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How does Pakistan fit in the Brexit Fiasco?

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Brexit has again shown how powerful is the pursuit of "interest" in the “western” mind is. Seeing that the center of the geopolitical mass is shifting toward the Pacific at an over-accelerated pace, the western folks are returning to their “bases” to optimize the dividends. Now, the conflict of interest will gradually remove the curtains to show its real face. It’s obvious that Europe will get divided into mini power centers like one run by Germany or the Scandinavian one. Russia definitely will make inroads. China in any situation will reap the benefits...


IMHO, countries like Turkey or Pak needs to first re-evaluate their values which are immense for these multiple power centers. Like the atoms from different materials in a complex molecule, they should forge bonds with each power center at its own merits, strengths and weaknesses. They need to be masters on these geopolitical games to get full benefits. As a starter, Reis Erdo'an has taken the initiative to mend the ties with Russia. Time to break the stereotypes has arrived…
 
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Right now nothing is final despite the referendum, people are appealing for repoll. This is an unexpected situation and Pakistan has to keep an eye on the development in EU. However we should be prepared for both scenarios
  1. Britain ultimately leaves EU
  2. There is repoll and it decides to stay in EU
In first scenario, we will need to negotiate deals and agreements with EU and Britain separately. However BREXIT may pave way for further break down of EU and even the UK itself since Scotland is not happy and they may vote for independence from UK and be part of EU and this very likely. Similarly, Scandinavian countries have always maintained a reasonable distance by not joining Eurozone and they along with Switzerland have been doing pretty good. France has a sick economy, Spain is a looming tragedy, Greece is already a casualty and a liability for EU and there has been an idea to separate Greece from EU. So this is a precarious situation for EU. But it does not mean we just sit and wait rather we should prepare for all these scenarios and we can actually start negotiating separate deals with EU member states and UK.

In case UK somehow remains part of EU (2nd scenario), we should still keep a direct contact with each EU member states and build strong relations and this can favour Pakistan at EU level as more countries voting in favour of Pakistan.
 
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Right now nothing is final despite the referendum, people are appealing for repoll. This is an unexpected situation and Pakistan has to keep an eye on the development in EU. However we should be prepared for both scenarios
  1. Britain ultimately leaves EU
  2. There is repoll and it decides to stay in EU
In first scenario, we will need to negotiate deals and agreements with EU and Britain separately. However BREXIT may pave way for further break down of EU and even the UK itself since Scotland is not happy and they may vote for independence from UK and be part of EU and this very likely. Similarly, Scandinavian countries have always maintained a reasonable distance by not joining Eurozone and they along with Switzerland have been doing pretty good. France has a sick economy, Spain is a looming tragedy, Greece is already a casualty and a liability for EU and there has been an idea to separate Greece from EU. So this is a precarious situation for EU. But it does not mean we just sit and wait rather we should prepare for all these scenarios and we can actually start negotiating separate deals with EU member states and UK.

In case UK somehow remains part of EU (2nd scenario), we should still keep a direct contact with each EU member states and build strong relations and this can favour Pakistan at EU level as more countries voting in favour of Pakistan.

There will not be a repoll.
 
. . . .
Brexit has again shown how powerful is the pursuit of "interest" in the “western” mind is. Seeing that the center of the geopolitical mass is shifting toward the Pacific at an over-accelerated pace, the western folks are returning to their “bases” to optimize the dividends. Now, the conflict of interest will gradually remove the curtains to show its real face. It’s obvious that Europe will get divided into mini power centers like one run by Germany or the Scandinavian one. Russia definitely will make inroads. China in any situation will reap the benefits...


IMHO, countries like Turkey or Pak needs to first re-evaluate their values which are immense for these multiple power centers. Like the atoms from different materials in a complex molecule, they should forge bonds with each power center at its own merits, strengths and weaknesses. They need to be masters on these geopolitical games to get full benefits. As a starter, Reis Erdo'an has taken the initiative to mend the ties with Russia. Time to break the stereotypes has arrived…

For Turkey to operate independently it must give up its desire to join EU and withdraw from NATO. This will give Turkey full maneuverability, but at a cost.
 
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