Viper0011.
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Jul 15, 2011
- Messages
- 7,253
- Reaction score
- 26
- Country
- Location
Nothing is going fo happen on the military front. The public pressure was immense here but as usual its wearing off now. India is not expected to cross the border 1st in mass as indian military is still in the process of procurement of vital equipments. I know you guys will never believe but the harsh truth is that modi will not risk a war unless, idont know, like another strike happens. But personally i am quiet sure. No war as of now.
If I was to guess watching this getting unfold, Modi is going to use heavy artillery from within the Indian side for a few days to shell whatever he perceives are the "targets" across the border. Heavy artillery has good range, some in excess of 40 km's, so theoretically they can shell for a few days and say "we destroyed our targets" and you may see a few close incursions on the border. But a full scale attack won't be done. Unless some general or air-force commander makes a mistake of crossing into Pakistan. That is their red line.
So they might flex the muscles from distance, use artillery from within India for a few days and life will go back to normal as light arms fire is traded every week, so this would be covered under that umbrella and won't be considered a "war".
The reports aren't suggesting of any cool off of anything. In fact, this is the first time since 2002 that the Indian side has ordered evacs out to 50 KM's (estimated range of Pakistani artillery). You only issue such orders when you expect these areas to be hit, and there are war marking flags all across the region. So something is about to go down. I just hope its blowing off steam from distance and not actually attacking or crossing the border. That would for sure turn into a full scale war.