vice President Mike Pence took direct aim at Belt and Road at an APEC address, saying countries should not accept debt that compromised their sovereignty.
Australia, a staunch U.S. ally, has for decades enjoyed largely unrivalled influence among Pacific island nations. China has only recently turned its attention to the region with a raft of bilateral financing agreements to often distressed economies.
______________________________
Why is this important?
Because this in many ways goes against Indonesian interests.
Apart from military dominance, a key aspect of Indonesian legitimacy over papua is that the Indonesian state can deliver better economic & social development to Papuans than Papua could through its own means. Even though Papua & West Papua are consistently the least advanced and developed provinces in Indonesia, what it has going for it is:
- They are among the most rapidly developing provinces, meaning that they are catching up
- The current administration is popular there and is more trusted than previous administrations
- Local elites have bought into the system, so while there is still unrest those who have the influence and power to cause mass revolt are on Indonesia's side
- A softer, less suppressive and brutal approach
- Lastly, despite how bad it still is, it is still faring much, much better than Papua New Guinea.
For example:
Average Homicide rate in Indonesia: 1.2/100,000 deaths <--- Australian NGO number
Average in Papua: 5.0/100,000 (Including security & separatist action)<--Australian NGO number
Average in PNG: 10.4/100,000 <--- World Bank Data
And so the list goes on with development statistics universally showing
Indonesian Average>Papua Average>PNG Average
And reversed for negative statistics such as maternity death rate or school drop-out rates.
The same goes for electricity.
Currently the average electrification rate in Indonesia is 97.5%
In Papua it is 53.62% (Prov. Papua 44.85% & Prov Papua Barat 86.28%)
With a rural (Village) population electrification rate of 30.39%
At this time, the electrification rate in Papua New Guinea is 13%, with only 7.6% of the rural population having access to it.
Had this state of affairs continued (supported along with the horribly bad mismanagement of PNG by their government), then I was expecting that in 10 years, by 2030, the differences between Papua and PNG would be too much to ignore, and secessionist movements would have died down through a mix of economic prosperity, nationalist education, and limited cultural assimilation.
If, however, due to Chinese moves Australia actually starts caring about PNG (and not just sucking out its minerals in deals that makes Freeport look absolutely generous in comparison), this means that PNG might start catching up to Papua. If it ever does...
Of course, I'm not calling for sabotage or anything like it, just cautioning forum-goers here that while Indonesia has seriously been developing Papua for 4 years now, Australia has just entered the race to develop PNG. We have a head-start but we can't lose it. Indonesia must continue to make Papua a priority.
Readings:
http://id.beritasatu.com/energy/pemerintah-serius-tingkatkan-rasio-elektrifikasi-di-papua/179704
https://kumparan.com/@kumparanbisni...-papua-hanya-30-39-persen-1535223590061699460
https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/papua-new-guinea/homicide-rate
(note that data is old, this is due to PNG no longer having ability to gather data. Current situation likely worse due to slashing of Justice & Security budget by 30%)
https://www.adb.org/sites/default/f...rOSBsWzCx5R0sK59tqSDqvsUWFySlVHxBTANTOmRhtvSg
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/323959995_Violent_Death_in_Indonesian_Papua
Example of Previous Australian Parasitism before China entered the equation:
https://www.theguardian.com/comment...nmobils-project-in-png-is-economic-parasitism
Quotes:
"Since it started up, household incomes have fallen, employment has fallen, government expenditure has fallen, and imports have fallen."
"ExxonMobil paid about “one-thousandth of its expected share of LNG sales from the project” in 2016. The company’s aggressive use of tax havens and clever drafting of the deal between the