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Hunza Lake in Attabad - potential disaster in the making

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Expanding lake threatens thousands in Pakistan
The Associated Press: Expanding lake threatens thousands in Pakistan
By SHABBIR AHMED MIR and NAHAL TOOSI (AP) – 7 hours ago

ATTABAD, Pakistan — The water is rising day by day in this remote part of northern Pakistan, and with it, so is the fear among thousands who stand to lose their crops, their homes and maybe even their lives.

A massive landslide early this year formed a natural dam in the Hunza River, creating a lake that is consuming upstream villages as it expands. If the dam breaks, a flash flood could threaten downstream villages too. The landslide also has blocked the Karakoram Highway, a vital trade link to China, cutting off 25,000 people in the Upper Hunza Valley.

The crisis is another headache for the weak, U.S.-allied government in Islamabad, already struggling to contain a spreading al-Qaida and Taliban militancy.

"Why can't the government remove this debris to give an outlet to the water? Doesn't it have sufficient machinery to do away with it?" asked Ajaz Ali, who has watched in frustration as the water slowly submerges his village of Shishkat.

The landslide was large even by the standards of the mountainous Hunza region, whose beauty is said to have inspired James Hilton's novel, "Lost Horizon," a tale of the mythical paradise of Shangri-La.

At least 19 people perished. The debris obstructed nearly 1.2 miles (2 kilometers) of the once fast-flowing river and a longer stretch of the highway, a popular high-altitude route for backpackers that cuts through stunning, snowcapped peaks.

Those stranded in Upper Hunza are relying on relief supplies ferried in mainly by helicopter. Hundreds of people have been displaced, and many are living in relief camps.

The turquoise lake formed by the landslide is more than 6.8 miles (11 kilometers) long, around 215 feet (65 meters) deep and is rising up to 1.5 feet (46 centimeters) a day, according to the National Disaster Management Authority. At least one major bridge in the area has been submerged.

Workers have removed more than 130,000 cubic yards (100,000 cubic meters) of debris in a continuing effort to create a spillway for the water to pour through. Some officials said they hope the spillway will be open by mid-April.

Clearing the Karakoram Highway will have to wait until the dam is breached and the water recedes, officials said.

"It is tedious work," said Farooq Ahmad Khan, a retired lieutenant general who chairs the National Disaster Management Authority.

Authorities downplayed the possibility of a flood, saying the barrier is unlikely to rupture, though the water may rise enough to overflow it by June.

Though relatively rare, such landslide dams and lakes have occurred in northern Pakistan before, according to Kenneth Hewitt, a professor emeritus in the geography and environmental studies department at Wilfrid Laurier University in Canada.

Two major floods were generated when similar landslide dams failed in the mid-1800s, causing tremendous destruction and loss of life, he said.

One, in 1858, was near the current disaster zone. The dam and resulting lake appeared to be even larger than today's. When the dam broke, it unleashed a torrent of water that lasted for days and swept past Attock Fort, a few hundred miles south, Hewitt said.

"It is of the utmost importance to monitor developments and have a warning and evacuation plan for communities downriver, and other emergency assistance measures ready for immediate implementation should the dam fail suddenly and quickly," Hewitt wrote in an e-mail.

The government said it is putting in place an evacuation plan.

Many in the Hunza area are potato farmers. Even if they don't lose their land to the creeping lake, many are likely to lose income, because access to the region is so curtailed.

"My mother says that when they wake up the first thing they ask about is the water level," said Adil Gulmit, a 21-year-old from the Gojal area in the north who is studying commerce in the eastern Pakistani city of Lahore.

"My father told me that this year we will not be able to cultivate potatoes because there's no seed or fertilizer available," he added, because the area is cutoff.

The government said it has sent in tents, blankets, jackets and tons of food.

"There are no shortages in the villages affected by the disaster," said Anwar Jamal, a magistrate supervising relief work. "We are transporting 200 bags of flour daily to the villages cut off by the calamity, beside medicines and other items of daily use."

China, a longtime ally that relies heavily on the Karakoram Highway for trade, has sent rice, sugar and other goods, according to the disaster agency. The Chinese Embassy in Islamabad said in a statement that a Chinese road company was working with Pakistani authorities in the disaster zone "by providing equipment and machinery as well as engineering consultations."

Those displaced by the disaster aren't sure what to expect.

Didar Ali has already lost much of his fertile, wooded land in Sarat village to the water. Living in a relief camp in Altit town, the 35-year-old farmer now wonders if his village is lost for good.

"The only thing we are doing here is waiting for the worst to come," he said.

Nahal Toosi reported from Islamabad.
 
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see...india did not cause pakistan's water shortages. The lake did it!

ok seriously speaking, the debris should be removed and the people should be evacuated. thousands of lives are at stake. Is there any possibility of using explosives to remove debris and create temporary spillway?
 
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No 111/2010-ISPR Dated: March 16, 2010
Rawalpindi - March 16, 2010:

Massive land sliding occurred on 4th January 2010 near village Atabad, approximately 109 Kms North East of Gilgit city and about 19 Km East of Hunza City. The slide caused heavy loss to the life and property. Slided material completely blocked River Hunza and also covered about 2.5 Kms long stretch KKH resulting in complete stoppage of all kind of vehicular traffic.

On request of Federal Government, Army mobilized all possible resources to mitigate this natural calamity. Engineer-in-Chief (E-in-C) of Pakistan Army detailed a team of experts to evaluate the situation and propose possible solution to the problem. The team visited the site on 6 January 2010 and evaluated the site conditions.

The team of experts considered different options including use of explosive, pumping and construction of spillway cut to clear the river blockage and to restore KKH. Construction of a spillway cut as deep as possible in the direction of river flow, on top of sided mass was considered more feasible. FWO was mobilized on the site on 20 January 2010 to execute the work, it has completed 350.0 meter long, 60.0 meter wide and 20.0 meter deep spillway as originally planned. FWO is continuing the work with full force to go as deep as possible to reduce downstream folding hazards by reducing the lake capacity.

An option of pumping as suggested by some Foreign experts was also considered and evaluated but it was not found feasible due to practical difficulties at the site. Dr Daved Pately who visited the site from 26 February 2010 to 04 March 2010 agreed with the solution proposed by Designed Directorate of E-in-C’s Branch and appreciated the work on Spillway Cut being carried by FWO.

NESPAK has also been engaged to carry out Dam Break analysis to study the affect of flooding from landslide site up to Gilgit city after the water spillover through spillway cut and subsequently break of landslide dam. NESPAK has almost completed the analysis and will be made public shortly.

Seepage through Landslide dam started in the first week of March 2010 and varies between 3 to 9 cusecs. There is no immediate threat to landslide dam break due to seepage. At present the level difference between water level in lake and bottom of spillway cut (freeboard) is 43.0 meter and daily rise of water in the lake at present is about 0.4 meter which is likely to increase on start of snow melting. FWO is monitoring the situation cautiously to safeguard against sudden break of landslide dam.
 
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Water level increases to 74 feet from river bed in Hunza
Posted on January 14, 2010 by Pamir Times


by Zulfiqar Ali Khan

HUNZA, Jan 13: The water level in a dam formed on Hunza River has crossed the first barrier pushing water flow towards the main barrier downstream. This has cut-off the pony track used by people of Gojal to cross the blockade, further disconnecting the valley from central Hunza. Helicopters are the only mean of transport for people of the valley.

According to a geologist working for FOCUS Humanitarian Assistance, currently monitoring the lake movement, the water level of the lake from the river bed has risen to 74 ft.

The rate of water level rise, however, has reduced from 0.3 to 0.1 feet per hour. Due to reduced water rise level, there is possibility that water level would rise to Ayeenabad in another 6-7 days, and would impact KKH, cattle sheds and crop fields.

This new development has delayed the threats to Ayeenabad settlement and the water at this rate could reach to the 9 houses in 12-15 days. The inflow rate of water into the lake from the upstream is 97 cubic feet.

Water level increases to 74 feet from river bed in Hunza | PAMIR TIMES
 
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Jamalpanhwar’s Blog

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Hunza Land Slide update

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Please find the update terrible situation of Gojal after the land slide.

Due to the Earth flow disaster in Attabad Hunza the Gojal (Upper Hunza) is cut off from rest of the world. 9 families (141 members) from Ayeenabad (Shishkat -Gojal) have been shifted at IDP camp in Altit village, due to threatened by lake formation. About 339 individuals in Ayeenabad and 119 families in Shishkat Payeen (lower) are facing potential threat.

The water has covered about 4 Km of KKH in Ayeenabad. The water has damaged the fields and orchards of about 32 families among them 9 families have lost all their belongings. The water has collapsed many cattle sheds and poses immediate threats to many houses and about 800 kanal of cultivable and non-cultivable land with thousands of fruit and forest trees had already submerged in the lake.

According to an expert of Focus Humanitarian Assistance, monitoring the situation, the lake stretched on 8.9 kilometers with a depth of over 16 meters. The level of water in the lake was rising at a rate of 3.6 feet per 24 hours and the height of the spill point from the lake was 295 feet. The sudden outburst due to the pressure of the water could also wash away the low-lying settlements, bridges on KKH and community properties in Hunza-Nagar and Gilgit districts.

Due to blockage of the KKH and constants rise in water level of the disaster dam formed, the old pony trek is also covered by the water and about 25,000 population of Gojal valley are facing shortage of food, fuel, medicines and other daily use items.

Lt-Gen Najeeb of Army Engineering Corps and Maj-Gen Shahid Niaz of the Frontier Works Organization (FWO) visited the sites and assured to breach the block to release the water in 45 days.

An aerial view of the river blockade site near Attabad, 9 kilometers South of Ayinabad

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A dismantled house and submerged trees of Ayinabad Shishkat

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Daily Express News Story
People i am reading every day about hunza lake.and from news in papers situation is very bad.can some knowledgeable member share his info about this event.
Little background:
lake created due to land sliding in January.and it is expanding day by day.its depth is also increasing.what our geologists say about this?any info?
 
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Hunza floods threaten thousands

Thousands of villagers in northern Pakistan risk losing their homes to a lake formed by a landslide that could burst its banks within days. The military-run National Disaster Management Authority said 36 villages have been identified for evacuation in case the waters burst. The lake was created out of the Hunza river by a landslide on January 4, that killed 20 and left about 25,000 people stranded when the river was blocked.–AFP Photo









---------- Post added at 08:08 AM ---------- Previous post was at 08:07 AM ----------

you can see tree's completely covered in water
 
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Hunza Lake in Attabad, Catastrophy in Making
By Haris Hashmi • May 13th, 2010 • Category: Features • No Responses


Like everything else, our government is waiting something bad to happen to perhaps gain some more funding from the West and then divert the attention of the people of the country from other issues, as thousands upon thousands of Pakistanis of Hunza and adjoining areas have left their homes and are suffering in open air due to expansion of natural lake in Hunza.

Some 36 villages are feared to be inundated after a breach in the artificially formed lake of Hunza in Attaabad following a continuous raise in its water level. A massive landslide in Hunza District on January 4 led to blockade of the Hunza River and creation of an artificial lake, where the water level is constantly rising. The Frontier Works Organization is creating a spillway to drain the lake. But the speed of work is too slow.

No politician has dared to go in the area, not even the PPP the incumbent government, who has won the election from that area. The Chief of the Army Staff (COAS), General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani visited the site of landslide that blocked Hunza River near Attaabad. He was briefed about the progress of work on the spillways, being undertaken by the Frontier Works Organization.

It is high time that the government take some emergency action to save the life and property of people of Hunza. :mod:
 
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Well that will teach hunza ppl a lesson not to vote for PPP.

About the incident the government will wait for the last minute and when the situation goes out of their hand they will call for international community for their help.. old tactics of Pakistani politicians to fill their pockets.

Khuda bachaye Pakistan ko. Ameen
 
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Well this incident will teach the people of Gilgit Baltistan not to vote for these corrupt and ****** politicians.

:angry:
 
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Well that will teach hunza ppl a lesson not to vote for PPP.

About the incident the government will wait for the last minute and when the situation goes out of their hand they will call for international community for their help.. old tactics of Pakistani politicians to fill their pockets.

Khuda bachaye Pakistan ko. Ameen


Ameen !!

well whatever is this but our govt should do something for poor pplz!!
sould now stop eating and filling their f****g belliez for the sake of ruined country !!:cry::cry::cry:

May ALLAH bless PAKISTAN:pakistan::pakistan::pakistan:
 
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I do not know if most of you are dumb or just ignorant, the work on the valley is being done as we speak but the work is very time consuming and very extensive.

Why blame the government for a natural disaster, they are doing all that they can and you people would blame everything to your own failure on the government.

If the COAS has visited the area and news is being provided on a daily basis, that means that the problem has been taken up.
 
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I do not know if most of you are dumb or just ignorant, the work on the valley is being done as we speak but the work is very time consuming and very extensive.

Why blame the government for a natural disaster, they are doing all that they can and you people would blame everything to your own failure on the government.

If the COAS has visited the area and news is being provided on a daily basis, that means that the problem has been taken up.



Thats QUITE informative !!


This is the reason that forums have been made to get updates from other pplzz!! :tup:
 
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Pakistan Hunza lake 'to overflow within days'

A lake in northern Pakistan formed when landslides blocked a river in January could begin to overflow within the next 10 days, officials have told the BBC.

If that happens water may begin to flow through drainage channels dug to cope with any overflow, deputy district commissioner Zafar Waqar said.

The government has nonetheless begun evacuating 18 villages, he said.

Officials say that Attabad lake could break its banks when the rains begin, submerging dozens of villages nearby.

Officials estimate that as many as 30,000 people could be affected.

Thousands have already fled their villages to seek shelter in other areas. Many are being offered food and supplies at relief camps set up by charities and political parties in the region.

Mr Waqar told BBC Urdu's Raza Hamdani in Hunza that the government was also stocking up on food, to be delivered to affected people in the event of flooding.

Some were displaced by the original landslide in January. But the water level has since continued to rise, and more homes have gradually been engulfed.

Flood sirens

Meanwhile an international charity group, Focus, which is monitoring the Attabad lake, says it has installed sirens at 12 points, which will go off when water begins to spill over the embankment.

The group was also helping to evacuate people from several villages in the area, according to Focus worker Lal Khan.

Dozens of families are camping at a girls' college in the nearby town of Karimabad.

The landslide, which happened during snowstorms in January, is near the remote village of Attabad, about 30km (18 miles) north-east of the town of Aliabad.

Debris from the slide blocked the river Hunza, stopping water flowing downstream and creating what is now referred to as Attabad lake.

Over the last four months water has been accumulating in the lake, which is now about 16km (9.9 miles) long. The water is more than 100m (330ft) deep in places.

Officials say that parts of the famous Karakoram highway to China could be washed away if the lake's banks burst.

A section of the highway is already blocked as a result of the landslides and lake.

BBC News - Pakistan Hunza lake 'to overflow within days'
 
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