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India's Crony Capitalism: Modi's Pal Adani's Wealth Grows at the Expense of Ordinary Bangladeshis and Indians

#Adani’s Rise Was Intertwined With #India’s. Now It’s Unraveling. Adani has responded by invoking nationalism, calling #HindenburgReport “a calculated attack on India” #Hindenburg retorted "fraud can't be obfuscated by nationalism" #Modi #scam #fraud https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/04/business/adani-modi-india.html

The tycoon often said the Adani Group’s goals were in lock step with India’s needs. Now, the company’s fortunes are crashing, a collapse whose pain will be felt across the country.

Gautam Adani began the year as one of the richest men who ever lived, an upstart billionaire whose conglomerate, one of India’s largest, had surged in value by 2,500 percent in five years.

That rise, as he portrayed it, wasn’t his alone: It was inseparable from the “growth story” of India itself. His companies’ goals were in lock step with the country’s needs, he often said. Relying on his longstanding partnership with India’s powerful leader, Narendra Modi, he brought his private companies — spanning power, ports, food and more — into alignment with one politician more closely than any business titan before him.

Now, in spectacular fashion, the fortunes of his Adani Group are crashing down even faster than they had shot up — a collapse whose pain will be felt across the country, rippling through its economic and political spheres.

More than $110 billion in market value — roughly half of the Adani Group’s worth — has vanished in just over a week, like air from a burst balloon. The pinprick was a report by a small New York investment firm, Hindenburg Research, whose description of “brazen accounting fraud” and stock manipulation sent investors fleeing, just as the Adani Group was beginning a sale of new shares to investors, India’s biggest-ever secondary share offering.

Adani wrapped itself in nationalism as a defense, calling the report “a calculated attack on India” and on “the independence, integrity and quality of Indian institutions.” Hindenburg retorted that Adani was waving the flag to obfuscate shady dealings, like the use of offshore shell companies to exaggerate its stocks’ valuations in order to paper over its excessively debt-fueled ascent.
 
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@RiazHaq

The GHI calculations for India are also based on the source data provided by the Govt of India. You have no difficulty in believing Modi's numbers for hunger, but not for others! Very strange.

Regards

So why is the Modi government questioning GHI India's low ranking on hunger?


The Global Hunger Index report of 2022, published in mid October, shows India’s place to have fallen to 107 from the previous year’s 101, out of 121 countries. Once again, the Government of India has questioned the survey’s methodology and sample size and accused the authors, Concern Worldwide and Welthungerhilfe, of bias. In a statement almost identical to that of last year, the Women and Child Development Ministry alleged that a consistent effort was on to tarnish India’s image.

GHI calculations are based on four indicators: undernourishment in adult and child populations, under-five mortality, stunting (low height for age) and wasting. Undernourishment, measured against adequacy of food access, was used as a lead indicator of international hunger eradication targets, including the Sustainable Development Goal number 2. Child stunting and wasting went beyond adequate calorie availability and were used as indicators for child nutrition. Child mortality reflected the most serious consequence of hunger. Critics of the report argued that there was no concrete evidence to establish the connection between hunger and these four indicators.

For the 2022 report, data from 136 countries were analysed. There were sufficient data from 121 countries to calculate GHI scores and rank them. India was ranked 107 with a GHI score of 29.1, considered as “serious”. In South Asia, India was ahead of only Afghanistan (109).
 
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So why is the Modi government questioning GHI India's low ranking on hunger?


The Global Hunger Index report of 2022, published in mid October, shows India’s place to have fallen to 107 from the previous year’s 101, out of 121 countries. Once again, the Government of India has questioned the survey’s methodology and sample size and accused the authors, Concern Worldwide and Welthungerhilfe, of bias. In a statement almost identical to that of last year, the Women and Child Development Ministry alleged that a consistent effort was on to tarnish India’s image.

GHI calculations are based on four indicators: undernourishment in adult and child populations, under-five mortality, stunting (low height for age) and wasting. Undernourishment, measured against adequacy of food access, was used as a lead indicator of international hunger eradication targets, including the Sustainable Development Goal number 2. Child stunting and wasting went beyond adequate calorie availability and were used as indicators for child nutrition. Child mortality reflected the most serious consequence of hunger. Critics of the report argued that there was no concrete evidence to establish the connection between hunger and these four indicators.

For the 2022 report, data from 136 countries were analysed. There were sufficient data from 121 countries to calculate GHI scores and rank them. India was ranked 107 with a GHI score of 29.1, considered as “serious”. In South Asia, India was ahead of only Afghanistan (109).
 
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@RiazHaq

Brofessor sb,

So why is the Modi government questioning GHI India's low ranking on hunger?

They are questioning the methodology. In this specific case, the govt is wrong.

Regards
 
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#AdaniScam: #Taiwan pips #India to reclaim second spot after #China in #MSCI Emerging Market (EM) Index. Taiwan’s weighting in MSCI EM Index rose to 14.2%, behind leader China’s 31.2%, while India’s fell to the third spot with 13%. #Modi #Adani #Fraud https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...ighting-in-em-index-as-taiwan-gains#xj4y7vzkg

India’s weighting in MSCI’s emerging-market benchmark has dropped after the brutal selloff in Adani Group’s stocks, giving away its second spot to Taiwan after a rally in the latter’s market.
As of the end of January, Taiwan’s weighting in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose to 14.2%, behind leader China’s 31.2%, while India’s fell to the third spot with 13%, according to Bloomberg-compiled data. India captured the second spot from Taiwan in August.
 
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Gautam #Adani’s woes will spur ‘democratic revival in India’, George Soros says. #Modi will ‘have to answer questions’ over #fraud allegations targeting his business ally. #India #BJP #Hindutva #Fascism #Islamophobia


George Soros has predicted India’s prime minister Narendra Modi will be weakened by the woes of business tycoon and close ally Gautam Adani, “opening the door” to a democratic revival in the country.

The 92-year-old billionaire philanthropist said in a speech on Thursday that Modi would “have to answer questions” from foreign investors and parliament on allegations of fraud and stock manipulation at Adani’s industrial empire, noting that Modi had been “silent” on the topic.

Adani Group has come under fierce scrutiny since US short seller Hindenburg accused the company of engaging in “brazen stock manipulation and accounting fraud” over decades.


The power-to-port conglomerate was forced to pull a $2.4bn share sale, after its stock losses mounted to more than $100bn following the report.

Adani Group has denied the claims.

Speaking at the Munich Security Conference, Soros said: “Modi and business tycoon Adani are close allies; their fate is intertwined.

“Adani Enterprises tried to raise funds in the stock market, but he failed. Adani is accused of stock manipulation and his stock collapsed like a house of cards. Modi is silent on the subject, but he will have to answer questions from foreign investors and in parliament.”

Soros, who has become a standard bearer for liberal democracy, warned that Adani’s woes will “significantly weaken Modi’s stranglehold on India’s federal government” and “open the door to push for much needed institutional reforms”.

Soros, who made his fortune as a hedge fund manager, added: “I may be naive, but I expect a democratic revival in India.”


Adani, who was the richest man in Asia until his empire’s shares tumbled, has been a longtime ally of Modi. The tycoon’s wealth has increased since the prime minister came to office in 2014.

In parliament, opposition MPs have seized on Adani’s association with Modi stretching back to the prime minister’s days as chief minister of the western state of Gujarat.

In recent parliamentary sessions, opposition members have disrupted speeches with taunting chants of Modi Adani bhai bhai (“Modi and Adani are brothers”). Some Modi opponents have raised questions over the exposure of taxpayer funds to the conglomerate through the state-owned groups that are lenders or investors.

Modi’s Bharatiya Janata party will face voters in 2024 as the prime minister seeks re-election to a third term.

The crisis engulfing the Indian group is shaping up as a test for the country’s regulators and institutions, including the media. Adani’s business portfolio stretches from ports and airports to power and renewables, and it has foreign projects in about a dozen countries ranging from Israel to Bangladesh.

Soros also said at the conference that “two systems of governance are engaged in a fight for global domination” just as “civilisation is in danger of collapsing because of the inexorable advance of climate change”.

The Hungarian-American businessman, who established the Open Society Foundations to promote democratic governance, said Modi “is no democrat”, noting that “inciting violence against Muslims was an important factor in his meteoric rise”. He added that India “buys a lot of Russian oil at a steep discount and makes a lot of money on it”.

Soros also said Turkey’s president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan “has mismanaged the Turkish economy”, while in China, president Xi Jinping’s “close association with [Russian president] Putin would hurt him”.

He added that “Xi will not remain in office for life, and while he is in office, China will not become the dominant military and political force that Xi is aiming for.”

The Adani group had no immediate comment on Soros’s remarks and a government spokesperson declined to comment.
 
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@RiazHaq

Brofessor sb,

What does Georgie Porgie have to say about the state of democracy in Pakiland? Any opinion about regime change, role of Neutrals, the status of the current illegal Imported govt?

Regards
 
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Worldview with Suhasini Haidar | BBC-Adani | Is Indian diplomacy on the defensive? - By Suhasini Haider


What are the major worries for the MEA/Government?

1. Larger trend of criticism in the year of G20

2. Will dent India’s image, and make diplomacy much more difficult

3. Will hurt India’s economic growth, which is just recovering from Covid, the Ukraine War and global recession

4. Come from a colonial mindset- and could lead to racist attacks on India and diaspora

5. Worry of other international mechanisms being used like the HRC, FATF, Media bodies, Democracy bodies etc. As well as sanctions - as they have been against countries like Turkey, Iran, Bangladesh – or worries about isolation

But the reality doesn’t back up these worries- just take a look at the past week

1. PM calls with Biden and Macron, statement by Sunak after Air India deals

2. NSA Doval to Washington UK Moscow- Many agreements on technology cooperation, strategic issues, Afghanistan

3. Jaishankar to Australia, Fiji

4. Upcoming visit of German Chancellor Scholz- NSA , Climate Change envoy visits

5. G20 Foreign Ministers meeting preparations- March 1-2, followed by Raisina Dialogue

6. SCO FM in May, SCO Summit in June, G20 Summit in September

7. State visit invite, Officials say clearly there will be no sanctions against India

There is, therefore little to indicate that Western countries – atleast officially are at all trying to target India in any way or isolate it. Even so, this does take up much of our diplomats time.

How does Defensive diplomacy work?

1. Public statements- of the kind we have seen in the past few weeks

2. Engaging media in foreign countries- interviews, press conferences, editorials

3. Embassies lobbying with Parliamentarians or hiring lobby firms

3. Visa Bans/ Deportations- India has refused visas for members of the US Commission on International Religious Freedoms on many occasions

4. Punitive actions: Legal action like with the BBC/ Visa cancellations

In addition, the government has restricted a number of foreign- mainly western NGOs from working or funding projects in India in a number of specific fields where it feels targetted
 
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