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India In China’S New Assertiveness – Analysis

HongWu

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India In China’S New Assertiveness – Analysis
February 23, 2012

By Bhaskar Roy

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There is a political tussle within China on projecting its power and profile. Many actors feel that the time has come to gradually discard late paramount leader Deng Xiaoping’s 1991-92 strategy of maintaining a low profile while building strength. Concurrently, there is the old Chinese military strategy of striking at the weakest link in an adversarial chain while buying peace and stable relations with the strongest of them.

The above strategy is clearly reflected in China confronting weak neighbours on the one hand, and building relations with the US on the other. During his recent visit to the US, Vice President Xi Jinping was rather circumspect in countering sharp talks from President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden. Xi is slated to take over the Party leadership in October this year and as President in March next year. Obama is likely to win the US presidential elections at the end of the year. Xi would not like to start his leadership of China for ten years on the wrong footing with the US.

Another development needs consideration. While the Communist Party remains in full control of internal and foreign policies, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has made serious inroads into foreign policy. The PLA has at least four important foreign policy think tanks which the party and the government cannot ignore. Retrieval of territories claimed by China is a major responsibility of the PLA.

Currently, India sits in the centre of this Chinese strategic planning. Beijing has cautioned and warned India on several issues and views India’s “Look East” policy as trying to encroach on China’s sphere of influence and create, as they say, ‘trouble’ for China. It was therefore not surprising, that pressure on India would be intensified by Beijing.

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The first point listed was the China-India border issue, and India was made the main culprit. It blamed some Indians who still insist that border dispute should be based on the Mc Mahon Line left by British colonialists; the dispute only concerns the 90 thousand sq kms in the eastern sector, and not the 30 thousand sq kms in the western sector, claiming that this territory historically belonged to China.

Further, India’s multi-party system was blamed for their different views on the boundary issue, emphasising the superiority of the Chinese system. It was also conveyed that India cannot expect any territorial concessions from China, something China did while resolving border disputes with other countries. India was also charged with not accepting the China proposed principle of “mutual understanding and mutual accommodation” on resolving the border issue.

The commentary, which appears to be an official statement but keeps the window of deniability open, appears to be turning the parameters of the talks on its head. The western sector was always on the discussion table. China has no hard historical evidence to suggest the 30 thousand sq kms, known as Aksai Chin belonged to China. In the eastern sector (90 thousand sq kms) there is a Chinese claim no doubt, but simply claiming territory does not make it theirs.

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Interestingly, the People’s Daily added the Tibet issue, insinuating India’s stated position on it differed from actions on the ground. It was alleged that New Delhi’s ambiguous position towards the Dalai Lama and the Tibetans encourage them to provoke Tibetan disturbances inside China. The rest of the article was banal including trying to deny Sino-Pak cooperation to curb India, an issue on which evidence abounds in tons!

A litany of charges against India have been laid by China’s official media. It may be too early to say if it is a threat to be acted upon soon, but the line is certainly hard and the perception is that India may have to be taught a lesson again.

At the same time, a military punitive action is not expected. If China does so, it would prove to be the world’s largest liar, hiding evil intentions behind masks of “harmony” and “peace”. But these are non-combative ways. This can be expected. China’s assertiveness is clearly reflected in their policy towards India.
 
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Well given a choice between China and India... it would be a tough decision for the US
 
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Surely it may have to...but who has the capability and will to do so? Certainly not the presen US or Russia :D
 
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Surely it may have to...but who has the capability and will to do so? Certainly not the presen US or Russia :D
China will not fight another indecisive mountain border conflict. Instead, we will deploy our heavy armor directly to the subcontinent plains via railway links between China and Pakistan. The next lesson will be taught in New Delhi, not Southern Tibet like in 1962.
 
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Now thats a new to me.. Few days back it was in the China's News Paper that China wants India togather with herself against US. This is cerainly a sarcasm... Don't know whether the views of the Author of this Article Mr. Bhaskar Roy are completely baseless, or what surfaced in China daily was a delusion... One thing for sure, India should not join in any camp agaist US or China.. Nor it should be offguard like that of in 1962. One major walk towards this is, stationing of MKIs at Tezpur airbase and deploying brahmos in northeast... India would definately try to improve relations with china to prosper economically, but won't stand offguard against china..

regards
 
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China will not fight another indecisive mountain border conflict. Instead, we will deploy our heavy armor directly to the subcontinent plains via railway links between China and Pakistan. The next lesson will be taught in New Delhi, not Southern Tibet like in 1962.

Isn't the result of a war decided by outcome. No matter what led to 1962 war, even with Chinese aggression, they retreated... What's the lesson in that??!!

And you contradict yourself there... "indecisive" and "lesson taught".... Come on HongWu you can do better than that "my majesty"
 
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China will not fight another indecisive mountain border conflict. Instead, we will deploy our heavy armor directly to the subcontinent plains via railway links between China and Pakistan. The next lesson will be taught in New Delhi, not Southern Tibet like in 1962.

Dear Hong WU,

Yes next lession will be taught in New Delhi, not unlike 1962.... Though the quote remain unchange,the only difference in your and mine perception about the quote is that you think lession will be bloody, and I think it will be very very peacefull.
 
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China will not fight another indecisive mountain border conflict. Instead, we will deploy our heavy armor directly to the subcontinent plains via railway links between China and Pakistan. The next lesson will be taught in New Delhi, not Southern Tibet like in 1962.

DUMBO AGAIN.....THE REGION BETWEEN PAKISTAN AND INDIA IS ALSO MADE UP OF MOUNTAINS.....HOW IS THE CHINA PAKISTAN RAILWAY GONNA HELP WITH THAT?

IF YOU WANT TO COME THROUGH THE PLAINS...THEN ITS PROBABLY THROUGH THE DESERT IN RAJASTHAN...WHERE WE ARE TOO POWERFUL... INFACT THE PAKISTAN SIDE HAS MORE TROOP PRESENCE THAN THE CHINESE SIDE....SO STOP BEHAVING LIKE A TIN CAN WITH A STONE IN IT.......
 
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China will not fight another indecisive mountain border conflict. Instead, we will deploy our heavy armor directly to the subcontinent plains via railway links between China and Pakistan. The next lesson will be taught in New Delhi, not Southern Tibet like in 1962.
dont forget the us forces near you and japan and north korea
 
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I say bring it on... Lets finish this once and for all.. China would not become a super power then. Sanctions are going to fall on china. As you know china's economy is on exports. No exports= job loss= economy collapse=communism collapse
 
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^^^ why do Indian members go into immediate 3 year old mode when someone says something they don't like?
There is a proper way to reply to these kind of threads, and then there is the Indian members way, the 3 year old way that is.
 
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please refrain from bad language.

either post in a civil manner or be prepared to go pink. you can express your jingoism without insulting each other.
 
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