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Varanasi is kesariya today. :cheesy:
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Constituency Report 2: Mumbai South and Mathura
Posted : 9:35 am, April 24, 2014 by admin
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Mumbai South

Milind Deora of Congress is once again pitted against Bala Nandgaonkar of MNS and Arvind Sawnat of Shiv Sena. The division of core Marathi votes should make it easy victory for Milind Deora once again who had won by a whopping 1 lakh plus votes in 2009. We are of course tracking some important swing polling booths of Byculla and Shivadi to see how exactly things are panning out today.



Although Milind Deora of Congress is leading by a small margin till post-noon, most of that lead is coming from Muslim votes, whereas Shiv Sena has got major consolidation of Dalit and Maratha voters. In fact the Dalit consolidation behind Sena and the less than average performance of MNS is a silver lining for the saffron alliance. We are closely watching this seat till evening to see how this eventually shapes up.

Mathura

It must be remembered that Jayant Chaudhary the scion of the Jat’s first family of western UP and the legatee of Chaudhary Charan Singh, had won the 2009 election with the support of the BJP. There is no doubt that he had taken humungous leads in assembly segments like Baldev and Mant of close to 50k each in 2009, but to what extent was that also a BJP vote is something that will decide today’s contest.

Uttar Pradesh’s fascination with Filmstars is almost legendary, so much so that even a starlet like Jaya Prada who was long past her sell by date had managed to win from Rampur for two successive terms and that too for the second time despite the opposition of local SP top honcho, Azam Khan. Thus there is a definite buzz of support to Dream Girl Hema Malini here in Mathura which is well and beyond the Modi wave and the BJP’s core voters. Hema’s Jat connection due to marriage Dharam Pa ji is also helping her here in the Jat heartland.

In the end analysis, we believe the vote of Mathura will be decided by how the town of Mathura votes so we are tracking Mathura extensively including the moffusil areas and surrounding villages to check the voter mood of 2014.



Hema Malini seems to have put Jayant Chaudhary on the mat by getting a huge OBC consolidation of over 60% and upper Caste consolidation of nearly 70%. The Jats also seem to have voted in large numbers for the BJP. The only problem area for the Dream Girl is the Dalit consolidation is strongly behind Maya which may split up the anti-RLD votes to some extent. By post noon we are projecting that it would be very difficult for Jayant to come back now in Mathura.
 
Is Simanchal a pro Lalu COngress/third front region.

Nice to see Crook Nitish loosing amongs muslims also.

Very Bad to see Shiv sena trailing in Mumbai South. Why? I thought that there is a NAMO wave in Mumbai.

@GreenFoe and others.
 
Is Simanchal a pro Lalu COngress/third front region.

Nice to see Crook Nitish loosing amongs muslims also.

Very Bad to see Shiv sena trailing in Mumbai South. Why? I thought that there is a NAMO wave in Mumbai.

@GreenFoe and others.
Because of presence of MNS which is splitting the votes of marathi manus:hitwall:
 
Big Gujarati population keeps NDA hope alive in Mumbai

Because of presence of MNS which is splitting the votes of marathi manus:hitwall:

BJP didn't do anything to stop MNS from using Modi's name and image during their campaign as well ShivSena didn't tried to portray that voting for MNS indirectly helps UPA
 
BJP didn't do anything to stop MNS from using Modi's name and image during their campaign as well ShivSena didn't tried to portray that voting for MNS indirectly helps UPA

There is only so much that the BJP could do . MNS candidates and workers were going aroung telling people that they support Modi , BJP could'nt have possibly gagged them. The split in votes was inevitable.

Raj got what he wanted , prevented Shiv sena candidates from winning in Mumbai.
I am going to blame this all on Uddhav Thackrey. Nitin Gadkari was about to get a deal from Raj where there where MNS was'nt going to contest these elections. Instead of keeping shut Uddhav's ego got the better of him and he threw a tantrum , the result of which we can all see today.:mad:
 
Big Gujarati population keeps NDA hope alive in Mumbai



BJP didn't do anything to stop MNS from using Modi's name and image during their campaign as well ShivSena didn't tried to portray that voting for MNS indirectly helps UPA

This idiot shiv sena guys have big egos. Had Raj been there with SS and BJP, They would have swept Maharashtra. Idiot Udhdhav is not ready to any compromise. now he is loosing.(In some seats which otherwise would have been into the SS' basket)
 
What's the voter turnout of Mumbai till now. Anything less than 50% will be a game over for NDA.
 
Well the sitting MP Priya Dutt is a big shot here as there are large pockets of slums/ minorities in Kurla/ Bandra East and Parle area. But also, with the absence of MNS, Poonam Mahajan has a good chance to topple Dutt. Also, VilePatrle/ Santacruz belt has a huge Gujarati / Marathi (SS supporters) population who are voting en-masse to BJP.

You forgot to add how that bastard sunil dutt cultivated those slums / pockets just for votes and destroyed the western suburbs... now his daughter is reaping the rewards.
 
Now when Modi comes to power, he should work for splitting the votes of Muslims and take one group with BJP. It will be all over for Pseudo secular parties. BJP should train some people to take a lead in strategy making and organizing elections like Amit shah did.

Well the sitting MP Priya Dutt is a big shot here as there are large pockets of slums/ minorities in Kurla/ Bandra East and Parle area. But also, with the absence of MNS, Poonam Mahajan has a good chance to topple Dutt. Also, VilePatrle/ Santacruz belt has a huge Gujarati / Marathi (SS supporters) population who are voting en-masse to BJP.


DO not talk like a politician. Sidhe sidhe Batao kaun Jit raha hai?
 
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