French Presidential and Legislative Elections 2017-News and Updates

[Steve781]

What was the picture ? @Steve781 Why did you delete your post ?

I didn't. The mods must have for some reason.

 

[Vergennes]

Macron stretches poll lead over Le Pen on final day of bruising campaign

https://www.thelocal.fr/20170505/macron-stretches-poll-lead-over-le-pen-on-final-day-of-campaign

French election: Nervous Brussels 'crosses fingers' for Macron

https://www.thelocal.fr/20170505/french-election-brussels-crosses-fingers-for-macron

 

[StraightShooter]

What was the picture ? @Steve781 Why did you delete your post ?

The setting was this but Macron was sitting on the floor near Merkel's feet. Very weird picture if true.

 

[Vergennes]

The setting was this but Macron was sitting on the floor near Merkel's feet. Very weird picture if true.

View attachment 394794

You mean this one ?

Of course this is a photoshop spread by foreign and our local Lepenists.

Here's the real picture of the meeting between Macron and Merkel.

 

[StraightShooter]

You mean this one ?

View attachment 394808

Of course this is a photoshop spread by foreign and our local Lepenists.

Here's the real picture of the meeting between Macron and Merkel.

View attachment 394809

Yes the first one. Actually that is a very common setting in the family but it was weird when you are talking about heads or state(or would be heads of state)

 

[Vergennes]

As the first round,this secound round will be under heavy security surveillance.
More than 50K Police officers and Gendarmes will be deployed to secure the polling stations and to ensure the well doing of this election. Then to secure the various rallies before and after the results are announced. They will be supported by the 7K soldiers of the Sentinelle operation and the Municipal Police forces.

 

[Vergennes]

The second round campaign has now officialy ended.

What does it mean ? A reminder ;

Under a decree from March 2001, the National Commission for the Control of the Electoral Campaign imposes on the candidates to cease any campaign action and any act of propaganda to Electoral purpose ... everywhere on the territory of the Republic.
They are not allowed to hold any public meetings anymore,nore distribute leaflets or send electoral emails,anything that has character of electoral propaganda. It also calls on them to freeze the content of their websites and no longer make any updates of them til the closing of the last polling stations.

The National Commission for the Control of the Electoral Campaign for the Presidential Election reminds the media that it is no longer possible to broadcast interviews of candidates or their supporters in the print or audiovisual press on saturday the 6th and sunday the 7th of may,2017.
No polling, no partial results, no estimate of the results can be published before the 7th of may at 8 pm.

The law also forbids from now til sunday at 8pm for any polls to be conducted,published or commented. Exit polls are also forbidden.

The lastest polls ;

Ipsos : Macron 61,5% - 38,5% Le Pen
Elabe : Macron 62 - 38% Le Pen
OpinionWay : Macron 62 - 38% Le Pen
Odoxa : Macron 62 - 38% Le Pen
Ifop : Macron 63% - 37% Le Pen

Today,the French established abroad and the voters in the overseas territories of Guadeloupe, French Guyana, Martinique, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint-Martin, Saint-Pierre et Miquelon and the French Polynesia will go to the polls first on this saturday. The rest of the overseas territories will vote on sunday like the metropolitan France.

 

[Śakra]

2014 marked India's independence year

2016 marked America and Britain's independence year

Here's to 2017 bringing independence to France from the globalists

 

[Mugwop]

Emmanuel macron
Jean luc Melenchon
Marine Lepen
francois fillion

 

[Vergennes]

It seems like foяeign tяolls and hackeяs have a haяd time tяying to destabilize and яuin Macяon's campaign,spяead the doubts among his voteяs,even houяs befoяe the vote. ;-) @LA se Karachi @Philia @A.P. Richelieu

En Marche! movement says posting of massive email leak online ‘clearly amounts to democratic destabilisation as was seen in the US’

French presidential election posters in Saint-Josse. Photograph: Benoit Tessier/Reuters

The campaign of the French presidential frontrunner, Emmanuel Macron, has said it has been the target of a “massive and coordinated” hacking attack after tens of thousands of internal emails and other documents were released online.

Less than 48 hours before polling day, around nine gigabytes of data was posted by a user called EMLEAKS to the document-sharing site Pastebin that allows anonymous posting. It was not immediately clear who was responsible.

Macron’s political movement, En Marche!, confirmed the hack, saying it had been the “victim of a massive and coordinated hack this evening which has given rise to the diffusion on social media of various internal information”.

The statement added that the data consisted of “diverse documents such as emails, accounting documents and contracts” hacked several weeks ago from the personal and professional accounts of some of the movement’s staffers.

“Coming in the final hours of the campaign, this operation clearly amounts to democratic destabilisation as was seen in the United States,” it said, adding that En Marche! had “consistently been targeted by such initiatives” through the campaign.

It said “many false documents” had been added to genuine stolen documents on social media “in order to sow doubt and disinformation” as part of an operation “clearly intended to harm the movement”.

The authentic documents were all lawful, however, and “reflected the normal functioning of an election campaign”, the statement said. Their publication “does not alarm us as to the prospect of any questions being raised about their legality”.

The WikiLeaks website posted a Twitter link to the cache of documents, saying it “contains many tens of thousands (of) emails, photos, attachments up to April 24, 2017”. It indicated it was not responsible for the leak itself.

A French interior ministry official declined to comment, citing French rules barring any remarks liable to influence an election. The rules took effect at midnight local time on Friday (2300 GMT) and will remain in place until all polling stations have closed at 8pm on Sunday.

Five new opinion polls published on Friday forecast that Macron would win the election with a share of 62-63%, comfortably defeating his rival, the far-right leader Marine Le Pen, in France’s most turbulent and potentially significant presidential race in decades.

A top official from Le Pen’s Front National, Florian Philippot, asked on Twitter whether the leaked documents “would reveal anything that investigative journalism had kept quiet”.

Macron’s team has previously blamed Russian interests for repeated attempts to hack its systems during the campaign, saying on 26 April it had been the target of unsuccessful attempts to steal email credentials since January. The Kremlin has denied any involvement.

During a visit by Le Pen to Moscow in March, Vladimir Putin said Russia had no intention of meddling in the French presidential elections, but analysts said the meeting implicitly signaled support for the Front National.

Trend Micro, a cybersecurity firm, said last month a hacking group, believed to be part of a Russian intelligence unit, was targeting Macron and his campaign team, adding that it appeared to be the same Fancy Bear group behind the hacking of Democratic campaign officials before last year’s US presidential election.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...targeted-by-hackers-on-eve-of-french-election

 

[LA se Karachi]

Sorry,I didn't figure out that the poll was realized in 535 constituencies out of 577. The constituencies of overseas territories and the French established abroad could well give a majority for En Marche!.

According to the study, which concerns 535 metropolitan constituencies out of the 577 on 11 and 18 June, En Marche! Could obtain between 249 to 286 seats in the National Assembly. With the overseas and and the constituencies for the French established abroad, the young movement of Emmanuel Macron - which by then would have to change its name and become a traditional party - could reach the 290-seat mark, a synonym Of absolute majority.

Ah, well that's a very good point indeed. If En Marche ! performs well outside of Metropolitan France, it seems that they could indeed win a majority on their own.

According to this projection, the right, without access to its dream of cohabitation, would largely limit the damage after the defeat of its candidate in the presidential election, winning between 200 and 210 seats (LR and UDI combined).

It's good to know that The Republicans will retain the vast majority of their seats, and that the National Front will win only a fraction of their total.

Finally, the left wing would be the biggest loser of this election : the Socialist Party could record the worst result of its history (from 28 to 42 seats, worse than the catastrophic score of 1993).

Well personally, I consider En Marche ! and Macron to be Center-Left. Perhaps they are more centrist than truly left, but still somewhat left of center.

If En Marche! fails to win a majority on its own, I see the Socialist Party as its most likely coalition partner.

The National Front would still be confronted with the glass ceiling of the second round, but will be able to form a parliamentary group at the Palais Bourbon with 15 to 25 seats.

The radical left, despite the score of Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round, could win only 6 to 8 seats.

I'm very glad to hear that both the far left and the far right will win very few seats in the Assemblée Nationale.

The lastest polls ;

Ipsos : Macron 61,5% - 38,5% Le Pen
Elabe : Macron 62 - 38% Le Pen
OpinionWay : Macron 62 - 38% Le Pen
Odoxa : Macron 62 - 38% Le Pen
Ifop : Macron 63% - 37% Le Pen

Macron stretches poll lead over Le Pen on final day of bruising campaign

https://www.thelocal.fr/20170505/macron-stretches-poll-lead-over-le-pen-on-final-day-of-campaign

Yes, Macron has expanded his lead over Le Pen. The debate seems to have taken a toll on her poll numbers.

 

[Jacob Martin]

Russia....

 

[LA se Karachi]

It seems like foяeign tяolls and hackeяs have a haяd time tяying to destabilize and яuin Macяon's campaign,spяead the doubts among his voteяs,even houяs befoяe the vote. ;-) @LA se Karachi @Philia @A.P. Richelieu

Lol.

Macron’s team has previously blamed Russian interests for repeated attempts to hack its systems during the campaign, saying on 26 April it had been the target of unsuccessful attempts to steal email credentials since January. The Kremlin has denied any involvement.

During a visit by Le Pen to Moscow in March, Vladimir Putin said Russia had no intention of meddling in the French presidential elections, but analysts said the meeting implicitly signaled support for the Front National.

Trend Micro, a cybersecurity firm, said last month a hacking group, believed to be part of a Russian intelligence unit, was targeting Macron and his campaign team, adding that it appeared to be the same Fancy Bear group behind the hacking of Democratic campaign officials before last year’s US presidential election.

You don't say?

Remember this post of mine?

https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/trum...ipulate-frances-election.475493/#post-9162034

 

[Vergennes]

Ah, well that's a very good point indeed. If En Marche ! performs well outside of Metropolitan France, it seems that they could indeed win a majority on their own.




It's good to know that The Republicans will retain the vast majority of their seats, and that the National Front will win only a fraction of their total.




Well personally, I consider En Marche ! and Macron to be Center-Left. Perhaps they are more centrist than truly left, but still somewhat left of center.

If En Marche! fails to win a majority on its own, I see the Socialist Party as its most likely coalition partner.





I'm very glad to hear that both the far left and the far right will win very few seats in the Assemblée Nationale.





Yes, Macron has expanded his lead over Le Pen. The debate seems to have taken a toll on her poll numbers.

View attachment 395008

En Marche! (which would have to change its name by then,confirmed by Macron) yesterday made an agreement with François Bayrou's MoDem centrist party for the legislative election. An agreement was made for 90 constituencies,including 50 believed 'winneable'. Macron added that Bayrou would have "an important role" in his government.
If his party fails to get a majority,I bet on a En Marche !* + MoDem + UDI coalition. I could be wrong. Let's wait and see.

 

[LA se Karachi]

En Marche! (which would have to change its name by then,confirmed by Macron) yesterday made an agreement with François Bayrou's MoDem centrist party for the legislative election. An agreement was made for 90 constituencies,including 50 believed 'winneable'. Macron added that Bayrou would have "an important role" in his government.

Interesting. It looks like Macron may have chosen his Prime Minister. A good choice, in my opinion, if that's the case.

If his party fails to get a majority,I bet on a En Marche !* + MoDem + UDI coalition. I could be wrong. Let's wait and see.

I still see the Socialist Party as a more likely coalition partner than the UDI. Macron could bend the decimated party to his will and moderate them. He was a part of it until recently as well, and knows its voters and leadership quite well. They would have little choice but to join him.

Whereas as the UDI may be a less stable partner, given they could threaten to leave the coalition at any time and join the Republicans (as they are doing now). The Socialist Party won't have that kind of leverage. En Marche ! would have all the leverage in a coalition with the Socialist Party---they would have nowhere else to go.

But I'm not ruling anything out, you may wind up being correct. This election is anything but ordinary, so who knows?