Jason bourne
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Jul 13, 2011
- Messages
- 2,771
- Reaction score
- 0
This four congrees candidates for my city first one is my best frnds brother . One of them will be elected by congress workers on 9th march .
Indian Political Corner | All Updates & Discussions.
- Thread starter Hyde
- Start date
This four congrees candidates for my city first one is my best frnds brother . One of them will be elected by congress workers on 9th march .
CorporateAffairs
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Sep 27, 2011
- Messages
- 2,742
- Reaction score
- -11
- Country
- Location
drunken-monke
FULL MEMBER
- Joined
- Jan 19, 2011
- Messages
- 1,284
- Reaction score
- -12
- Country
- Location
This might help you
Indian Political Corner / General Elections 2014 | All Updates & Discussions. | Page 657
Post #9848
45'22'
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- May 10, 2012
- Messages
- 5,029
- Reaction score
- -6
- Country
- Location
which party ????
Common guys, give us atleast 5-7seats
GreenFoe
FULL MEMBER
- Joined
- Mar 14, 2013
- Messages
- 1,306
- Reaction score
- -7
BJP-Congress BHAI BHAI ,aur tu kiski lugai?
The Indian ExpressVerified account @IndianExpress
Congress slams Modi for not giving appointment to Arvind Kejriwal http://iexp.in/HwT69689
The Indian ExpressVerified account @IndianExpress Congress slams Modi for not giving appointment to Arvind Kejriwal http://iexp.in/HwT69689
Soumitra
ELITE MEMBER
- Joined
- Jan 11, 2011
- Messages
- 8,415
- Reaction score
- -17
- Country
- Location
2014: Final Countdown
In the home stretch leading up to the 2014 Lok Sabha election beginning April 7, four political forces will come into play. First, the BJP and its expanding orbit of NDA allies. Second, the Congress and its shrinking UPA base. Third, the ragtag Third Front. And fourth, the equally amorphous Fourth Front.
The following analysis factors in several key issues: one, the formation of Telangana; two, the entry of Ram Vilas Paswan’s LJP into the BJP-led NDA; three, the possibility of Raj Thackeray’s MNS not contesting the 2014 Lok Sabha poll; four, the unravelling of the AIADMK-Left alliance; and fifth, likely new alliances between the BJP and small parties in Tamil Nadu (DMDK, PMK, MDMK), Haryana and elsewhere.
So what do the numbers throw up?
Start with likely seats for the BJP. As frontrunner, BJP strategists should break up their seat target into three categories: Focus States, Challenging States andSmall States/UTs.
Here are the projections:
Focus states
Challenging states
Small states/UTs
BJP: overall total: 230
Turn now to the Congress:
Assuming the TRS fights the general election in a seat sharing alliance with the Congress in Andhra Pradesh (Telangana constituencies), these are the likely numbers for the Congress:
How does the Third Front stack up?
Third Front
The likely rupture in the AIADMK’s alliance with the Left parties could sound the death knell of the Third Front, especially with the BJD also turning sceptical.
What about the Fourth Front, comprising parties antagonistic to the Third Front? Their likely numbers:
Fourth Front
So we have our final math:
NDA: BJP (230) + SS (15) + SAD (7) + TDP (12) + LJP (2) + Others/Independents (18) = 284.
UPA: Congress (75) + NCP (5) + NC (1) +TRS (7) + RJD (8) + Others (8) =104.
Third Front: Left Front (25) + SP (10) + JDU (4) + BJD (12) + Others (7) =58.
Fourth Front: TMC (27) + DMK (9) + YSR (12) + BSP (18) + Others (6) =72.
Likely post-poll governing combinations? Here are two:
2014: Final Countdown by Head On : Minhaz Merchant's blog-The Times Of India
In the home stretch leading up to the 2014 Lok Sabha election beginning April 7, four political forces will come into play. First, the BJP and its expanding orbit of NDA allies. Second, the Congress and its shrinking UPA base. Third, the ragtag Third Front. And fourth, the equally amorphous Fourth Front.
The following analysis factors in several key issues: one, the formation of Telangana; two, the entry of Ram Vilas Paswan’s LJP into the BJP-led NDA; three, the possibility of Raj Thackeray’s MNS not contesting the 2014 Lok Sabha poll; four, the unravelling of the AIADMK-Left alliance; and fifth, likely new alliances between the BJP and small parties in Tamil Nadu (DMDK, PMK, MDMK), Haryana and elsewhere.
So what do the numbers throw up?
Start with likely seats for the BJP. As frontrunner, BJP strategists should break up their seat target into three categories: Focus States, Challenging States andSmall States/UTs.
Here are the projections:
Focus states
- Gujarat: 23
- Madhya Pradesh: 25
- Rajasthan: 22
- Maharashtra: 18
- Uttar Pradesh: 48
- Bihar: 24
- Karnataka: 15
- Chhattisgarh: 8
- Jharkhand: 8
- Uttarakhand: 4
Challenging states
- Haryana: 4
- Punjab: 2
- Assam: 5
- West Bengal: 1
- Kerala: 1
- Andhra Pradesh (Telangana): 2
- Andhra Pradesh (Seemandhra): 1
- Odisha: 1
- Tamil Nadu: 2
- Others: 2
Small states/UTs
- Goa: 2
- Daman & Diu: 1
- Nagar Haveli: 1
- Himachal Pradesh: 3
- Jammu & Kashmir: 2
- Delhi: 3
- Andamans: 1
- Others: 1
BJP: overall total: 230
Turn now to the Congress:
Assuming the TRS fights the general election in a seat sharing alliance with the Congress in Andhra Pradesh (Telangana constituencies), these are the likely numbers for the Congress:
- Gujarat : 3
- Madhya Pradesh: 3
- Rajasthan: 1
- Chhattisgarh: 3
- Maharashtra: 9
- Karnataka: 12
- Uttar Pradesh: 4
- Bihar: 1
- Jharkhand: 2
- Uttarakhand: 1
- Haryana: 2
- Punjab: 1
- Assam: 5
- West Bengal: 4
- Kerala: 7
- Andhra Pradesh (Telangana): 4
- Andhra Pradesh (Seemandhra): 1
- Odisha: 4
- Tamil Nadu: 1
- Others: 7
How does the Third Front stack up?
Third Front
- Left (four parties): 25
- SP: 10
- BJD: 12
- JD(U): 4
- Others: 7
The likely rupture in the AIADMK’s alliance with the Left parties could sound the death knell of the Third Front, especially with the BJD also turning sceptical.
What about the Fourth Front, comprising parties antagonistic to the Third Front? Their likely numbers:
Fourth Front
- TMC: 27
- DMK: 9
- YSR: 12
- BSP: 18
- Others: 6
So we have our final math:
NDA: BJP (230) + SS (15) + SAD (7) + TDP (12) + LJP (2) + Others/Independents (18) = 284.
UPA: Congress (75) + NCP (5) + NC (1) +TRS (7) + RJD (8) + Others (8) =104.
Third Front: Left Front (25) + SP (10) + JDU (4) + BJD (12) + Others (7) =58.
Fourth Front: TMC (27) + DMK (9) + YSR (12) + BSP (18) + Others (6) =72.
Likely post-poll governing combinations? Here are two:
- UPA + Third Front: 106+58 =164. Plus outside support from AAP (10)=174. Add mercurial BSP (18) = 192 – well short of a working majority.
- NDA + post-poll allies: 284 + AIADMK (22) = 306.
2014: Final Countdown by Head On : Minhaz Merchant's blog-The Times Of India
JanjaWeed
ELITE MEMBER
- Joined
- Feb 1, 2010
- Messages
- 9,772
- Reaction score
- -2
- Country
- Location
BJP-Congress BHAI BHAI ,aur tu kiski lugai?
Congress slams Modi for not giving appointment to Arvind Kejriwal http://iexp.in/HwT69689
Hmmm... yesterday they hailed Krazywal for exposing Gujarat development... & today this? 'A' team must be proud of it's 'B' team's work!
Marxist
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Nov 5, 2009
- Messages
- 2,894
- Reaction score
- 0
- Country
- Location
Former Union Minister Smt D.Purandeswari joined BJP today ,She is the daughter of Andhra Pradesh's former chief minister and TDP founder N. T. Rama Rao and represents the Visakhapatnam constituency
Not him alone CNN-IBN&CSDS survey is also predicting 41-49 seats for Bjp in UP ,So minhaz merchant figures are not exaggerated
(UP poll tracker: BJP may get 41-49 seats, SP 11-17, BSP 8-14, Cong 5-9
@Soumitra Mate, don't you really thing BJP can win up to 48 seats from UP?If it can; then i'll be one of the happiest person!
Not him alone CNN-IBN&CSDS survey is also predicting 41-49 seats for Bjp in UP ,So minhaz merchant figures are not exaggerated
(UP poll tracker: BJP may get 41-49 seats, SP 11-17, BSP 8-14, Cong 5-9
Last edited:
Jason bourne
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Jul 13, 2011
- Messages
- 2,771
- Reaction score
- 0
@Soumitra Mate, don't you really thing BJP can win up to 48 seats from UP?
No not 48 50+ for sure
and if modi contest from there I wont be surprised if it reaches 55+...No not 48 50+ for sure
Mate, I want BJP to get 272 + seats on its own. However, I have a gut feeling that we are going to get only 20 to 25 seats from UP.
PS: I ain't a political expert, I was Googling # of seats BJP won in previous elections in UP. The trend suggests, BJP don't perform well there...So just Skeptic.
Soumitra
ELITE MEMBER
- Joined
- Jan 11, 2011
- Messages
- 8,415
- Reaction score
- -17
- Country
- Location
These are only recent examples, but I have been observing the same for very very long time...
I repeat, AAP is just another face of the devil named Congress, created only to confuse people...
But I don't expect AAPtards to think and understand about it... because if they could, they could have thought and understood far earlier...
That's what makes them AAPtards...
NaxalAAP #AKasksModi #ItemGirlKejriwal
I repeat, AAP is just another face of the devil named Congress, created only to confuse people...
But I don't expect AAPtards to think and understand about it... because if they could, they could have thought and understood far earlier...
That's what makes them AAPtards...
NaxalAAP #AKasksModi #ItemGirlKejriwal
Similar threads
