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Export earnings to cross $80B by 2024, hopes Tipu

No other country provides a better synergy than India for an economic relationship.

India will easily be our third largest trading partner after US and EU.

The hawks need to provide an alternative other than magic thinking like high end manufacturing.

99% of our population cannot speak English fluently after Zia and Ershad built Madrasas instead of English medium schools!!!

Before we can dream of high end manufacturing we need to stop dreaming of deflowering a thousand virgins in paradise.

Instead embrace western education.



English language skills are not as bad as you think as probably 5-10% of the people in college and university can speak it fluently enough now and with the rise of China as the 2nd superpower circa 2030 then speaking Chinese fluently for a certain segment of the population will be useful.

Yes India could easily be 3rd largest export market after Europe and USA by 2030 but China is another HUGE prize.

The economic synergy between the 2 is getting better and better as China becomes a high income country during the latter part of this decade. China is a MASSIVE prize for BD garments and even capturing 10% of their market would mean 10s of billions in export a year for BD in the 2030s.
 
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India will not have the upper hand unless we give them. We have a misconception that, Bangladesh is heavily dependent on India for it's raw materials need. This is not true. Our raw materials come from diversified sources and we can replace India with other countries or increase our domestic production to replace Indian imports if needed. Just a few years ago, 60 percent of our cotton import came from India, but in recently Bangladesh drastically reduce this dependency and sourcing cotton from Africa,Central Asia and US. Now just one-quarter of our cotton needs come from India. This is a very crucial raw materials for our export. This happened because India suddenly halted supply of onion creating a crisis. Onion crisis was a wake up call for the govt. and it prudently decided to reduce India dependeny for our cotton need.

Bangladesh now depends less on India for cotton​


Our Onion acreage also increased dramatically and now we are not as dependent on India before the onion crisis as govt. decided to achieve self-sufficiency on onion.

Few years ago, after Hindutva BJP came to power in India, the halted cattle smuggling to Bangladesh by 99 percent. Then Indian home minister Rajnath Singh even boasted that, because of this decision, Bangladeshi Muslims will abandon beef eating. But it turned out to be a blessing in disguise for us. Our cattle farming flourished to meet the local demand. Now we don't need Indian cows even during Eid-ul-Adha. To meet this demand domestic feed production also have grown rapidly. Our maize production went from negligible amount to now 6 million Ton in just 5-6 years and it will reach 10 million ton in the next few years. Now we are 60 percent self-sufficient in animal feed production. Nothing of these achievements would have happened if India had not halted cow smuggling.

We are importing coal from Indonesia, Australia, getting wheat from Russia and Ukraine(except this year), getting oil from Middle East, getting cooking oil from Malaysia, Indonesia. We are largely self sufficient in Rice and most of the other vital food items like fish,poultry, red meat, vegetables, fruits etc. So, I do not see any dependency on India for our any vital needs. Whatever we trade with India can be easily replaced by trading with China, ASEAN and other countries. Out of our 90 billion Dollar import, India provides hardly 10 billion and half of it is actually finished products like automobiles, chemicals, electrical equipment, electricity etc, not raw materials.

I never thought I would live to see Bangladesh trading 90 billion dollar worth of goods.

That’s a 1/5 of our GDP.

Very high ratio.
 
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I never thought I would live to see Bangladesh trading 90 billion dollar worth of goods.

That’s a 1/5 of our GDP.

Very high ratio.



This year it would be 140 billion US dollars - 30% of BD GDP.

BD is now officially a trading country. :p:
 
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This year it would be 140 billion US dollars - 30% of BD GDP.

BD is now officially a trading country. :p:

With 140 billion dollar trade - according to MMR and bluesky - our GDP is only 300 billion.

Hahaha

The stuff just magically takes itself to the ships and imports disappears into thin air.

Hahaha

Even funnier…

With a mere 300 billion dollar GDP we somehow carry a 40 billion dollar reserve…

Hahaha

Nilgiri Hinduvta logic haha
 
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With 140 billion dollar trade - according to MMR and bluesky - our GDP is only 300 billion.

Hahaha

The stuff just magically takes itself to the ships and imports disappears into thin air.

Hahaha

Even funnier…

With a mere 300 billion dollar GDP we somehow carry a 40 billion dollar reserve…

Hahaha


There are one or two others here that doubt size of BD GDP that is accepted by IMF/World Bank/ADB etc.

When you counter their claim that IMF etc just publishes BBS data with actual true stories that when central banks had fiddled GDP numbers in the past, then the major economic organisations first stated that the data was not reliable and then afterwards just did not publish GDP at all, they have nothing to say.

One "genius" even has a thread running called "Fake BBS Statistics" for a long time here!

Kind of feel sorry for them as they really believe they know what they are talking about. Should spend more time reading and seeing if they can understand this subject rather than spouting rubbish on pdf all the time.
 
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There are on or two others here that doubt size of BD GDP that is accepted by IMF/World Bank/ADB etc.

When you counter their claim that IMF etc just publishes BBS data with actual true stories that when central banks had fiddled GDP numbers in the past, then the major economic organisations first stated that the data was not reliable and then afterwards just did not publish GDP at all, they have nothing to say.

One "genius" even has a thread running called "Fake BBS Statistics" for a long time here!

Kind of feel sorry for them as they really believe they know what they are talking about. Should spend more time reading and seeing if they can understand this subject rather than spouting rubbish on pdf all the time.

As I said, you don’t need to be a Nobel laureate in economics to understand the macro picture…

1. Small nation like Bangladesh cannot hide dead bodies especially under strict Islam. Where relatives insist on a decent burial and prayers for 40 days.

2. Dollar reserve is always a clue.

3. Your GDP unlikely to be only twice of your trade!

4. You can literally count the number of women in the workforce - leading to high household income despite low individual salaries.

5. Look at how a country manages a crisis like covid. Another indication of overall health.
 
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4. You can literally count the number of women in the workforce - leading to high household income despite low individual salaries.


BD wages are not that low anymore compared to say India, despite even some BD'shis here still claiming it is only half that of India.


Yes garments may be quite low at 120 US dollars on average, compared to around 200 US dollars in India due to higher minimum wages but that is one of the reasons their garment industry is not competitive outside the country.

In other sectors like unskiled labour then workers in BD earn around similar to what they get in India.

BD wages will probably catch up with India in the latter part of this decade and the disparity will then totally disappear.
 
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BD wages are not that low anymore compared to say India, despite even some BD'shis here still claiming it is only half that of India.


Yes garments may be quite low at 120 US dollars on average, compared to around 200 US dollars in India due to higher minimum wages but that is one of the reasons their garment industry is not competitive outside the country.

In other sectors like unskiled labour then workers in BD earn around similar to what they get in India.

BD wages will probably catch up with India in the latter part of this decade and the disparity will then totally disappear.

It’s good to have lower salary than India. Makes us competitive.

What matters is the size of households and it’s income.

On that front…BD is obviously well ahead…

Hence we did not suffer covid genocide like India.
 
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With 140 billion dollar trade - according to MMR and bluesky - our GDP is only 300 billion.

Hahaha

The stuff just magically takes itself to the ships and imports disappears into thin air.

Hahaha

Even funnier…

With a mere 300 billion dollar GDP we somehow carry a 40 billion dollar reserve…

Hahaha

Nilgiri Hinduvta logic haha
Ouch too much laughing. Let us know what u smoking.

Good to see self jerking at its peak with Indian restaurant worker (bangladeshi own of course lol)

Let us know how great trading nation (good joke) exactly export other then cheap garments which is also heavily dependent on imports.

300 billion is over estimate. On ppp bases bd same as pak and lower then even india. And east asia is 50 years ahead of underwear export power house lol.
 
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It’s good to have lower salary than India. Makes us competitive.

What matters is the size of households and it’s income.

On that front…BD is obviously well ahead…

Hence we did not suffer covid genocide like India.



We will now see faster growth in wages when compared to India as BD industry is more competitive in areas like garments.

Indians paid their garment workers too much too early and hence why they could not be as successful in exports like BD.

As long as wages rise with improvements in efficiency/quality of the garments then it will not price BD out of the world markets.
 
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With 140 billion dollar trade - according to MMR and bluesky - our GDP is only 300 billion.
It is neither here nor there.
Trade to GDP ratio cannot be a yardstick for GDP data quality.
For example, Vietnam's trade volume is double the size of its GDP.

A good way to gauge GDP data quality is looking at consumption stats for essential goods/services e.g., energy consumption per capita.
BD GDP stats are dodgy. Any honest person with a two bit brain realises this. Economists like Zaheed Hussain, Fahmida Khatun, Debapriya Bhattacharja, etc. are not morons. Only people with fragile egos who love making tall, idiotic claims would struggle to grasp with this reality.
 
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We have the resident self-proclaimed "expert" who compares BD trade with Vietnam here to measure "GDP quality".

BD adds far more value to its exports than Vietnam does which is mainly a re-exporter of foreign companies like Apple and Samsung.

Also as have been stated MULTIPLE times before BD has historically had low per capita till very recently and so we will have lower ACCUMULATED WEALTH in BD than in India as an example. This naturally leads to lower consumption on a range of things like electricity consumption, some goods etc.

I usually ignore these types but need to counter nonsense like this from time to time in case it misleads those who are not that well-informed.


@BananaRepublicUK
 
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It is neither here nor there.
Trade to GDP ratio cannot be a yardstick for GDP data quality.
For example, Vietnam's trade volume is double the size of its GDP.

A good way to gauge GDP data quality is looking at consumption stats for essential goods/services e.g., energy consumption per capita.
BD GDP stats are dodgy. Any honest person with a two bit brain realises this. Economists like Zaheed Hussain, Fahmida Khatun, Debapriya Bhattacharja, etc. are not morons. Only people with fragile egos who love making tall, idiotic claims would struggle to grasp with this reality.

So Bangladesh is like Vietnam?

A county with outsized trade hehe

Yepepee

Ukbengali is right!

We are like an East Asian tiger country hehe

Ps, what explains the dollar reserve then?

Another humongous anomaly?
 
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So Bangladesh is like Vietnam?

A county with outsized trade hehe

Yepepee
We have the resident self-proclaimed "expert" who compares BD trade with Vietnam here to measure "GDP quality".

BD adds far more value to its exports than Vietnam does which is mainly a re-exporter of foreign companies like Apple and Samsung.

Also as have been stated MULTIPLE times before BD has historically had low per capita till very recently and so we will have lower ACCUMULATED WEALTH in BD than in India as an example. This naturally leads to lower consumption on a range of things like electricity consumption, some goods etc.

I usually ignore these types but need to counter nonsense like this from time to time in case in misleads those who are not that well-informed.


@BananaRepublicUK

These guys are really sad!

Desperately trying to explain away their pathetic assertions.

All these economists he names are international pigmies - with a political axe to grind.

On the other side we have Nobel winning economists like Paul Krugman and Amartya Sen urging India and Pakistan to learn from Bangladesh.

I think I will listen Nobel laureates! Thanks!!
 
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These guys are really sad!

Desperately trying to explain away their pathetic assertions.

All these economists he names are international pigmies - with a political axe to grind.

On the other side we have Nobel winning economists like Paul Krugman and Amartya Sen urging India and Pakistan to learn from Bangladesh.

I think I will listen Nobel laureates! Thanks!!


Sometimes I wonder on the mentality of these types who want BD to fail.

Do they have that much of an inferiority complex that they think that brown people cannot do what East Asians have already done?

They are not the brightest of the bunch and so maybe projecting their own limitations onto BD as a whole.

Let me restate categorically that BD is now behaving pretty much exactly like an East Asian economy and will definitely outgrow India this decade like it did last decade - 8%+ sustained GDP growth this decade is possible with a bit of luck in the external environment.

They are so immature that they think any country can be economically "perfect" and so blow every thing that is not great about BD totally out of proportion to "validate" their viewpoints.

S. Korea and Taiwan would have had similar issues to BD when they were at the same stage of economic development in the 1970s/1980s. BD cannot follow exactly the same paths as these two as there are massive geopolitical differences and so has had to find its own way but they seem to be too dense to understand that!

Even most Indians and Pakistanis have finally accepted that BD economy is strong and will outgrow any other economy in the region for probably decades to come.

Like I say best to ignore them as feeding the troll/s just makes it come back for more.
 
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