Nilgiri
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This article says yogis name was finalized or a top contender even before the elections. I take that with a pinch of salt, if that were so, then why more than a week to name him as CM? His name should have come out within hours especially in a leaky society like ours. There is absolutely no benefit in waiting so long. Goa CM candidate came out within hours, there was dead silence in UP.
You are talking about the same media that were braying (to the end) that there would be a hung verdict because of demonetisation? Their information streams to you the reader are not accurate or neutral at all.
Please remember that before you quote any supposed information chain (and thus any supposed leaks)....esp regarding politics.
His name was always in the hat if you went past the media veneer (which were hoping for some hail mary, no matter how desperate). Anyone could see it through his participation in the rallies....and general presence and recognition within UP across caste/class lines.
There was another article (also in times group) that came out earlier which stated that Modi/shah were arm twisted into choosing Yogi whose name was NOT being considered. And they were FORCED to chose him because of the political ramifications of a disgruntled Yogi running wild in 2019. So who to believe?
Times group....media. Rest is thus suspect. 90% of Media politics is a) what gossip is going around b) how to portray that gossip to make the most short term money....when really that should be the 10%.
So some gossip will end up being right, some will end up being wrong. But if you know how to gauge past the media projection/speculation....then the choice of yogi is not surprising at all (and this is now surfacing in the media as well....in a "we actually meant it this way" kind of fashion). Shameless creatures to the core most of them.
I agree with you that the UP beuroacracy needs to be fixed, so why not chose someone with a minimum of administrative experience?
Already answered that. Large administrative experience is good when you want to reform it. UP literally has nothing to reform. Hence burn and start anew is name of the game here. Thats why those with the administrative experience are better off not being the face, but being delegated to get their hands dirty in a big way behind the scenes (in formation/building afresh)...their time would largely be wasted being a CM (which sets overall high level policy rather than micromanage implementation).
What has yogi actually achieved in his constituency? Not a lot as far as I can see.
An MP can only do so much esp if there is no real cooperation/backing from the state leadership (given politics and aimless corrupt bureaucracy entrenched in UP). Find me one MP in UP that has achieved anything to be used as reference to prove me wrong.
Manoj Sinha meanwhile did have the administrative capability. I'm not sure what you mean by firebrands are better when the ratio is bad. The ratio is not all that great nationally either.
And thus Manoj Sinha (and the others) will be employed in that capability better....by not being CM.
The ratio is far better nationally than UP....even at the start of modi rule in 2014 (given the sum total of India's IAS etc come from all around the country and not just UP). Hence Modi could channel, divert and replace bureaucrats in focus areas from top to bottom essentially...based on merit and performance. There is essentially clay there to work with and shape into a pitcher that can hold water...and Modi didnt need to really slash and burn anything to begin with.
This clay is not even present in UP, its basically a muddy slop. Hence potters (administrators) are better used as 2nd and 3rd in charge etc....with 1st in command being someone that gets the stick out and beats the crap out of those that created this slop (and prevent anything else from taking shape by flooding this cesspool with goons/thugs/criminals) so there is actual physical room for potters to do their work. This is essentially why low order delivery based bureaucracy has been such a nightmare (and stagnant) in UP and Bihar....even compared to Indian average (which is pretty bad overall in global terms but at least improving now).
No, choosing Yogi is sending out a message, a centuries old medieval message.
Just like it was said with Modi pre (and even post) 2014....by the same quarters. Sad to see you have feel for their spiel this time. But I know you are a good enough person to change your perception when you see the facts and evidence materialise over time on the ground. Give it some time and Yogi a chance.